/r/Futurology

Photograph via //r/Futurology

A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

-------- You can also find us in the fediverse at - https://futurology.today

  • Get a verified flair in r/Futurology

  • Source Quality: excellent good ok avoid

    C A T E G O R I E S

    3D Printing - Artificial Intelligence - Biotech

    Computing - Economics - Energy - Environment

    Nanotech - Robotics - Society - Space - Transport

    Medicine - Privacy/Security - Politics

    New to reddit? click here!

    Welcome to r/Futurology

    A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

    We're in the FEDIVERSE
    Posting Rules
    1. Be respectful to others - this includes no hostility, racism, sexism, bigotry, etc.
    2. Submissions must be future focused. All posts must have an initial comment, a Submission Statement, that suggests a line of future-focused discussion for the topic posted. We want this submission statement to elaborate on the topic being posted and suggest how it might be discussed in relation to the future.
    3. No memes, reaction gifs or similarly low effort content. Images/gifs require a starter comment.
    4. No spamming - this includes polls and surveys. This also includes promoting any content in which you have any kind of financial or non-financial stake.
    5. Bots require moderator permission to operate
    6. Comments must be on topic, contribute to the discussion and be of sufficient length. Comments that dismiss well-established science without compelling evidence are a distraction to discussion of futurology and may be removed.
    7. Account age: >1 day to comment, >5 days to submit content
    8. Submissions and comments of accounts whose combined karma is too far in the negatives will be removed
    9. Avoid posting content that is a duplicate of content posted within the last 7 days.
    10. Text posts need to encourage in-depth and detailed discussion. Avoid generalized invitations to discuss frequently discussed topics. Submissions with [in-depth] in the title have stricter post length and quality guidelines
    11. Titles must accurately and truthfully represent the content of the submission
    12. Support original sources - avoid blogs/websites that are primarily rehosted content
    13. Content older than 6 months must have [month, year] in the title

    For details on the rules see the Rules Wiki.

    For details on moderation procedures, see the Transparency Wiki.

    On Futurology

    If history studies our past and social sciences study our present, what is the study of our future? Future(s) Studies (colloquially called "future(s)" by many of the field's practitioners) is an interdisciplinary field that seeks to hypothesize the possible, probable, preferable, or alternative future(s).

    One of the fundamental assumptions in future(s) studies is that the future is plural rather than singular, that is, that it consists of alternative future(s) of varying degrees of likelihood but that it is impossible in principle to say with certainty which one will occur.

    Recommended Links
    Related Subreddits

    For a list of related subreddits, hover over top menu.

    popular discussions today

    transparency

    AMAs

    domain blacklist

    IRC

    glossary of terms

    source quality

    Chat with us on Discord!

    Apply to be a Mod here!

    /r/Futurology

    21,027,571 Subscribers

    3

    If AGI/ASI Were Achieved, How Would It Affect Aging Research?

    Hi,

    I've been wondering recently what would happen if humanity achieved AGI and then ASI in terms of the progress in treating aging. Recently, there's been talk about generalizing AI models that could potentially be capable of this in the future, as well as narrow-focused models.

    I can't quite imagine how this would proceed. I understand that we would have faster experiments in the lab, faster clinical trials, and possibly millions or billions of iterations by AI scientists with broad knowledge of human fields and perhaps IQ and reasoning beyond human capabilities.

    Additionally, there's the prospect of quantum computers and the possibility of creating simulations of the human body in a digitized form.

    This is a brief summary of what I've read about the futurism related to aging, but I'm curious about the opinions of those who have been in the field longer and have more knowledge. What could we expect in terms of treating aging if humanity achieved AGI/ASI as mentioned? How quickly would scientific breakthroughs occur, and if it's biologically possible to solve the problem of aging, how long would it take to solve it after achieving Artificial General Intelligence or Artificial Super Intelligence?

    6 Comments
    2024/11/20
    17:08 UTC

    0

    Eugenics and higher education for fostering intelligence, is it possible?

    I posted this purely out of curiosity, do not misinterpret this as anything else. Thank you.

