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Hi guys, iam planning to purchase premium acct to. Get stocl recommadtions, and why its recommadated So will able to get a glimpse on how market works from expertise pov. Pls recommend the best stock recommendation app/site.
With Pat Gelsinger retiring, the company is once again searching for a CEO who can steer it through its challenges.
Who do you think Intel needs next as CEO, and why? Should it be an insider with deep technical expertise or someone from outside with a fresh perspective? How do you think the leadership transition will unfold in the coming months/years?
Here’s a quick summary of Intel’s past CEOs, their departures, and the criticisms they faced, for reference:
CEO | Predecessor's Reason for Departure | Public Criticism or Perceived Failures | Successor’s Key Attributes |
---|---|---|---|
Pat Gelsinger | Bob Swan replaced due to lack of technical background | Struggled to regain process leadership; delays in 7nm; stiff competition from AMD and TSMC | Deep technical expertise, Intel veteran, proven leader at VMware |
Bob Swan | Brian Krzanich resigned after a policy violation | Failed to address manufacturing delays; lacked vision to compete with AMD/ARM-based chips | Stability-focused leader with strong financial acumen |
Brian Krzanich | Paul Otellini retired citing personal reasons | Poor handling of mobile market diversification; failed to anticipate ARM dominance | Manufacturing and operations expertise, Intel insider |
Paul Otellini | Craig Barrett retired as part of a planned transition | Missed opportunities in mobile chips, allowing Qualcomm and ARM to dominate | Strategic thinker, strong marketing and client focus |
Craig Barrett | Andrew Grove stepped down after transforming Intel | Slow diversification beyond PCs; overexposure to dot-com volatility | Deep engineering and manufacturing expertise |
Questions to consider:
Let’s look back in the future to see how close we were!
I am always looking for small/mid-cap companies that have a similar business model or product as large cap competitors!
I’ll start by naming a few (large-cap and small-cap) companies:
I always love seeing the small caps slowly take a piece of the pie from the big boys. It’s what capitalism is all about. Especially fun to see when the little guy has a better product. I think this is the case for almost all of the companies I listed. If they aren’t flat out better, they offer something slightly different, or are better in a certain way.
These smaller cap stocks are obviously a bigger risk, since a lot of them still are not making money, but the growth is very appealing.
Would love to hear some comparisons like this and an explanation as to why you think the smaller company is better, or will continue to grow.
Appreciate any responses! The stock market is a wonderful place for some competition.
Also, it’s my cake-day!
I love Costco, the stores are awesome and they have everything but i feel the stock has gotten out of control.
The PE is 59! you are paying $59 for every $1 they earn. Thats just irresponsible investing.
They are expanding across Asia but they are also facing stiff competition from home base Chinese companies. And one thing china is very good at: copying everyone else and selling stuff for cheap to eliminate competition. Im not saying Costco will fail but it wont be easy for them outside the US.
Lastly we have the tariff situation. The proposition is a 10% tariff on Chinese goods and a 60% tariff on Chinese imports. This is a bit of a problem because Costco is the #12 importer in the US for 2024. Most common origin is China. Walmart got smart and started to protect themselves and reducing Chinese imports but Costco and their business model, will have a much harder time navigating with keeping the prices attractive.
https://oec.world/en/profile/company/costco-wholesale
https://www.importgenius.com/importers/costco
All their top trading partners are Chinese companies.
Costco sells ALOT of electronics and appliances, its one of their biggest categories. If a TV cost $1000 today, staring Jan 20th(day one in office) it will cost $1600. Appliances going up $100's of dollars is hyper inflation and people are already stretched thin going into the holidays.
Im really looking forward to this upcoming earnings release and how they will guide going forward. I guarantee you all the analyst questions will be about tariffs and profit margins.
Costco's profit margin for fiscal 2023 was 2.6%. Costco's profit margin for 2024 was 2.9%. They can only raise the membership and prices so much before people starting shopping elsewhere.
Let's suppose that a few financial analysts have evaluated the intrinsic value of the shares of company X. By "intrinsic", I mean not only the value of the company underlying assets (tangible and intangible) minus liabilities but also any other type of fundamental analysis. By consensus, the intrinsic value was estimated at $1 per share.
