/r/ElectionPolls
Tracking the 2024 US election polls all in one Reddit location!
Battleground State Poll Pages
National AVG - 25 Polls - Posted int he last 5 days
Biden +9.4 (11/2/2020)
General Battleground Polls: President ( Recent polling averages - Toss Ups are under 1%*)
Polling averages are based on the *PAST 5 DAYS** due to amount of polls)*
AK: Trump +7.0 (10/30)
AZ: Biden +4.16 (11/2)
CO: Biden +12.33 (11/2)
FL: Biden +3.84 (11/2)
GA: Biden +2.44 (11/2)
IA: TOSS UP (11/2)
KS: Trump +9.67 (10/30)
MI: Biden +9.4 (11/2)
MN: Biden +8.16 (11/2)
MO: Trump +7.0 (11/2)
MT: Trump +4.5 (11/2)
NEV: Biden +4.67 (11/2)
NC: Biden +2.75 (11/2)
OH: Trump +1.42 (11/2)
PA: Biden +6.16 (11/2)
SC: Trump +7.0 (11/2)
TEX: Trump +1.4 (11/2)
WISC: Biden +9.3 (11/2)
Senate Races
AK: (R-INC) SEN Sullivan +3.0 (10/30)
AZ: (R-Inc) DEM Kelly +6.83 (11/2)
COL: (R-Inc) DEM Hickenlooper +9.67 (11/2)
GA: (R-Inc) DEM Ossoff +1.57 (11/2)
GA SPEC (R-inc) DEM Warnock +5.25 (9/30)
IOW: (R-Inc) DEM Greenfield +1.33 (11/2)
KAN: (R-Inc) GOP Marshall +2.0 (10/30)
ME: (R-Inc) DEM Gideon +2.67 (11/2)
MICH: (D-Inc) Sen. Peters +8.38 (11/2)
MINN: (D-Inc) SEN Smith +8.8 (11/2)
MISS: (R-Inc) Hyde-Smith +5.5 (10/28)
MT: (R-Inc) TOSS UP (11/2)
NC: (R-Inc) DEM Cunningham +3.78 (11/2)
SC: (R-Inc) SEN Graham +1.33 (11/2)
TX: (R-Inc) SEN Cornyn +4.85 (11/2)
Governor Races
MO: (R-INC) GOV Parson +6.75 (11/2)
MT: (Open) GOP Gianforte +2.0 (11/2)
NC: (D-INC) DEM GOV Cooper +10.78 (11/2)
Main Poll Pages
2020 DEM Candidates
Donald Trump
Democrat Related
The Center
Republican Related
General Politics
Election Related
/r/ElectionPolls
Where the 10 million democrats go?
👁️👄👁️🕺WHAP WHAP WHAP TRUMP F EM UP. THEU NOT LIKE US. THEY NOT LIKE US.
Hello!
I saw a lot of percentages after the election about how people voted.
For example:
93% of black women voted for Kamala 7% voted for Trump
48% of white women voted for Kamala 52% voted for Trump
Etc etc
How do they get these statistics if peoples votes in the voting booth are private? I’ve always wondered how they get the %. Is it just an assumption based on what party people are registered as?
Thank you so much 😊
According the RCP, the national polling average was the following:
2024 National: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling (aggregate: 0.1 Harris, actual: 2.6 Trump) - Error Trump +2.7
2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling (aggregate: 7.2 Biden, actual: 4.5 Biden) - Error Trump +2.7
Is this likely a complete coincidence or have polls still not figured out the shy trump voter?
Is there anything to be said for the massive latino turnout being established latino citizens knowing the new border jumpers are giving them a bad name and voting as middle-aged white men?
Meaning, they voted to ensure the new immigrants aren’t allowed in to ruin what the old guard has established to ensure they stay and keep whats theirs?
Why was Trump telling people he already had enough votes before the election even took place? Why was he telling people he didn't need their votes? Did Elon Musk "fix" the election for Trump?
Just lay it all out, and keep responses civil please
I know most people here are going to say "what celebrities say don't matter" but that just isn't true. Unfortunately a lot of people are affected and influenced by what a celebrity says or does in this world so they're always going to have influence, especially with big things like this.
A lot of right wingers are in the YouTube comments on the left wing endorsement videos saying celebrities don't matter and calling them "the Diddy list" but then the same people are in right wing endorsement videos giving them praise and support.
The left wing had a lot of past politicians, artists, rappers, singers, etc but the right wing also had a lot of YouTubers, social media personalities and rappers too.
For example, the left had people like Oprah, Beyonce, Fat Joe, Michelle and Barack Obama, etc but then the right had people like Dana White, NELK Boys, Lil Pump, Adin Ross...
Like I don't know; the left endorsements seem a lot more credible than some podcasters and trust fund capitalists.
I don't know tho, what do y'all think about all of this and how the two endorsements compare?
Hope everyone is doing good, happy, healthy and alive.
In modern day elections, a +/-5% swing is major voter dominance. With some generalization, we witnessed this GOP advantage, but it was not forecasted. Even in the swing states, this was missed calling it either 'neck and neck' or 'slight 1-2% lead' (statistically tied) for Trump.
What are the factors that led to pollsters getting it so wrong?
So much Joy
From this point forward, the Democrats are no longer a viable political party who can win future elections. We need to find a new political party who can.
They announce the presidency and remaining results hit a wall. We still have the house to be determined. Why are the remaining results coming in so damn slow?
I don’t know if there will be a recount - I’ve heard talks of it and it looks like Trump won this year.
With all the fear mongering that is happening online - what will actually happen? Will Project 25 actually become a thing?
I am very confused and concerned about our future as a country, especially as statistics that I’ve seen show that a lot of people who voted for trump arnt college educated.
Did anyone notice that JD Vance did not use his wife as a prop for color? His wife indeed is a woman of color, she is as dark or darker than VP Harris, but he didn't play the color card like the Dems love, love, love, did I say love? To do. Whether you like him or hate him politics aside, this dude stood on his two feet and didn't have to use or relie on color to gain a foothold advantage.
So much is coming from the left, saying that lgbtq people will have no rights and freaking out. Gay people- why do you think there is a massive freak out amongst other gay people? Also would love to hear why you voted Trump. I can’t understand the delusional that “rights will be taken away”
Where? When? How?
You can find that for past elections, but I haven’t been able to find it for 2024.
I’m looking for numbers instead of percentages, like:
White men: 25,987,654
White women: 25,987,654
Hispanic etc, black etc:
Google is only giving me percentages
I am a Democrat and a Never Trump-er.
Popular vote by year:
2016 Dem Clinton 66m Rep Trump 63m 2020 Dem Biden 81m Rep Trump 74m 2024 Dem Harris 68m Rep Trump 73m
2020 looks like a ridiculous spike for the Dems. Maybe the Republicans were right about how the election was stolen.
I saw someone from the Philly area say one of the canvassers asked if she wanted to vote right then and their on their iPad instead of going to the polls. Curious if this happened to anyone else and if there’s any validity to it.
I want to ask a question and not get flamed, so I hope you can help me out.
Firstly, not American here, but fascinated with the US political system, so I watch a bit of cable news, different channels, so I see a little of what’s happening.
My question is this, the polls, yes on the likes of CNN, indicated that the momentum for some of the battleground states was swinging Harris in the final days. This is now clearly not the case, but why is there a reticence for people to say who they are actually voting for?
Is it that there is a stigma to say your are voting for a specific candidate, or is it that people just did not want to say they were voting for Trump?