    Would it be possible to enforce positively reinforced eugenics by encouraging healthy and logically intelligent individuals to donate sperm or act as surrogates? This could be achieved by identifying gifted individuals and incentivizing them financially to participate in the program.

    By encouraging creativity and acknowledging diversity this would allow the individuals to not just be bind by one way of thinking. I am not saying teach them as if they are only allowed to think in a certain way.

    The resulting children could then be raised in a strict educational facility focused on fostering logical reasoning and intelligence. Leadership, charisma, moral reasoning, and empathy would still be taught, but the primary focus would be on nurturing intelligence. The curriculum could include:

    • Advanced STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, Mathematics)
    • Logical and Critical Thinking
    • Multidisciplinary Learning
    • Emotional and Social Intelligence
    • Specialized Cognitive Enhancements
    • Ethics and Philosophy
    • Discipline and Self-Control

    By combining these aspects, genetically gifted children could grow up in an environment designed to force their brains to adapt, making them more intelligent and capable. Over time, these individuals could advance the world more quickly, offering innovative and efficient solutions to pressing global issues such as climate change and disease.

    As long as children are properly taught empathy and moral reasoning, it could mitigate concerns about ethical and moral implications. While this idea raises significant ethical challenges, the question remains: is it theoretically possible?

    51 Comments
    2024/11/20
    16:49 UTC

    8

    Could Bugs Hold the Key to Alien-Like Technology and Environmental Solutions?

    I’ve been thinking a lot about the potential of bugs—yes, insects—and how they might be the closest thing we have to “aliens” here on Earth. Their biology is so different from ours, yet they thrive in nearly every environment. Could studying bugs lead to breakthroughs that feel almost alien in nature?

    For example: • Immune Systems: Bugs have incredibly effective immune systems, using antimicrobial peptides to fend off infections. What if we could design antibodies based on these to protect not just humans, but other species and ecosystems? • Environmental Cleanup: Certain bugs can break down waste and even plastics. By enhancing these abilities, could we create natural “cleaners” to tackle pollution? • Agriculture: With declining bee populations, creating antibodies to protect pollinators could secure our food supply without relying on harmful pesticides. • Alien-Like Adaptability: Imagine bioengineering bugs that are resilient to extreme conditions, helping us explore harsh environments on Earth—or even other planets!

    It makes me wonder if we’re approaching the search for aliens too narrowly. If aliens exist, they might look more like insects than humanoids. Bugs’ collective intelligence, adaptability, and efficiency could resemble traits of alien civilizations more than we realize.

    What do you think? Are bugs the blueprint for alien-level innovation? Could enhancing their biology lead to a more sustainable future? Let’s discuss!

    22 Comments
    2024/11/20
    00:08 UTC

    0

    A Stability Equation for Humanity: Can It Last for Billions of Years?

    Body:

    I’ve been working on an idea to help stabilize humanity and create a framework that could last billions of years—potentially even surviving until the next universal reset. Here’s the equation I came up with:

    S = [(Hₒ × F × M) + C] ÷ V

    Here’s what it means:

    S = Stability (how balanced and harmonious humanity is).

    Hₒ = Hope (our vision for a better future, which drives progress).

    F = Faith (trust in systems, people, or ideas that keep us moving forward).

    M = Memory (lessons and knowledge from the past that help us make better decisions).

    C = Collaboration (how well we work together to solve problems).

    V = Volatility (things like conflict, misinformation, or instability that disrupt progress).

    The idea is simple: if we can keep hope, faith, memory, and collaboration strong while minimizing volatility, we create a self-reinforcing loop of stability.

    Here’s a quick example: If Hope = 8, Faith = 7, Memory = 6, Collaboration = 9, and Volatility = 4, the calculation looks like this: S = [(8 × 7 × 6) + 9] ÷ 4 = 86.25.

    Not bad, right?

    This kind of stability could help us manage chaos, avoid self-destruction, and even prepare for spreading out into the universe. If we integrate this equation into how we approach global problems, it could serve as a guide for progress—something that lasts for billions of years.