However, the market value is $0.70. In other words, the stock is being sold at a discount. Is there any kind of arbitrage that forces the market price to converge towards the intrinsic value? I haven't yet found any reason that would encourage the increase in the market price beyond the usual speculation. Even if the stock has an intrinsic value of $1, shareholders cannot liquidate it outside the secondary market...
Arbitrage in derivatives markets is easier to understand. Suppose the market price of gold is M. To secure this price in the future, an investor can buy a gold call option at a price P (strike price), where M = P on the date of purchase of the option. After some time, the market price of gold is M+N. Consequently, the option has gained a value of N, that is: it can be sold directly for N to another investor. Even if there is no liquidity in the derivatives market to sell the option for N, the investor can exercise the right to buy gold for P and sell the gold in the spot market for M+N. From this exercise, he would obtain the same N.
In the equity market, I don't see a similar way for an investor to liquidate the intrinsic value of the stock. It doesn't make much sense either. So, there's only speculation left. If that's really the case, it's quite problematic. As a famous economist said: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
Salesforce shares were up 8% on Tuesday after the company reported its fiscal third-quarter earnings, reporting revenue and fiscal fourth-quarter guidance that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
Here is how the company did compared to what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
The company’s revenue grew 8% year-over-year during the fiscal third quarter, which ended on Oct. 31. Its net income was $1.5 billion in the quarter, up 25% from $1.2 billion a year ago.
Salesforce said that it is expecting fiscal fourth-quarter sales to come in between $9.90 billion to $10.10 billion. Analysts were projecting $10.05 billion in fourth-quarter sales.
The company said that it expects an earnings per share between the range of $2.57 and $2.62 in the fourth-quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.65.
Salesforce also raised the low end of its revenue guidance for its fiscal 2025 to come between $37.8 billion and $38 billion. That’s up slightly from $37.7 billion to $38 billion previously. The new range puts the mid point for Salesforce’s fiscal 2025 revenue guidance at $37.9 billion, ahead of analysts’ expectations of $37.86 billion.
“We delivered another quarter of exceptional financial performance across revenue, margin, cash flow, and cRPO,” Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff said in a statement. “Agentforce, our complete AI system for enterprises built into the Salesforce Platform, is at the heart of a groundbreaking transformation.”
The company in August announced that CFO Amy Weaver would step down from her role as chief financial officer but remain in the position until the company appoints a successor, after which she will become an advisor. That same month, activist investor Starboard Value revealed that it boosted its position in Salesforce by roughly 40% in the second quarter following the firm issuing a letter earlier in the year saying that Salesforce was continuing to move “in the right direction” in regards to improving its profit margin.
Starboard Value released a presentation in October in which it noted that Salesforce “can continue to become more efficient and more profitable.”
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/03/salesforce-crm-q3-earnings-report-2025.html
(Reuters) - Chipmaker Marvell Technology forecast fourth-quarter revenue above estimates on Tuesday, betting on robust demand for its custom artificial intelligence chips from businesses adopting booming generative AI technology.
Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based company rose more than 8% in extended trading following the results. The stock hit a record high during Tuesday's trading session.
Marvell's shares have risen nearly 60% this year as Wall Street pours billions of dollars into AI-linked stocks, placing huge bets on the future of genAI technology.
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/marvell-forecasts-fourth-quarter-revenue-221416119.html
So if you had a large chunk of money, and don’t want very much risk, but also want to receive a dividend. Is KO (coca cola) the best choice? If I can get the dividend to be a certain amount for myself while taking on minimal risk, to me it seems logical. Anyone else invested? Do you pocket the dividends or reinvest?
These companies have ridiculous PE ratio's, the lowest one is Apple at nearly 40. this stock trades at 21 on average and if anything it should be lower than that since there is very little future growth opportunity.
Then there is Walmart, just a retailer but trading at a PE of 50 and Costco which trades at nearly 60! Higher than Nvidia! They are valued like newly profitable growth stocks but are mature companies. The thing that baffles me the most is the fact that they were expensive going into this year, but the multiples have only expanded!
Is there something I'm missing? in my opinion analysts and the market as a whole are wayyyy too optimistic about these 3 and I wouldn't be surprised if they saw a biiig correction once things stop looking like the absolute best case scenario.
The Japanese automaker is facing severe financial challenges and may run out of cash within 12 months, putting it on the brink of bankruptcy.
