/r/Futurology

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A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

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    Welcome to r/Futurology

    A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization.

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    Posting Rules
    1. Be respectful to others - this includes no hostility, racism, sexism, bigotry, etc.
    2. Submissions must be future focused. All posts must have an initial comment, a Submission Statement, that suggests a line of future-focused discussion for the topic posted. We want this submission statement to elaborate on the topic being posted and suggest how it might be discussed in relation to the future.
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    For details on the rules see the Rules Wiki.

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    On Futurology

    If history studies our past and social sciences study our present, what is the study of our future? Future(s) Studies (colloquially called "future(s)" by many of the field's practitioners) is an interdisciplinary field that seeks to hypothesize the possible, probable, preferable, or alternative future(s).

    One of the fundamental assumptions in future(s) studies is that the future is plural rather than singular, that is, that it consists of alternative future(s) of varying degrees of likelihood but that it is impossible in principle to say with certainty which one will occur.

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    2

    China releases international lunar research station construction timing and concept video

    Wu Weiren, Chief Designer of China's Moon Exploration Project, introduced that the International Lunar Scientific Research Station will be implemented step by step according to 2 phases:

    The first step is the basic construction stage. Before 2035, with the lunar south pole as the core, a comprehensive scientific facility with basically complete functions and basic supporting elements will be built.

    The second step is the expansion-type construction stage. Before 2045, with the lunar orbital station as the hub, it will have built equipment and facilities with perfect functions, considerable scale and stable operation.

    International Lunar Research Station concept video

    Moon exploration project:

    Chang'e-6 (to be launched around 2025): to carry out landing in the lunar polar region and return samples to verify the lunar-based guided high-precision landing technology.

    Chang'e-7 (to be launched around 2026): to carry out comprehensive exploration of the topography, material composition and space environment of the polar region of the Moon.

    Chang'e VIII (to be launched before 2030): to carry out lunar surface experiments of key technologies, complete the verification of the command center technology of the scientific research station, and build the basic type of international lunar scientific research station.

    Deep space exploration:

    Tianwen II (to be launched around 2025): to complete near-Earth asteroid companion flight, attachment, sample return and main belt comet orbiting, and to provide data and samples for frontier scientific research on the origin and evolution of asteroids.

    Tianwen III (to be launched around 2030): to return samples to Mars and carry out research on the morphology and material composition of the Mars landing zone, and the formation and evolution of Mars.

    Tianwen IV (to be launched around 2030): it will have the capability of orbiting the Jupiter system and arriving at Uranus, and will provide scientific exploration data for deepening scientific research on the Jupiter system and the interplanetary world.

    0 Comments
    2024/04/25
    05:30 UTC

    0

    Meta fell sharply after announcing its financial report. Will technology stocks be affected?

    Many investors thought Tesla's stock price would plummet after it released a poor earnings report, but the opposite was true. Tesla's surge has driven up the entire market, but you have to understand that Tesla is just speculation. The stock does not yet have a strong level of profitability to support the current stock price, and it will "fall" sooner or later.

    After Meta released its financial report, its stock price plummeted, once falling below $400! What will happen to the market tomorrow? I expect tech stocks to experience another short-term correction, so how should investors respond? If you want to know more, please send me a private message on Reddit and I can give you professional advice.

    4 Comments
    2024/04/25
    04:14 UTC

    11

    Would an infinite energy source allow for unimaginable tech advancement?

    I’ve heard a lot about infinite renewable energy sources, and how they could be a potential reality in the future. Infinite energy sources more powerful than fusion - the speculative and unlikely event we can harness ‘zero point energy’ or using antimatter to generate and harness energy, like you hear about potential antimatter engine. With zero point energy harnessing - if possible it’s even said that 1 cup of that energy would be able to boil all the worlds oceans.

    Say we had that type of energy - we made a massive breakthrough allowing for huge amounts of energy to be generated and stored - and this could be repeated forever.

    Granted the only thing that changed from here to then is our ability to create this unlimited energy, we did not create any new designs for other futuristic technology - What would be the state of our technology then? How would infinite energy change our tech? For example, would it become feasible to create an atomic assembler like from Star Trek - if we had this energy, without other massive massive breakthroughs? Do we already have the design, and theory for this type of device down to be able to actually build one if we have the massive energy requirements met - without massive engineering/physics breakthroughs otherwise?