    What do you think? Could this work as a framework for humanity? How would you adjust it? I’d love to hear your thoughts.

    28 Comments
    2024/11/20
    00:02 UTC

    14

    Is the rapid rise of brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) the next step in human evolution, or are we risking a new kind of inequality?

    BCIs promise unprecedented enhancements in cognition, communication, and even physical abilities. But as access to such technology may be limited by cost or geography, are we headed toward a future where the "neuro-enhanced" dominate the unconnected? How should society regulate this tech to balance progress with fairness?

    60 Comments
    2024/11/19
    18:26 UTC

    0

    Ukraine war sparks the wave of innovation

    As losses mount and exhaustion sets in, both sides in the war are trying to replace humans with machines. Ukraine has struggled to replenish units depleted over time by fighting; Russia has reportedly turned to North Korea. Seven officials and industry figures told Reuters automation would be the main focus of battlefield innovation in the coming year. "The number of infantrymen deployed in trenches has decreased significantly, and combat command is possible to do online from a remote point, which reduces the risk of personnel being killed," said Ostap Flyunt, an officer in the 67th mechanised brigade. Ukraine now has more than 160 companies building unmanned ground vehicles, according to state-backed defence accelerator Brave1. They can be used to deliver supplies, evacuate wounded or carry remotely operated machine guns.

    31 Comments
    2024/11/19
    14:15 UTC

    129

    What emerging technology do you think will have the biggest impact on humanity in the next 20 years?

    There are so many innovations on the horizon, from renewable energy breakthroughs and advanced materials to space exploration and biotech. For example, nuclear fusion could completely transform how we produce energy, while advancements in gene editing might revolutionize healthcare. What’s one technology you think will reshape the world in the coming decades? How do you see it impacting society, and why do you think it’s important to focus on? Let’s discuss some game-changers that don’t get talked about enough!

    268 Comments
    2024/11/19
    09:18 UTC

    0

    What’s the most exciting (or scariest) future prediction you’ve come across recently?

    Futurists and researchers are always making bold predictions—some seem like exciting opportunities, while others feel like warnings we should take seriously. Have you read or heard about a prediction that stuck with you recently, whether it’s related to climate change, space exploration, bioengineering, or something else? Was it a vision of hope or something more dystopian? Share the prediction and why it resonated with you—I’d love to see a mix of optimism and caution in this thread!

    32 Comments
    2024/11/19
    09:17 UTC

    14

    What’s one technology or innovation you think will completely reshape society in the next 10 years? Why?

    We’ve seen incredible advancements over the last decade, from the rise of AI to breakthroughs in renewable energy. But what’s next? Will it be a technology we’re already familiar with, like quantum computing or fusion energy, or something entirely unexpected? What do you think will be the game-changing innovation that transforms the way we live, work, and interact with each other? I’d love to hear your predictions and the reasons behind them—whether they’re based on trends, research, or just your gut feeling.

    90 Comments
    2024/11/19
    09:17 UTC

    0

    How do new and emerging technologies impact the development in mobile phones ?

    New and emerging technologies in mobile phones is evolving rapidly and new technologies like advanced processors, 5G, and smarter software. But how exactly do these innovations shape Mobile Phone features like better camera quality, voice assistants, or personalized recommendations? Let's discuss how emerging tech is pushing the limits of what Mobile Phones can do in our pockets!

    6 Comments
    2024/11/19
    09:04 UTC

    0

    Here are all the existing cycle model combined to describe the next five years.

    The next five years, from 2025 to 2029, are expected to be marked by significant economic volatility and societal transformation. The Brennan Cycle anticipates a market peak followed by a downturn in 2026, urging investors to prepare for potential declines in stock holdings. The Fourth Turning theory suggests that this period will be characterized by a societal crisis, leading to major changes and conflicts as generational dynamics come into play. Meanwhile, the Kondratiev Waves indicate an approaching economic downturn, while the Juglar Cycle points to a contraction in business investments around 2026. The Kuznets Cycle may highlight increasing economic inequality, prompting social movements aimed at addressing disparities. Sorokin's Cycles predict a cultural shift driven by younger generations advocating for change, and the Blended Cycle Model emphasizes that these economic fluctuations will coincide with intensified societal responses. Overall, individuals and investors should prepare for a period of adjustment characterized by economic challenges and transformative social dynamics, necessitating adaptability and proactive engagement with emerging trends.

