/r/Futurology

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A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

-------- You can also find us in the fediverse at - https://futurology.today

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    Welcome to r/Futurology

    A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

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    Posting Rules
    1. Be respectful to others - this includes no hostility, racism, sexism, bigotry, etc.
    2. Submissions must be future focused. All posts must have an initial comment, a Submission Statement, that suggests a line of future-focused discussion for the topic posted. We want this submission statement to elaborate on the topic being posted and suggest how it might be discussed in relation to the future.
    3. No memes, reaction gifs or similarly low effort content. Images/gifs require a starter comment.
    4. No spamming - this includes polls and surveys. This also includes promoting any content in which you have any kind of financial or non-financial stake.
    5. Bots require moderator permission to operate
    6. Comments must be on topic, contribute to the discussion and be of sufficient length. Comments that dismiss well-established science without compelling evidence are a distraction to discussion of futurology and may be removed.
    7. Account age: >1 day to comment, >5 days to submit content
    8. Submissions and comments of accounts whose combined karma is too far in the negatives will be removed
    9. Avoid posting content that is a duplicate of content posted within the last 7 days.
    10. Text posts need to encourage in-depth and detailed discussion. Avoid generalized invitations to discuss frequently discussed topics. Submissions with [in-depth] in the title have stricter post length and quality guidelines
    11. Titles must accurately and truthfully represent the content of the submission
    12. Support original sources - avoid blogs/websites that are primarily rehosted content
    13. Content older than 6 months must have [month, year] in the title

    For details on the rules see the Rules Wiki.

    For details on moderation procedures, see the Transparency Wiki.

    On Futurology

    If history studies our past and social sciences study our present, what is the study of our future? Future(s) Studies (colloquially called "future(s)" by many of the field's practitioners) is an interdisciplinary field that seeks to hypothesize the possible, probable, preferable, or alternative future(s).

    One of the fundamental assumptions in future(s) studies is that the future is plural rather than singular, that is, that it consists of alternative future(s) of varying degrees of likelihood but that it is impossible in principle to say with certainty which one will occur.

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    /r/Futurology

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    9

    My criticism of the simulation hypothesis.

    in my opinion there's one big glaring problem with the simulation hypothesis, or more specifically the nested simulations version. The computer has to have the computation power to run not just the simulation it was built to, but also all the innumerable other simulations nested inside it. And since each simulation constructs another simulation inside it, eventually the outermost computer will inevitably crash.

    51 Comments
    2024/06/12
    01:11 UTC

    10

    UN World Population Prospects 2024 revision predictions?

    World population day is on July 11th, so just about a month away. The UN releases a new revision for global population every two years, usually on this day.

    In 2022, they revised their prediction of the world population peaking at over 11 billion down to peaking at 10.4 billion later this century. A loss of over half a billion people!

    Do you think that it might be further revised down in 2024?

    Any other region specific predictions?

    2 Comments
    2024/06/11
    22:47 UTC

    225

    AI is already taking jobs!

    Hey everyone,

    I wanted to share my thoughts on a topic that I think is affecting all of us, whether we realize it or not: AI taking jobs. Now, before you write me off as a boomer, doomer, or decel, hear me out. I'm neither pessimistic nor resistant to technological progress, but I do believe that AI is already chipping away at the job market in ways that are subtle but significant.

    Here's what I mean: AI might not be outright replacing entire jobs yet, but it's definitely taking over portions of various jobs. As these portions add up, they result in less demand for those roles, eventually leading to job losses.

    For instance, I recently cancelled my appointment with my nutritionist after having a conversation with an AI. The AI provided me with detailed and personalized dietary advice, which made me feel confident enough to skip seeing a human professional. This might seem like a small thing, but imagine this happening across different industries and professions.

    If AI can handle parts of our jobs—whether it’s providing customer service, managing schedules, or offering health advice—then the cumulative effect could be fewer people needed in those roles. Over time, this leads to fewer full-time positions and potentially more job losses.

    It's a bit of a domino effect: each small piece taken over by AI contributes to a larger shift in the job market. We need to think about how to adapt to these changes, whether it's through new skills, different career paths, or finding ways to work alongside AI rather than being replaced by it.

    And here's another example of how AI is taking over portions of jobs: AI wrote this article. By using AI to generate content, I saved time and effort that would normally be spent crafting this post myself. While this is convenient, it also highlights how AI is capable of performing tasks traditionally done by humans, further demonstrating the shift in job dynamics.

    What are your thoughts? Have you experienced anything similar with AI affecting your job or services you use? What strategies are you using to mitigate the coming changes? Let’s discuss!

    TL;DR: AI isn't just a future threat to jobs—it's already taking over portions of various roles, leading to fewer full-time positions. I canceled my nutritionist appointment after getting advice from an AI, and AI also wrote this article. Let's discuss how AI is affecting our jobs and what we can do about it.

    520 Comments
    2024/06/10
    16:21 UTC

    284

    AI Generates Police Reports from Body Cam - Our worst nightmare RoboCop Reality

    https://futurism.com/police-ai-generates-police-reports-body-cam-footage

    As Forbes reports, it's a brazen and worrying use of the tech that could easily lead to the furthering of institutional ills like racial bias in the hands of police departments. That's not to mention the propensity of AI models to "hallucinate" facts, which could easily lead to chaos and baseless accusations.

    "It’s kind of a nightmare," Electronic Frontier Foundation surveillance technologies investigations director Dave Maass told Forbes. "Police, who aren't specialists in AI, and aren’t going to be specialists in recognizing the problems with AI, are going to use these systems to generate language that could affect millions of people in their involvement with the criminal justice system."

    68 Comments
    2024/06/10
    04:47 UTC

    37

    There is a lot of buzz in the media about AI/ML. Have there been any jobs actually lost to AI?

    Just yesterday there was a buzz about the click-bait title in this article - MICROSOFT LAYS OFF 1,500 WORKERS, BLAMES "AI WAVE".

    Off the back of a strong third quarter, Microsoft is reportedly laying off somewhere between 1,000 and 1,500 workers across its Azure cloud and mixed reality departments.

    Reading through the article, it is actually an internal cost-cutting and layoff at Microsoft, not directly related to AI/ML.

    Automation is certainly leading to improved productivity and reduction in workforce. But are there references to actual jobs being lost to AI/ML in recent times?

    198 Comments
    2024/06/10
    03:23 UTC

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