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National Football League's Draft Of College American Football Players!

For those who want to discuss the NFL Draft.


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2024 FIRST ROUND ORDER

1 2 3 4
CHI~ WAS NE ARI
5 6 7 8
LAC NYG TEN ATL
9 10 11 12
CHI NYJ MIN$ DEN
13 14 15 16
LV NO IND SEA
17 18 19 20
JAX CIN LAR PIT
21 22 23 24
MIA PHI MIN$ DAL
25 26 27 28
GB TB ARI% BUF
29 30 31 32
DET BAL SF KC

~ From CAR (Bryce Young)

$ From HOU via CLE (Pick Swap/Watson)

% From HOU (Will Anderson Jr.)


The 2024 NFL Draft

Round 1: Thursday, April 25th, TBD ET

Rounds 2-3: Friday, April 26th, TBD ET

Rounds 4-7: Saturday, April 7th, TBD ET

Live on ESPN and *NFLN8


Discord Server - If you are interested in more interactive and real time draft talk, we also have a Discord server where we host mock drafts and other activities! Many of great discussions are happening all day long in our discord .

PLEASE CLICK THE LINK BELOW FOR MOCK DRAFTS and draft chat

click this link to go to the Discord!


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781,857 Subscribers

34

Mock Draft 2 post Senior Bowl

NOTE: I am allowing trades for this mock, although limiting myself to five trades to keep the point of the mock (should be a mock draft, not a mock trade!).

1.1. Titans - Cam Ward, QB, Miami

(Previously Cam Ward) The Titan's GM's comments about 'generational players' in the draft has started a bit of a mini trend in the draft community of drafting non-QBs at 1. I don't buy it. Cam Ward, for all his flaws, is a very high potential quarterback. The Titans organisation will be pressured to pick a QB given the position and they are in.

1.2. Browns - Abdul Carter, EDGE, Penn State

(Previously Shedeur Sanders) Given Cam Ward is off the board, the arguments for taking a non-QB suddenly becomes a lot more compelling. Abdul Carter has elite pass rush ability, and despite concerns over run defence, absolutely has the talent to go at this point in the draft. One can very easily imagine he and Myles Garrett forming a formidable duo on DL.

1.3. Giants - Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado

(Previously Travis Hunter) The front office needs to elevate the QB position, desperately. Daboll and Shane's leashes are so short at this point that they are hanging off the ground. Sanders might not really be a top 3 talent, but has a high enough floor to entice New York at 3.

1.4. Patriots - Travis Hunter, CB/WR, Colorado

(Previously Abdul Carter) The Patriots need help on both offence and defence, and Hunter might be able to help with both of these problems (depending on how Vrabel wants to use him).

1.5. Jaguars - Will Johnson, CB, Michigan

(Previously Mason Graham) The Jaguars go for the chalk pick at 5, and select a CB after seeing the success that some of the rookie CBs have seen in 2024. Johnson has great physical tools, and teams will be willing to look past his injuries in this scenario.

1.6. Raiders - Ashton Jeanty, HB, Boise State

(Previously Tet McMillan) The NFL is a trend league. Whether it is everyone copying Fangio defences in 2021, or every team becoming insanely high on QBs with the ability to throw off platform, teams will follow the leaders. Running backs had a huge year in 2024, with Saquon, Henry, Bijan, and Jacobs all having big years. Jeanty is an incredible running back, and the Raiders prepare to give their next quarterback the best shot possible with these weapons (Darnold, or whoever it may be).

1.7. Jets - Mason Graham, DI, Michigan

(Previously Will Johnson) Another chalk pick as the Jets revitalise their defence by pairing Mason Graham with Quinnen Williams on the IDL.

1.8. Panthers - Mykel Williams, EDGE, Georgia

(Previously James Pearce Jr.) While I may not necessarily agree with it, Mykel Williams will almost be high on every NFL GM's draft board. With elite size, mobility, and power, the Panthers add a high upside player to their defence who fits nicely with their timeline.

1.9. Saints - Tet McMillan, WR, Arizona

(Previously Mykel Williams) The Saints go best player available as they enter an unstable period for the franchise in a strange period. McMillan compliments the skillsets of both Olave and Shaheed, and will give the new Saints QB a much easier time. Presumptive head coach Kellen Moore will be able to use him in a manner similar to AJ Brown.