    3 Comments
    2024/11/19
    03:26 UTC

    7

    Future threats to research and knowledge security

    Hi everyone, I’m a student looking at threats to research and knowledge security. Here’s a list of the threats I’m worried about.

    • increased use of AI (from a research perspective: AI written research and authors using AI to complete their papers)
    • increased risk of disinformation shaping the way people think

    -future of public distrust in credible institutions whether it be the news, academia, or government

    I would love to know the public’s general assumptions about possible threats we could see when it comes to this!

    5 Comments
    2024/11/19
    02:47 UTC

    0

    As remote work becomes the norm, how do you think collaboration tools will evolve in the next few years?

    With automation on the rise, it’ll be interesting to see how tools like these shape team dynamics. Further, as the workplace continues to go digital, do you think there will be a point where physical offices are completely obsolete? Curious to hear your thoughts.

    10 Comments
    2024/11/19
    02:16 UTC

    0

    How to solve governance (including interstellar governance) using General Relativity

    how to solve governance (using general relativity. credit: Albert Einstein and Hawking)

    Ground ideas: This uses general relativity. GR states that time dilation can occur between two observers if one is traveling closer to speed of light. the effect becomes significant (especially in this context) as you close c; infinite at c, exponentially dilated around 0.99c (it's still noticeable as you get closer to c, but the faster you are to c, better in this context)

    1: have the station orbiting something at nearly the speed of light (probably on ergosphere of a black hole)

    2: have the actual government outside the station. (the station will contain the actual civilization, minus government)

    3: the government, since it travels at slowmo velocity, perceives the station (civilization) in a slowmo. = you can micromanage and deadlock decisions for years on end the perceived time on station would be compressed

    *does not work with direct democracy because direct democracy requires everyone to be on same timeframe (so yeah, universe hates direct democracy apparently) And this also works for interstellar governance too

    it would still take forever as the observer (government) to send message to the station, but the station would still take not some ridiculous years to actually get message.

    Hundreds to tens of days depending how close they are to c (I used Apha Centauri from earth as hypothesis and get around 230 days at 99% c, 30 days at 99.99%c

    Use of wormholes: That would cut down latency even more, but since this is hypothetical concept, I ruled this out of my thought process.

    11 Comments
    2024/11/19
    00:56 UTC

    1,118

    A new Chinese solar project, costing just $1.65 billion, has an annual output of 5.7 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) - half that of an average nuclear power plant.

    This is the Mengxi Blue Ocean Photovoltaic Power Station, now China’s largest single-capacity solar power plant. Worth noting is that it's built in the Gobi Desert, an area twice the size of Ukraine. So there's room for plenty more.

    Without grid storage, this is priced at about 10% of the cost of new nuclear projects.

    274 Comments
    2024/11/18
    18:49 UTC

    25

    Lucid Motors CEO on the Future of the EV Market and Why the Market for Cheap EVs "Sucks" (Podcast)

    Listen to the full episode here: Bold Names: Why This Tesla Pioneer Says the Cheap EV Market 'Sucks'

    For Part 1 of WSJ's new Bold Names podcast series, Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims sit down Peter Rawlinson, the CEO of Lucid, a billion-dollar auto startup he says has better technology than its rivals. The company recently completed a $1.75 billion stock offering, and has backing from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund.

    Now, as major automakers such as VolkswagenGeneral Motors and Ford pull back on their EV ambitions, find out why Rawlinson says Lucid’s all-in on luxury vehicles with a high price tag and, eventually, smaller batteries. Plus, why he says he won’t be building a $20,000 EV any time soon.

    Stay tuned for future installments of the podcast to learn what industry leaders think about the biggest moves happening in tech.

    100 Comments
    2024/11/18
    16:25 UTC

    Back To Top