Apple, with its bold ambitions to enter the electric vehicle (EV) market, has already invested over $10 billion in R&D for the Apple Car. Despite canceling the project earlier this year, that investment exceeds Nissan's current valuation.
Partnering with Nissan could help Apple overcome the manufacturing hurdles it faced with its EV project. Nissan has proven expertise, having produced the Nissan Leaf, the best-selling non-Tesla EV of all time.
The global EV market is one of the fastest-growing industries, projected to double by 2030. By acquiring Nissan, Apple could transform its vehicles into sleek, cutting-edge products that seamlessly integrate into the Apple ecosystem.
This move would allow Apple to directly challenge Tesla, reinforcing its position as the world’s most valuable company, ahead of competitors like NVIDIA and Microsoft.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) today announced that it has been granted FedRAMP High Authorization for Palantir Federal Cloud Service (PFCS) and Palantir Federal Cloud Service - Supporting Services (PFCS-SS). These authorizations cover the entirety of Palantir’s product offerings and programs—including AIP, Apollo, Foundry, Gotham, FedStart, and Mission Manager—and therefore enable Palantir to provide any of its product offerings to the U.S. Government at the FedRAMP High baseline.
FedRAMP is a government-wide program that promotes the adoption of secure cloud services across the federal government by providing a standardized approach to security and risk assessment for cloud technologies and federal agencies. This High authorization builds on Palantir’s previous FedRAMP Moderate and DoD IL5 and IL6 authorizations, and enables the U.S. government to process the most sensitive unclassified workloads in Palantir’s cloud offering.
“We’re proud to have achieved the FedRAMP High milestone for our full product suite, including our award-winning AI Platform (AIP), which is transforming the speed, scale, and efficiency with which the US Government can operate across civilian, defense, and intelligence agencies. With the addition of the PFCS-SS FedRAMP High offering, Palantir is excited to accelerate our work with other technology partners—big and small, government or commercial—to enable their technology to be securely operated on behalf of USG missions,” said Akash Jain, CTO and President of Palantir USG. “This milestone is an affirmation of our ongoing commitment to upholding the highest security standards and being trusted to handle our government partners’ most sensitive data and workloads, as well as our commitment to enabling the entire American technology base to support critical government needs.”
Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.
This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations, I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.
I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.
PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you- doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.
News: China Bans Germanium Gallium Exports To Us In Tit For Tat Move
TSLA - Musk's pay package once again rejected by Delaware judge. Watching $350 level, biased short but no position. I am watching the $360 level.
X - Pres #47 states that he is against the company being bought by Nippon Steel or any other foreign company.
ZS - Beat on earnings, EPS of .77 vs .63 exp, and revenue of $628M VS $606M. Selloff attributed to in-line revenue guidance not being as robust as expected.
MP - Moving off of China's ban of key minerals to the US.
CPNG- Moving off of martial law declared in SK, will likely be the best choice for trading any news related to SK.
This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme.
Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions.
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
Hi guys. If you could please help me out i’d be very grateful. My grandmother passed recently. My father, who was her POA found some stock certificates (old paper ones) for GE ranging from 25-35 years ago.
She got dementia 3 or 4 years ago and forgot all the details of her life. I was told to have my dad call the share owner services which he did. The only info they would give is that my grandmothers account or stocks are “inactive”. That’s the only info other than if he wanted more information he has to mail copy of death certificate, POA form , etc.
If what i found on google is correct , it sounds like the stocks were escheated, but we don’t know the next step from there. She lived in CT and FL, then back to CT after she got sick. We just don’t know the process at all. Any info would be very much appreciated. thankyou
Rivian's potential $6.6 billion DoE loan catches eye of Musk-Ramaswamy's DOGE – rivianist
It appears to have started. The goal seems to be the utilization of government resources to establish a monopoly.
The question is whether there are checks and balances left in place to at least slow down such widespread corruption?
He is pushing hard to be the first( and the biggest) oligarch in the United States.
Can anything positive come out of this ?
