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There are rumours that Daniel Jones might be benched & released. Let's see how he compares to other active players by stats and how much they were paid for their performance.
On rbsdm.com there are statistical data for QBs. I took out all players that played in a few games, wanted to compare only starters for a significant time, so put a threshold of minimum 1000 plays. 39 still active QBs have played at least that much since 2019.
Daniel Jones had -0..001 EPA/play, 45.8% success rate, and -0.3 completion percentage over expectation (CPOE). By this he ranks as #31 out of 39 QBs. Around him with very similar stats are Minshew, Mac Jones, Heinicke, Trubisky, Wentz, backup Dalton, Fields. Better than D. Jones are even backups Winston, Brissett, their average on multiple teams. Darnold & Flacco were slightly worse and the only 2 players with significantly worse stats were Mills & Z. Wilson. For comparison there are Tannehill & Carr, 2 solid, unspectacular starters who were available in trades or free agency. They have much better stats than other players in the table:
player | # of plays | EPA/play | success rate | total money paid (2019-2024) in millions |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tannehill | 2277 | 0.170 | 51.6 % | $122.5 |
Carr | 3319 | 0.118 | 47.7 % | $144 |
backup Winston | 1283 | 0.088 | 48.0 % | $51 |
backup Brissett | 1548 | 0.055 | 46.8 % | $55.5 |
Minshew | 2001 | 0.018 | 44.6 % | $23 |
Mac Jones | 1589 | -0.009 | 45.4 % | $15.5 |
Daniel Jones | 2961 | -0.001 | 45.8 % | $108 |
backup Heinicke | 1115 | 0.002 | 45.9 % | $14 |
Trubisky | 1344 | 0.011 | 47.5 % | $27 |
Wentz | 2321 | 0.029 | 46.0 % | $110 |
backup Dalton | 1974 | 0.001 | 46.1 % | $43 |
Fields | 1737 | -0.007 | 43.5 % | $19 |
backup Flacco | 1164 | -0.024 | 43.6 % | $29.5 |
How much money each player was paid comes from overthecap.com
All the other players with similar stats as Daniel Jones were paid much less money. Example: Minshew was drafted in the same draft as D. Jones. Tannehill & Carr were paid a similar amount of money, but played much better. The only similar player in both stats & money was Wentz, who got traded multiple times.
This table should show that it's possible to find such average or slightly below average players each offseason: either older backups (Dalton, Flacco) or middle-aged players (Winston, Brissett) or drafting someone like Minshew.
Why did Giants keep playing and paying such an average player over $100M is unclear. Notice that Daniel Jones is the only player in the table who played for 1 team. Such "franchise QBs" that stay on 1 team have much better stats than these journeymen.
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