1.10. Falcons (trade with Bears) - Mike Green, EDGE, Marshall

(Atlanta previously picked Jalon Walker) The Falcons are starving for defensive linemen, and Mike Green offers a level of productivity that will draw Atlanta to the point of making a trade. Green has shined at the Senior Bowl, and absolutely has a shot of going in the top 10 if he interviews well and puts his Virginia suspension firmly behind him.

1.11. 49ers - James Pearce Jr., EDGE, Tennessee

(Previously Will Campbell) Offensive line may be enticing here for San Francisco, but addressing that position will be very possible in the 2nd round. Meanwhile James Pearce can learn under Bosa in SF and also helps to address a position of need.

1.12. Cowboys - Will Campbell, OL, LSU

(Previously Luther Burden III) Dallas needs to add pieces to a depleted offensive line. Campbell should be able to get past his issues in the three point stance and be able to play as an effective pass protecting guard, with the capability to kick out to tackle if Coach Schottenheimer desires.

1.13. Broncos (trade with Miami) - Tyler Warren, TE, Penn State

(Denver previously picked Omarion Hampton) Denver falls in love with the well rounded offensive threat that is Tyler Warren to give Bo Nix an easier time. Warren has the capability to collect a lot of YAC (something that Denver will value) as well as possessing decent route running and inline play. Miami collects draft capital as they prepare for a soft rebuild.

1.14. Colts - Malaki Starks, SAF, Georgia

(Previously Tyler Warren) The Colts play it safe at 14 by selecting Starks, who projects well in the NFL and will help an Indiana defence that could use new weapons.

1.15. Bears - Tyler Booker, G, Alabama

(Bears previously picked Ashton Jeanty) As shown by D.J.'s recent big board, teams will like the reliabilty that Booker will bring to the IOL. No other teams has as big a need for IOL help than Chicago, who make a safe pick at 15.

1.16. Cardinals - Kelvin Banks, OL, Texas

(Previously Derrick Harmon) The Cardinals pick up Banks, who can complement Paris Johnson Jr (who will take the handle of franchise tackle) at tackle, or potentially move to guard. Either way, he can help Kyler Murray regain his form.

1.17. Bengals - Jalon Walker, EDGE/LB, Georgia

(Previously Tyleik Williams) The Bengals rush the podium to select Jalon Walker, who falls down the board from his expected range (8-15). Walker adds much needed defensive prowess and an underrated versatility.

1.18. Seahawks - Josh Simmons, OL, Ohio State

(Previously Kelvin Banks) Again, people are putting slightly too much stock into the passing comments of GMs by refusing to draft IOL help for Seattle at 18 due to comments about guards being 'overdrafted and overpaid'. Simmons can play tackle and guard, offering a versatility that Seattle will value, and I don't see him being seriously held back by his injuries.

1.19. Buccaneers - Luther Burden III, WR, Missouri

(Previously Jihaad Campbell) Mike Evans is very old. Adding Burden at 19 is good value and also reinforces a position of need for Tampa. Fairly straightforward.

1.20. Dolphins - Derrick Harmon, DI, Oregon

(Previously selected Malaki Starks) Dolphins secure additional draft capital by trading down, and pick up a solid player in Harmon to continue a reconstruction of their D-Line that began with the selection of Chop Robinson last year. Harmon showed his steel last year, and 'toughing up' by building through the trenches is a must for Miami.

1.21. Steelers - Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State

(Previously Azareye'h Thomas) Egbuka offers a consistency that complements the boom-or-bust nature of George Pickens. While improving the secondary is also a need, Egbuka's well rounded profile makes him to good for Pittsburgh to pass up.

1.22. Chargers - Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan

(Previously Colston Loveland) A completely original pick here, very original, Loveland gives Herbert a new option in the pass game. Harbaugh.. connection. Or something.

1.23. Packers - Jahdae Barron, DB, Texas

(Previously Kenneth Grant) Green Bay will have a secondary need with Jaire Alexander being injured and potentially leaving. Barron has elite potential and great versatility across the DB position.

1.24 Vikings - Nick Emmanwori, SAF/LB, South Carolina

(Previously Walter Nolen) The pick here for the Vikings is between either Nolen or Emmanwori, and I decided to opt with the latter for Minnesota. Many teams will be able to fall in love with Emmanwori's instant processing of the field, and build that will allow him to play a flexible role in pass protection.