    What about real life realistic holodecks also like Star Trek ? Say in this hypothetical scenario we have all the energy in the world, massive amounts of it available, do we have a working design today that we could build if we only had massive amounts of energy available for such a device? Or would further breakthroughs be required?

    What about a warp drive? Advanced quantum supercomputers? Centrifugal gravity in space?

    What I am trying to ask, is if we suddenly had all the energy in the universe, is our engineering knowledge sufficient enough to be able to build something like a replicator or holodeck or warp engine?

    Do we already have designs right now for a replicator/atomic assembler, that could only be built if we had the energy? Do we already have designs for a holodeck that could be built if we had the energy?

    How big of a change would infinite energy be for the devlopment of our tech? Are we held back primarily because we lack massive amounts of energy for technological advancement?

    Have we even begun to try to design such futuristic technology, at least on paper even when we don’t have the energy or physical capacity to execute such devices? If so, where can I find these designs/on paper prototypes for these devices? It would be interesting to see, so please link if you know of it. Did someone for example create a theoretical replicator design with an explanation to how it would work, on paper, or are we not even there yet?

    28 Comments
    2024/04/25
    00:04 UTC

    1

    3D Digital Twins and the Future of Work/Play with AI/AGI

    Hey, Reddit fam!

    Stumbled upon a fascinating article recently about a Silicon Valley team developing hyper-realistic 3D digital twins – basically avatars that look just like us with AI features! Their vision is to bridge the gap between gaming and real life by creating a whole ecosystem with mobile apps, a metaverse, and a social community. It gets even wilder – they plan to integrate it with fitness trackers, ID verification, fashion, and more!

    This has me curious:

    - What are your thoughts on the safety and privacy implications of such a connected, digital identity?
    - Can our phones even handle running something this graphically intense? What about accessibility for those with older devices?
    - Do you see a real need for this technology? Who would use it? (Personally, I'm super intrigued by the possibilities!)
    - What kind of applications for this technology are you most excited about (or worried about) when it comes to AI integration?

    6 Comments
    2024/04/24
    21:16 UTC

    28

    The Next 100 Years - How Realistic?

    Came across this video from 2021 by Upworthy Science and I'm curious how realistic these predictions are. Thoughts? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HY8xj5vOnGk

    Here's a breakdown of the predictions:

    2030-2040

    -       Wearable tech - detecting disease before symptoms appear.

    -       Bionic limbs become more prevalent.

    -       Animal and 3D printed organs successfully transplanted into humans – end of organ shortages.

    -       STEM cell treatments become widely available.

    -       Chemo treatments replaced by nanobots with the ability to seek and destroy cancer cells.

    -       First manned mission to Mars.

    2040-2050

    -       DNA datacenters go online- 1kg of DNA able to store all of the info ever created about humankind.

    -       Gene therapy developed to cure diseases and enhance performance – 2046 Olympics scandal due to gene doping.

    -       Mind machine interfaces become commercially available.

    -       Scientists work on genetically modified ecosystem – used in Martian colonies.

    -       CRISPR gene editing in humans is legalized.

    -       First baby birthed from artificial womb.

    -       VR replaces most traditional workplaces.

    -       Quantum computers and AI enable rapid design and testing of new drugs – can treat resistant viruses.

    2050-2080

    -       Wildlife parks for extinct species are established and used to regenerate ecosystems.

    -       Powered exoskeletons begin to replace wheelchairs.

    -       Mind machine interfaces can enhance intelligence, memory, and treat mental health issues.

    -       Renewables and carbon neutral biofuels have replaced fossil fuels.

    -       Bacteria, fungi, and plants are engineered to consume greenhouse gases and pollution and break down plastic waste in landfills and oceans.

    -       Plant based proteins in lab grown meat overtake animal products.

    -       Architecture is transformed by living biomaterials.

     2080-2021

    -       Average life expectancy reaches 100.

    -       AI reaches general intelligence with the ability to learn any human task.

    -       Brain emulation technology allows the uploading of memories and simulation of human consciousness.

    -       A Martian colony is established with an ecosystem of biological and machine life designed to terraform the planet.