Just released on the Department of Defense contracts website:
Raytheon Technologies Corp., Pratt and Whitney Military Engines, East Hartford, Connecticut, is awarded a not-to-exceed $1,307,562,308 cost-plus-incentive-fee, cost-plus-fixed-fee, fixed-price-incentive-fee modification (P00062) to a previously awarded contract (N0001921C0011). This modification exercises an option to provide recurring depot level maintenance and repair, sustainment support, program management, financial and administrative activities, propulsion integration, replenishment spare part buys, engineering support, material management, configuration management, product management support, software sustainment, security management, joint technical data updates, and support equipment management for all fielded F135 propulsion systems at the F-35 production sites and operational locations, to include training in support of the F-35 Lightning II aircraft for the Air Force, Marine Corps, Navy, Foreign Military Sales (FMS) customers, and non-U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) participants. Work will be performed in East Hartford, Connecticut (40%); Oklahoma City, Oklahoma (21%); Indianapolis, Indiana (12%); West Palm Beach, Florida (6%); Windsor Locks, Connecticut (6%); Brekstad, Norway (4%); Leeuwarden, Netherlands (3%); Iwakuni, Japan (3%); Williamtown, Australia (2%); Cameri, Italy (1%); Marham, United Kingdom (1%); and Fort Worth, Texas (1%), and is expected to be completed in November 2025. Fiscal 2025 operations and maintenance (Air Force) funds in the amount of $120,832,842; fiscal 2025 operations and maintenance (Marine Corps) funds in the amount of $96,937,132; fiscal 2025 operations and maintenance (Navy) funds in the amount of $27,202,749; FMS funds in the amount of $33,789,077; and non-U.S. DOD participant funds in the amount of $68,454,797 will be obligated at time of award, $244,972,723 of which will expire at the end of the current fiscal year. The contract being modified was not competed. Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the contracting activity.
Source:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Contracts/Contract/Article/3982244/
A Delaware judge ruled on Monday that Tesla, CEO Elon Musk still is not entitled to receive a $56 billion compensation package despite shareholders of the electric vehicle company voting to reinstate it.The ruling by the judge, Chancellor Kathaleen McCormick of the Court of Chancery, follows her January decision that called the pay package excessive and rescinded it, surprising investors, and cast uncertainty over Musk's future at the world's most valuable carmaker.
Tesla has said in court filings that the judge should recognize a subsequent June vote by its shareholders in favor of the pay package for Musk, the company's driving force who is responsible for many of its advances, and reinstate his compensation.McCormick also ordered Tesla to pay the attorneys who brought the case $345 million, well short of the billions they initially requested.
Sources:
General Motors plans to sell its stake in a $2.6 billion electric vehicle battery cell plant in Michigan to its joint venture partner LG Energy Solution, the automaker announced Monday.
The Detroit carmaker said it expects to recoup its investment in the facility, which a source familiar with the plans said is anticipated to be roughly $1 billion. The sale is part of a non-binding agreement between the two companies that’s anticipated to close during the first quarter of next year, GM said.
The nearly completed, 2.8 million-square-foot plant in Lansing, Michigan, was expected to be the third battery cell facility of the joint venture, known as Ultium Cells LLC, following plants in Ohio and Tennessee that have already opened and are operational.
The Lansing plant was announced in January 2022, and the two companies first announced their joint venture five years ago.
GM’s move comes as the automaker attempts to right-size production of electric vehicles and confronts slower-than-expected consumer demand. It also comes amid uncertainty regarding federal incentives for manufacturing and purchasing EVs in the U.S. under President-elect Donald Trump.
The automaker said the sale does not impact its overall ownership stake in the joint venture or its future plans for a separate joint venture plant with LGES rival Samsung SDI.
“We believe we have the right cell and manufacturing capabilities in place to grow with the EV market in a capital efficient manner,” GM CFO Paul Jacobson said in a release. “When completed, this transaction will also help LG Energy Solution meet demand by leveraging capacity that’s nearly ready to come online and it will make GM even more efficient.”
GM said the South Korean battery supplier will have immediate access to the Lansing facility to begin installation of equipment. The plant, which currently employs nearly 100 people, was expected to begin operating by the end of this year.
Separate from the sale of its stake in the Lansing facility, GM on Monday announced it will extend a 14-year battery technology partnership with LGES to include the development of an emerging type of battery cell called prismatic cells.
Prismatic cells are a flat, rectangular shape with a rigid enclosure, which allows for space-efficient packaging within battery modules and packs. GM said the cells are expected to reduce EV weights and costs, while simplifying manufacturing by reducing the number of modules and mechanical components.