1.25 Texans - Matthew Golden, WR, Texas

(Previously Josh Simmons) The Texans have a hole at WR with Diggs gone and Dell injured, and Golden steps in as a stopgap. That is not to take away from the Longhorns' WR - smooth route running combined with a decent physical profile makes him a solid option for any offence.

1.26 Rams - Josh Conerly Jr., OT, Oregon

(Previously Josh Conerly) Same goes as last time with this pick. Conerly has tackle characteristics that makes him an appealing pick for the Rams, who need to prepare for the post-Stafford era.

1.27 Ravens - Armand Membou, OL, Missouri

(Previously Mike Green) Membou is a riser so far in the pre-draft process, and at the point where he is solidly a first round pick. He falls a bit in this draft as GMs look to prioritise OL later in the draft, but the Ravens snag him here, where he will be able to move around an OL in need of replenishing.

1.28 Lions - Walter Nolen, DI, Ole Miss

(Previously Nic Scourton) This should be the defensive BPA for Detroit, and for me that is Walter Nolen. Nolen has elite upside, and with good coaching can become a mainstay for the Lions defensive line.

1.29 Commies- Jihaad Campbell, LB/EDGE, Alabama

(Previously Trey Amos) The Commanders should also probably go BPA at 29, and Campbell is a capable player who falls to Washington (based off his current draft projection - DJ has him at 13!) who can fill several positions of need.

1.30 Bills - Shemar Stewart, DL, Bills

(Previously Jack Sawyer) The Bills could use more young pieces on their defence, and Stewart's immense phyiscal profile will stop him from sliding any further.

1.31 Eagles - Donovan Ezeiruaku, EDGE, Boston College

(Previously Cameron Williams) Ezeiruaku has a deep pass rush bag, and flashes capable run defence. With Sweat and Milton Williams potentially leaving, the Eagles go for DL at 31.

1.32 Chiefs - Azareye’h Thomas, CB, Florida State

Despite a rough start to the senior bowl, Thomas’ elite frame propells him to the first round, with the Chiefs needing secondary help after Sneed’s departure.

Amos, Cameron Williams, Sawyer, Scourton fall out the first round

52 Comments
2025/01/31
21:09 UTC

6

Free Talk Friday

Talk about anything you please; draft-related or otherwise!

59 Comments
2025/01/31
15:01 UTC

23

No love for Brashard Smith???

I have seen discussion on multiple RBs but seen no one talk about Brashard

Former WR turned RB this year for the mustangs

  • Has WR routes and hands
  • Break away speed
  • Good contact balance
  • Explosive burst
  • Fresh set of legs (361 college touches)

Why is he mocked so low he really reminds me of Gibbs

13 Comments
2025/01/31
08:37 UTC

0

Shedeur Sanders vs Jaxson Dart

Passing Efficiency and Accuracy:

Shedeur Sanders (2024 Season - Colorado)

  • Completion Percentage: 74.0% - This is notably higher than Dart's 69.3%, suggesting Sanders has better accuracy and better synergy with his receivers.
  • Passing Touchdowns vs. Interceptions: 37 TDs to 9 INTs, giving him a better touchdown-to-interception ratio compared to Dart's 29 TDs to 6 INTs.

Performance Under Pressure:

  • Pressure to Sack Ratio: Sanders had a 20.5% Pressure to Sack Ratio in 2024, indicating he managed pressure well despite playing behind what has been described as the worst Power Four offensive line. Dart's specific ratio wasn't mentioned, but his performance against the blitz was highlighted, suggesting minimal competence under pressure.

Key Game Statistics:

  • Against the Blitz: While Dart had below average stats against the blitz, Sanders had notable performances in high-stakes games:
  • Sanders was the only FBS player in the top 5 for completion percentage, completions per game, passing touchdowns, passing yards per game, and pass efficiency in 2024, showcasing his ability to perform when it counts.

Season Highlights:

  • Shedeur Sanders in 2024:
  • Led Colorado to a 9-4 record. Ranked 1st in completion percentage (74.2%). Was 2nd in completions per game (28.1). 2nd in passing touchdowns (35). 3rd in passing yards per game (327.2). 5th in pass efficiency (168.8).