    -       Starshot project – ability to travel at one-fifth the speed of light; cut the journey to Alpha Centauri from 50K years to 20.

    38 Comments
    2024/04/24
    19:04 UTC

    0

    The ageing population caused by the low birth rate is a problem.

    The real problem we have is not overpopulation but a lack of young people, it's not important to have a lot of people if many of them are retired, like in Japan and so on.

    The number of people over the age of 70 in the USA is expected to double by the end of the current century, from 12% to a quarter (in other words, 1 in 4 Americans will be over the age of 70).

    But in Europe the situation is expected to be worse, for example in Spain only 1 in 6 / 7 people will be under 20 compared to 1 in 4 today.

    And imagine the differences between the city and the countryside, the number of rural villages where the youngest inhabitant is an elderly person.

    The problem is: the lack of manpower, especially in jobs like construction that the elderly can't do and AI can't replace, at least for now, the difficulty of hiring workers and paying for pensions and other public services. The economy will be affected and there probably won't be as much prosperity.

    The health problems that unfortunately still exist, the elderly who won't have anyone to help them because not everyone is 100% healthy.

    Another thing that I fear will be seen a lot in the future is abandoned buildings, not only in villages but also in cities, buildings like schools and others that will be lost due to the lack of young people. At least for me it will be shocking to miss the young people and the atmosphere they bring.

    As I said at the beginning, the problem is not the lack of people but the lack of young people, and I believe that there must be major changes in capitalism and society because otherwise we are heading for a collapse (according to some experts), I believe that there will only be changes in the future but even then nothing is known.

    112 Comments
    2024/04/24
    18:47 UTC

    0

    How Exactly do Exoskeletons Interact With the Wearer?

    Electrically powered exoskeletons are advertised as "enhancing" the wearer's strength, but do they add to the wearer's strength or replace it entirely? That is to say, if I can lift 100lbs, and the suit can lift 200lbs, if I put it on, can I now lift 300lbs, or just 200lbs since that's what the exoskeleton is rated for?

    5 Comments
    2024/04/24
    18:10 UTC

    0

    How will we prevent the masses from using AI to learn how to make WMD at home?

    In the near future, AI will be able to teach us new technologies and ways of doing things that far surpass what we're capable of right now. Both new and old WMD tech will become accessible to the masses. A perfect example would be a deadly, contagious virus with a relatively long incubation period. And we won't just be dealing with one of these things at a time. Even if we use AI to teach us a countermeasure to every WMD that is being used, people will still be dying at a rate higher than the birth rate, meaning the countermeasures will only act as a speedbump.

    The only way to prevent this tech from causing a die-off of 99.9% of humans, as far as I can see, is to have a world government that keeps advanced AI in the hands of maybe one entity and closely surveilles the public for any signs that someone may know about tech they shouldn't know about. But of course, this won't happen, so we're basically screwed as far as I can tell.

    We need some communities to go into isolation from now until it's all over. Waiting until the deaths start happening before going into isolation won't be enough, because at that point you could, for example, already be infected with a virus that is in its incubation period.

    This isn't being taken seriously enough by people. I've posted this at various places on the internet and lots of people dismiss it out of hand because it's too horrific to acknowledge.

    What are your thoughts on this?

    58 Comments
    2024/04/24
    15:34 UTC

    536

    If plastic eating bacteria ever go rogue and start eating away all our plastics, what might happen to the world?

    Assuming it's a double-edged sword kind of deal where it gets rid of both microplastics and macroplastics.

    371 Comments
    2024/04/24
    12:12 UTC

    15

    This Sub's Interesting Peep Into The Future

    • Based on my previous post, here's a list of potential future unicorn industries and the number of times they were mentioned:
    1. Biotechnology/Genetic Engineering: Mentioned 12 times.
    2. Quantum Computing: Mentioned 5 times.
    3. Artificial Intelligence/Automation: Mentioned 4 times.
    4. Renewable Energy/Sustainability: Mentioned 4 times.
    5. Space Exploration/Commercial Aerospace: Mentioned 4 times.
    6. Robotics: Mentioned 4 times.
    7. Fusion Energy: Mentioned 3 times.
    8. Digital Currencies/Blockchain: Mentioned 2 times.
    9. Brain Parasites (Potentially in Medical/Neuroscience): Mentioned 1 time. Based on the frequency of mentions, the top three possible next industries are:
    • Biotechnology/Genetic Engineering: - Why: Biotechnology and genetic engineering have significant potential for revolutionizing healthcare, agriculture, and various industries. The ability to manipulate genes can lead to breakthroughs in disease treatment, food production, and more. Potential Companies:

    1. Adverum Biotechnologies: Leveraging its intravitreal platform, Adverum Biotechnologies aims to develop gene therapies for ocular diseases, particularly wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD), offering a potential one-time treatment for patients.

