From a lifelong Bills fan/CNN Data Reporter (who looks like the the Chiefs are keeping him up at night)... What do we think?

https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/12/sport/kansas-city-chiefs-luckiest-good-team-spt/index.html

"After looking into it, the Chiefs, it turns out, are the luckiest 11+ win team through 13 games in the Super Bowl era. History says that probably makes them less likely to win the Super Bowl, but the sad part for me as a Bills fan is that history also says their luck may never run out.

What do I mean?

Let’s start with simple math. The Chiefs have only outscored their opponents by 56 points over the course of the season. In the average game, they’ve won by a little over four points.

I decided to look back at every team who won at least 11 of their first 13 games since the first Super Bowl season (1966-67). By my count, there have been 107 of these teams.

The Chiefs rank 107th of 107 in terms of point differential – points scored minus points given up. That is dead last in the Super Bowl era."

**adding another part that was interesting**

"I cracked the numbers thanks to my friend and sports genius Neil Paine. Among the 11+ win teams with the 25 best point differentials historically, 36% won the Super Bowl**. Among the 11+ win teams with the 25 worst point differentials, 12% of them won the Super Bowl.**

This is the good news for folks like myself.

The bad news can be seen by looking at the New England Patriots. The 2003 Patriots are the team with the second-worst point differential among those that won at least 11 of their first 13 games. They outscored their opponent by a mere 60 points, or a little less than five points per game."

The Chiefs have clinched the division, they’re already depleted by injuries, and what remains of their receiving corps includes a 35 year old and a 32 year old. They’re about to play 3 games in 11 days. All prior to a postseason that could win them the first ever three-peat.

I’ve always been more of a college football fan (booooooo I know), so what am I missing here? Is a first round bye really that valuable, that the Chiefs would sacrifice an opportunity to rest key starters for an entire month? Would they face fines if they kept their stars out for four games? Why put any more of your playbook on film, much less risk injuries, when you’re lucky enough to spend the next four weeks practicing specifically for likely playoff opponents?

Seeing Carson Steele being one of the top vote getters for the pro bowl this year has made me consider that fullback is a joke position to be considered in the pro bowl. Hardly any teams actually have one (I think there are only like 8 you can vote for) and even the ones that are technically a fullback (Carson Steele) really are just a running back.

I'm not saying that guys like Kyle Jusczyk don't deserve to make the team, but to me they should add a Flex spot for the pro bowl for the reciever/blocker/runner hybrids.

Bill started off with a massive bang drafting two hall of famers in Richard Seymour and Tom Brady in his first year with the Patriots. He followed that up by selecting pro bowlers In Vince Wilfork, Asante Samuel and Logan Mankins in the next few years. But he doesn’t stop there.

In 2007, he absolutely fleeces the Raiders and Dolphins for Randy Moss and Wes Welker adding an all time duo. Next, one year later he drafts All Pro linebacker Jerod Mayo. He tops that off with the 2010 draft masterclass in Devin Mccourty, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez.

And finally the cherry on top is drafting future Hall of Famer Chandler Jones in 2012. You might not find a better streak in the history of the NFL.

But then it started to go down hill, and not just downhill, it was like being on the top of the super man roller coaster plunging to the earths core.

What are some of the reasons for this? Is the NFL draft just that hard?

GO TEAM BEAT OTHER TEAM

​

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