Deep Ball Accuracy:

  • Sanders had a 60% completion rate on deep balls compared to Dart's 45%, pointing to Sanders' superior touch and accuracy on longer passes.

Scouting and Draft Rankings:

  • Sanders was ranked #1 by most draft analysts with a high rating (90.5), and his overall scouting report suggests he's seen as a higher-ceiling prospect with better accuracy and decision-making.

These statistics and highlights emphasize Shedeur Sanders' edge in accuracy, efficiency in crucial moments, and overall performance in 2024, particularly when considering his context of playing with less support from his offensive line and still managing to lead his team with high statistical marks.

33 Comments
2025/01/31
03:15 UTC

25

NFL Draft Film - Elic Ayomanor

Hi all,

Thanks again for all of your support and feedback to help me make these videos happen. Up next is Stanford WR Elic Ayomanor, you can find every 2024 touch & target here.

I figure since I'm watching these guys' film I may as well give some brief opinions in my posts to start more conversation on here. I'm not as high on Ayomanor as I've seen others. He was subject to some absolutely horrid QB play throughout the season (from 3 different and uniquely bad QBs), but he also has plenty of drops where a pass hits him in the hands. I'll have to re-watch as well, but I do not remember seeing him make a single jump ball/contested catch. He made some nice catches in traffic, but overall his hands are a concern for me. From my perspective as a Chargers fan and taking into account LAC's needs, I wouldn't be happy if they took him any higher than the 3rd round, and would be more comfortable with him in the 4th & 5th rounds. Anyways, just my two cents.

Thanks again,

JustTheTape

4 Comments
2025/01/31
00:31 UTC

56

East-West Shrine Bowl Game Thread

I know it's not as big as the Senior Bowl, but wanted to show the Shrine Bowl some love! We got some football on tonight and some prospects to look at. I take that as a win. Game is on at 8 PM EST on the NFL Network. Figured to make this for those watching the game and want to discuss who their watching, their favorite prospects, or whatever you'd like about the game.

I know that probably the two biggest names, Shedeur Sanders and Kenneth Grant, aren't playing, but here are some of the prospects I'm keeping my eye on:

East Roster

South Carolina RB Rocket Sanders

San Jose State WR Nick Nash

Eastern Washington WR Efton Chism

Missouri WR Theo Wease

Auburn WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith

Syracuse TE Oronde Gadsden

Middlebury OL Thomas Perry

South Carolina DT Tonka Hemingway

Kentucky LB Jamon Dumas-Johnson

Kansas CB Cobee Bryant

Kansas CB Mello Dotson

West Roster:

Texas Tech RB Tahj Brooks

UNLV WR Ricky White

Ole Miss WR Juice Wells

Miami WR Jacolby George

Texas Tech TE Jalin Conyers

Boise State DE/Edge Ahmed Hassanein

Oregon CB Jabbar Muhammad

  • I realized that some of the players I've listed have decided not to play tonight
93 Comments
2025/01/31
00:03 UTC

41

How are you viewing this WR class?

I think they were pretty slept on to begin the cycle, but now every report I see seems to be about another WR dominating practices. Is there really that much receiving talent here, or are the corners in Mobile just underwhelming? I lean towards the latter, just want to hear some opinions.

67 Comments
2025/01/30
23:14 UTC

14

2025 Offensive Prospects vs The Last 5 Years

I complied the last 5 years (2021-2025) and ranked them off of where I had them as prospects. (Note that 2025 prospect rankings can and will change as the draft season continues)

Incoming rookies in bold

Quarterbacks:

Trevor Lawerence

Caleb Williams

Mac Jones

Bryce Young

Drake Maye

Trey Lance

Jayden Daniels

CJ Stroud

Cam Ward

Anthony Richardson

Zach Wilson

Will Levis

Justin Fields

JJ McCarthy

Jaxson Dart

Bo Nix

Shedeur Sanders

Malik Willis

Hendon Hooker

Quinn Ewers

Kenny Pickett

Sam Howell

Jalen Milroe

Desmond Ridder

Matt Corral

Running Backs:

Ashton Jeanty

Bijan Robinson

Travis Etienne

Breece Hall

Najee Harris

Kaleb Johnson

Omarion Hampton

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jonathon Brooks

Kenneth Walker III

Roschon Johnson

Isaiah Spiller

Zach Charbonnet

Blake Corum

TreVeyon Henderson

Kyren Williams

Trey Benson

Ollie Gordon III

Michael Carter

Braelon Allen

Trey Sermon

MarShawn Lloyd

Khalil Herbert

Wide Receivers:

Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ja’Marr Chase

Devonta Smith

Jaxson Smith Njigba

Malik Nabers

Tet McMillan

Garrett Wilson

Drake London

Treylon Burks

Rome Odunze

Chris Olave

Jaylen Waddle

Luther Burden

Quentin Johnston

Brian Thomas Jr.

Jordan Addison

Elic Ayomanor

Zay Flowers

Emeka Egbuka

Keon Coleman

Rashod Bateman

Skyy Moore

Savion Williams

Jonathan Mingo

Rondale Moore

Tight Ends:

Brock Bowers

Kyle Pitts

Tyler Warren

Michael Mayer

Ja’Tavion Sanders

Colston Loveland

Dalton Kincaid

Trey McBride

Pat Freiermuth

Cade Otton

Gunnar Helm

Cade Stover

Luke Musgrave

Hunter Long

Greg Dulcich

27 Comments
2025/01/30
22:46 UTC

70

Senior Bowl Practice Day 3 Takeaways

Looks like practice is all wrapped up again for the day. For all those attending or watching the streams, what all did you see? Any big moves in one direction or another? I know today is always a big day for quarterbacks. Love to see any takeaways and comments from what all went down on the field today!

81 Comments
2025/01/30
20:10 UTC

41

Nates 2025 Big Board 1.0 (Top 50 Overall/Top 10 by Position)

Players I am high on:

  • Mason Graham
  • Mason Taylor
  • Devin Neal
  • Armand Membou
  • Shavon Revel (top 10 pick if healthy/medicals look good)

Players I am lower on:

  • Mykel Williams
  • Jalen Milroe
  • Cam Skattebo
  • Donovan Jackson
  • Tre Harris
  • Josh Connerly

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oVj8-Or0MZMUY11a57JkE8mLihDcYnYA5U8y-8MB2Lc/edit?usp=sharing

78 Comments
2025/01/30
17:19 UTC

0

How many picks for Trey Hendrickson

If the Bengals move on for Trey Hendrickson next season, how many 2nd round picks would the Bengals would get if they trade him?

I think it's much better if the Bengals build a young defensive team and sign a veteran OG to protect Burrow. This draft have a lot of good DT, DE and CB which the Bengals can draft on the second round.

52 Comments
2025/01/30
03:35 UTC

118

Who are "your guys" in this draft class?

Guys who you think are underrated prospects and/or who you really want to see succeed in the pros

For me:

Anyone from Indiana or Kansas, especially Kurtis Rourke and Devin Neal

Will Campbell

Xavier Restrepo

Mykel Williams

Jalen Royals

James Pearce Jr.

Aireontae Ersery

Kevin Winston Jr.

Donovan Ezeiruaku

Luke Kandra

Billy Bowman

266 Comments
2025/01/29
23:40 UTC

52

Senior Bowl Day 2 Practice Takeaways

No official thread has been made, and I'm stuck at work without much access to what all happened today. What all did you guys see? I want all thoughts and takeaways. All I saw from checking socials really quick was Conerly getting destroyed by Green. Zabel still flying up boards as well. I'm really hoping that American DL group showed out as much as I think they should.

98 Comments
2025/01/29
20:52 UTC

107

Best Mock Draft Simulator Ever

Hi all, was hoping you could help me out -

I’m looking to make a better (and free) mock draft simulator for the masses

I’ve used just about all of them, and have noticed shortcomings in all of them

  • incorrect team needs (inflexible)
  • inaccurate player ranks (lack of user input)
  • poor trade logic
  • poor selection logic
  • imperfect UI

Could you help me by submitting your MUST HAVES in a mock draft simulator?

My goal is to post it here for all to test out, and use this forum as a way to roll out features that people request

All feedback is welcome

Thank you all!