    2. Bluebird bio: Bluebird bio focuses on ex vivo gene therapy, using lentiviral vectors for treating rare genetic diseases such as beta-thalassemia, cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy, and sickle cell disease, with recently approved therapies like ZYNTEGLO and LYFGENIA.
    3. CRISPR Therapeutics: A major player in gene therapy, CRISPR Therapeutics uses its CRISPR/Cas9 platform to target genes responsible for serious diseases. Their recent FDA-approved therapy, CASGEVY, aims to treat sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia.
    4. Editas Medicine: Utilizing CRISPR/Cas12a and CRISPR/Cas9 genome editing systems, Editas Medicine is developing treatments for various diseases. Their lead candidate, reni-cell, targets sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia, showing promise in early-stage clinical trials.
    5. MeiraGTx: MeiraGTx employs gene regulation platform technology to develop treatments for ocular diseases, neurodegenerative diseases, and xerostomia. Their candidate, bota-vec, shows potential in treating X-linked retinitis pigmentosa and has received strategic investments from Sanofi.
    6. Rocket Pharmaceuticals: Rocket Pharmaceuticals has a pipeline of gene therapies for hematologic diseases using both adeno-associated viral vector (AAV) and lentiviral vector (LVV) approaches. Their therapy RP-L201 received Priority Review from the FDA for severe leukocyte adhesion deficiency-I (LAD-I).
    7. Sarepta Therapeutics: With a multi-platform approach, Sarepta Therapeutics focuses on precision genetic medicine for rare diseases. Their gene therapy, ELEVIDYS, received accelerated approval for treating Duchenne muscular dystrophy and is undergoing further evaluation.
    8. Vertex Pharmaceuticals: Vertex Pharmaceuticals co-developed CASGEVY, the first CRISPR-based gene therapy for sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia. They also have approved medicines for cystic fibrosis, demonstrating their commitment to transformative treatments.
    9. Verve Therapeutics: Verve Therapeutics uses base editing for cardiovascular gene therapy programs targeting genes like PCSK9 to reduce cardiovascular disease risk. Their lead candidate, VERVE-101, shows promising results in lowering LDL-C levels.
    10. Voyager Therapeutics: Voyager Therapeutics focuses on modifying the course of neurological diseases using its TRACER AAV capsid discovery platform. Their recent collaboration with Novartis aims to develop gene therapy candidates for genetic disorders.

    • Quantum Computing: - Why: Quantum computing has the potential to solve complex problems that classical computers cannot, revolutionizing fields like cryptography, drug discovery, and optimization. - Potential Companies:

    1. IBM Quantum: IBM is at the forefront of quantum computing, having recently launched its Quantum System Two, powered by the Heron chip. IBM aims to combat decoherence, a key challenge in quantum systems, and has plans to scale up to a 100,000 qubit quantum system by 2033.

    2. Google Quantum AI: Google Quantum AI made headlines in 2019 by claiming "quantum supremacy" with its Sycamore quantum computer. The company aims to continue its advancements, with plans to build a quantum system boasting 1 million qubits within the next decade. Additionally, Google Quantum AI offers the Cirq open-source framework for developing quantum algorithms.

    3. Amazon Quantum Solutions: Amazon's involvement in quantum computing includes its fully-managed service, Amazon Braket, which provides access to quantum hardware from various vendors. This service allows users to experiment with different hardware architectures and includes a Quantum Simulator. Recently, AWS unveiled a custom-designed chip aimed at significantly reducing errors in quantum computations.