50 Comments
2025/01/29
20:14 UTC

90

Bucky Brooks NFL.com mock draft

https://www.nfl.com/news/bucky-brooks-2025-nfl-mock-draft-1-0-titans-take-shedeur-sanders-at-no-1-ashton-jeanty-to-dallas

  • 1- Shedeur Sanders (QB)- Tennessee Titans

  • 2- Abdul Carter (EDGE)- Cleveland Browns

  • 3- Cam Ward (QB)- New York Football Giants

  • 4- Travis Hunter (CB/WR)- New England Patriots

  • 5- Mason Graham (DT)- Jacksonville Jaguars

  • 6- Tetairoa McMillan (WR)- Las Vegas Raiders

  • 7- Will Campbell (OT)- New York Jets

  • 8- Mykel Williams (EDGE)- Carolina Panthers

  • 9- Jalon Walker (LB/EDGE)- New Orleans Saints

  • 10- Armand Membou (OT)- Chicago Bears

  • 11- Will Johnson (CB)- San Francisco 49ers

  • 12- Ashton Jeanty (RB)- Dallas Cowboys

  • 13- Tyler Booker (IOL)- Miami Dolphins

  • 14- Tyler Warren (TE)- Indianapolis Colts

  • 15- Shemar Stewart (DL/EDGE)- Atlanta Falcons

  • 16- James Pearce Jr (EDGE)- Arizona Cardinals

  • 17- Colston Loveland (TE)- Cincinnati Bengals

  • 18- Kelvin Banks Jr (OT/G)- Seattle Seahawks

  • 19- Emeka Egbuka (WR)- Tampa Bay Bucs

  • 20- Malaki Starks (S)- Denver Broncos

  • 21- Luther Burden III (WR)- Pittsburgh Steelers

  • 22- Matthew Golden (WR)- Los Angeles Chargers

  • 23- Jahdae Barron (CB)- Green Bay Packers

  • 24- Benjamin Morrison (CB)- Minnesota Vikings

  • 25- Kenneth Grant (DT)- Houston Texans

  • 26- Josh Simmons (OT)- Los Angeles Rams

  • 27- Josh Conerly Jr (OT)- Baltimore Ravens

  • 28- Mike Green (EDGE)- Detroit Lions

  • 29- Donovan Jackson (IOL)- Washington Commanders

  • 30- JT Tuimoloau (EDGE)- Buffalo Bills

  • 31- Derrick Harmon (DT)- Philadelphia Eagles

  • 32- Shavon Revel Jr (CB)- Kansas City Chiefs

217 Comments
2025/01/29
19:55 UTC

6

Projecting Early Declarations (Update)

A couple of months ago, I was looking to see how many players declare early for the NFL Draft. With the deadline having passed, we have the official numbers - 55 true juniors plus 15 others who still had eligibility. This is a slight bump from last year's 54+4, and, although, this is far from the 100 pre-NIL and pre-covid, this seems to be the nadir.

I copied down PFF's prospect ranking from November to see how accurately you could predict who would declare while the season was going on. The results are maybe not surprising, but I think with NIL money, a lot of people are under the assumption players that can get drafted early are not declaring which isn't the case. Most players who are a top 100/projected to go in the first 3 rounds declares early. Here is the data..

Projected RoundJuniors (declare/total)RS SophmoreRS Junior
First22/220/02/2
Second6/71/21/1
Third11/130/00/0
Fourth5/90/10/3
Rest of top 2003/200/13/6

As you can see, players in the top 100 generally declare. (I will say this is not the perfect way to evaluate this as it only look at PFF rankings in November, but I am not trying to quibble over 90% and 95% declare rates). It does seem that redshirt sophs are slightly less likely to declare and redshirt juniors are a little bit more likely to declare which would make sense, but the sample sizes are small.

If you are curious, here are the top true juniors (according to November PFF) who did not declare..

1st. LT Overton

2nd. Drew Allar, Blake Miller

3rd. Ar'maj Reed-Adams, Daylen Everette, Robert Spears-Jennings, Chandler Rivers

It is also interesting to see who did declare. The three juniors who did declare that were not part of the first four rounds were Trevor Etienne, Emery Jones Jr, and Jordan James. Two running backs, and a guy who is a top 100 prospect to others (he is 65th on NFLMockDraftDatabase's consensus). If you look at PFF's rankings now and see which true juniors declared that are outside the first 3 rounds, 5/10 are running backs. Out of those, Mason Taylor, Quinn Ewers, and Emery Jones Jr are ranked higher by most. That leaves Thomas Fidone II and Jacob Parrish with unexpected decisions. Anyway, I would guess that running backs are more likely to declare given that running backs have the shortest careers. Which makes Nick Singleton's decision even more questionable. Although, you could say he is trying to help his draft capital as a guy who could go in the first couple of rounds whereas someone like Damien Martinez is going to be a fourth round guy regardless.