    4. Microsoft Azure Quantum: Microsoft Azure offers a comprehensive set of tools and resources for quantum computing. The Azure Quantum platform provides access to quantum hardware, simulators, and development tools, allowing users to explore the potential of quantum computing and develop quantum algorithms.

    5. Intel Quantum: Intel is working towards delivering a commercial quantum system, with recent advancements including the release of a 12-qubit silicon chip named Tunnel Falls. Intel plans to integrate this chip into its full quantum stack and has announced partnerships to advance the development of fault-tolerant quantum computers.

    6. D-Wave Systems: D-Wave specializes in quantum computing systems, software, and services, focusing on quantum annealing technology. Its systems are used by enterprises like Google and NASA Ames for solving complex optimization problems at scale.

    7. Quantinuum: Quantinuum, formed by the merger of Cambridge Quantum Computing and Honeywell Quantum Solutions, offers trapped ion quantum computers with all-to-all qubit connectivity. The company has developed middleware and software products for various quantum computing applications.

    8. Rigetti Computing: Rigetti Computing builds and deploys integrated quantum computing systems based on superconducting qubit technology. Its cloud platform, Forest, enables programmers to write quantum algorithms.

    9. Xanadu: Xanadu is a full-stack photonic quantum computing company that builds quantum computers and provides quantum cloud services. Its systems are based on photonic technology and are designed for practical quantum applications.

    10. Atos Quantum: Atos Quantum offers the Quantum Learning Machine (QLM), a dedicated hardware infrastructure for developing and experimenting with quantum software.

    • Artificial Intelligence/Automation: - Why: AI and automation are already transforming industries, and further advancements could lead to even greater efficiency and innovation in sectors like healthcare, manufacturing, and transportation. Potential Companies:

    1. OpenAI - OpenAI is a leader in the development of advanced artificial intelligence models, pushing the boundaries of what AI can achieve across various applications.

    2. Anthropic - Anthropic specializes in the development of sophisticated AI models, contributing to advancements in AI technology with applications in various industries.

    3. Databricks - Databricks provides cutting-edge data analytics and AI deployment software, empowering organizations to derive valuable insights from their data and streamline AI implementation.

    4. Mistral AI - Mistral AI is dedicated to open-source AI model research, focusing on the development of innovative AI models and technologies to address complex challenges in AI development.

    5. Notion - Notion is at the forefront of productivity software development, offering innovative solutions to enhance collaboration, organization, and workflow efficiency for individuals and teams.

    6. ElevenLabs - ElevenLabs specializes in voice generation software, leveraging advanced AI technology to create natural and human-like speech synthesis for various applications.

    7. Figure AI - Figure AI is pioneering the development of autonomous humanoid robots, aiming to revolutionize industries through the integration of AI and robotics technologies.

    8. Glean - Glean provides advanced enterprise search engine solutions, enabling organizations to efficiently discover, access, and analyze vast amounts of data for informed decision-making.

    9. Harvey - Harvey develops AI models tailored for the legal industry, offering solutions that streamline legal research, document drafting, and case analysis for law firms and legal professionals.

    10. Perplexity - Perplexity is innovating in the field of general-purpose search applications, with a focus on reinventing the search engine experience through advanced AI algorithms and technologies.

    I hope this helps, I did it mostly for myself and to keep track but I thought maybe you guys found this interesting/useful.

    1 Comment
    2024/04/24
    08:24 UTC

    0

    The Virtual Future

    I believe that global peace could be achieved by unification in the pursuit of longevity and sensory-rich VR via Neuralink for all

    5 Comments
    2024/04/24
    02:31 UTC

    779

    What emerging technology do you think will have the most unexpected societal impact in the next 10 years?

    .

    707 Comments
    2024/04/23
    23:30 UTC

    68

    Do you think non techs will ever be able to create enterprise level web and mobile apps with no code tools?

    The kind of tools on the level of Asana, Salesforce, or Zoom.

    105 Comments
    2024/04/23
    20:34 UTC

    404

    Are there any up coming cures for male pattern baldness?

    I’m curious if there are any cures or ways to reverse or prevent coming in the foreseeable future?

    435 Comments
    2024/04/23
    16:46 UTC

    0

    How close are we to finding out about dark matter and dark energy?

    Title.

    22 Comments
    2024/04/23
    11:24 UTC

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