Anyway, if you want to do a 3-round mock draft in November of next year, I think you can be confident that most of the juniors you mock will end up declaring.

0 Comments
2025/01/29
19:47 UTC

57

Jaxton Dart and Ole Miss one-read offense?

I've seen this mentioned a lot. I had a question for folks that may know about this:

Can you explain the offense to someone that didn't watch Ole Miss? I've read that it's a one-read offense and designed to have predetermined reads.

My question is if it's that simple, why doesn't everyone just run an offense like that? Does that mean that Lane Kiffin is the best play caller/designer to ever live? If Lane is calling plays that have wide-open receivers as first reads, and it's leading to the numbers that Dart put up all while playing in the SEC.. that seems to suggest that any QB could be inserted into that offense and succeed. Which means that Kiffin should be the most sought-after HC in college football.

41 Comments
2025/01/29
15:48 UTC

28

Who is the best coverage prospect that can also play in the box?

This question basically excludes corners, as I'm not looking for a slot coverage guys who can tackle.

I'm curious who you think the best coverage safeties and linebackers are - someone that you can plausibly throw on a Brock Bowers but also ask them to thump in the box whenever necessary.

33 Comments
2025/01/29
15:28 UTC

10

Mark My Words Wednesday

Have a bold prediction that you want to state proudly but will most likely look very stupid in short time? Have at it! Maybe you’ll nail it and look like a genius in the future

Please don’t downvote a user for a stupid bold prediction; it’s all just for fun!

138 Comments
2025/01/29
15:01 UTC

6

QB Adjusted Pressure Rates on Drop Backs

Here are the rates that QBs were pressured on their drop backs, adjusting out the pressures that they were credited for allowing. All of this data is from PFF. This is the rate at which QBs were pressured by no fault of their own. Interestingly, all of Milroe, Sanders, and Dart were pressured around the same high rate. Sanders held the ball much longer than Milroe and Dart though, and this aligns with his very high QB allowed pressure rate. Dart has the lowest QB allowed pressure rate in the class, so a much larger % of his pressures were a result of poor O line play. The next tier of QBs with Ward, Howard, and Gabriel were pressured at a much lower level. Ward is the most notorious improviser in the class and extending plays is part pf his game, and he held onto the ball the longest. He had a good O line that gave him a lot of time back there. Will Howard had the 2nd lowest QB allowed pressure rate and the best time to throw. Its not pictured here, but he also has a very low pressure to sack rate. Ewers poor pocket presence was on display in the CFP. McCord dealt with the lowest amount of pressure in the class. Interestingly, when he was pressured, he threw more INTs than TDs. Ewers threw the same amount of TDs and INTs when pressured.

https://preview.redd.it/cg1m6qs5jxfe1.png?width=1130&format=png&auto=webp&s=9db55bbe0af097df95ee1087027048ce9dfa0491

22 Comments
2025/01/29
13:05 UTC

0

is being fat a advantage for a QB?

So I was watching the st brown podcast with Caleb Williams as a guest and when discussing body fat he brought up a very interesting point how QBs want to have a certain % body fat in order to better take hits and that has me wondering is body fat the most important aspect into long term QB health instead of weight?

For example Bryce is the size of high schooler and everyone said he could not survive a NFL season. In his rookie season he took 68 sacks and the most Hits in the league and played 16 games meanwhile Anthony Richardson who's a freak got injured pretty early into his career. It's also interesting how guys like Cam Newton and RG3 had their careers destroyed as well compared to other QBs

I mean you can also look at the Bears as well. Justin Fields never played a full season he got injured every single year. Caleb who by no means is fat but definitely not as ripped as Fields played a whole season behind a offensive line just as bad if not worse than he had

Is this just a coincidence or is there a advantage to being a fatter QB?

28 Comments
2025/01/29
07:37 UTC

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