“We’re focused on optimizing our battery technology by developing the right battery chemistries and form factors to improve EV performance, enhance safety, and reduce costs. By extending our partnership with LG Energy Solution, we’re taking an important step towards these goals,” Kurt Kelty, GM vice president of battery cell and pack, said in a release.
GM had previously said it planned to expand its battery cell technologies from its flat “Ultium” pouches to include other forms such as prismatic cells.
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/02/gm-battery-cell-plant-lg.html
Roth MKM upgraded Tesla to a Buy rating from Neutral, citing increased demand potential linked to Elon Musk's perceived alignment with former President Donald Trump. Musk's "authentic support" for Trump, according to Roth MKM, might increase Tesla's customer base among conservative voters, hence improving the demand trajectory and supporting management's direction for 20%-30% delivery growth in 2025. The company said that this development lends legitimacy to Tesla's projected expansion.
Firstly congrats everyone on RKLB, ACHR and LUNR gains. It was fun ride, I have to be honest I had jumped off the wagon a bit earlier but hat off to all of you that mooned!
Also for some of you that jumped on ZETA, enjoy the good days that await.
But let’s talk about IOVA…:
Another biopharma stock trying to solve the issues of cancer. An industry that is a Holy Grail for all pump and dumpers out here.
But is this one different? To be honest I do not know, but that is why I am posting this. To hear other sides, other points of view.
IOVA is currently sitting around $9. These are levels of before the this year run to $16 (what goes up must come down, when pumped and dumped). However… this company reported revenues, 90.86mil revenue to be precise. Granted, not enough to support current market cap but bear in mind it is bio industry we talk about. It takes 1 approval and it is too late.
Leadership: CEO is there since 2016, seems like an experienced guy. Was contributor to many oncology drugs already developed and approved.
Others seem legit as well, this post is already too long… feel free to research yourself.
They also own a bit less than 12% so there is certain commitment there. And of course the vanguard, black rock etc. are heavily involved as well. More than 87% is owned by institutions.
Amtagvi product got approved by FDA and that is now generating certain revenue. They plan tk get approval in Canada, Europe and UK as well.
They also work on LN-145, IOV-4001 and IOV-3001 but let’s be honest these are long shots and nothing guarantee success of these.
I know these are speculations and putting some numbers from the future is no way to go but I feel like I have to just to make this post a bit more complete.
Potential yearly revenue if approved broader and if nothing goes wrong is 12billion (amount of people with cancer of specific type * cost of treatment) but realistic values at beginning is 1-2bill per year or even less.
And then for all the gamblers time that with moon if other drugs get approved as well.
Company with 90mil revenue and 80 million of debt with 2,8 billion market cap and 440 million of operating expenses. Company with future (on the moon or in the sand). Do you hate IOVA or you will become a bag holder?
Please share your opinions.
I want to thank everyone that raved about ACHR! Without you I would've never heard about this stock. But over the weekend I did. And I decided to read upon on it and decided this Monday I would allocate some of my funds to this stock. NEVER EVER in my life have I gotten the great pleasure to witness 23% of my initial investment gone in a matter of 30 fucking minutes.
Wow, it's such an amazing feeling!
Thank you guys!!
Super Micro Computer surged more than 14% after a special committee ruled that it found “no evidence of misconduct” at the embattled AI server maker, and appointed a new chief accounting officer.
“The evidence reviewed by the Special Committee did not raise any substantial concerns about the integrity of Supermicro’s senior management or Audit Committee, or their commitment to ensuring that the Company’s financial statements are materially accurate,” the company said in a release.
Super Micro said it’s also currently searching for a new chief financial officer, and looking to fill additional financial leadership positions. The company appointed current Vice President of Finance and Corporate Controller Kenneth Cheung as its chief accounting officer.
The news from Super Micro Computer comes on the heels of a volatile year for the company. Shares sank in August after Hindenburg Research revealed a short position in the company, saying that it found “fresh evidence of accounting manipulation” and the company delayed the release of its annual filing.
Those troubles continued, with Ernst & Young resigning as the company’s auditor in October due to concerns about the board’s governance and independence. Shares are up about 30% this year, after giving back much of its rally. Last month, the company averted a potential delisting from the Nasdaq following its monster plunge.
Among the findings, the committee ruled that the conclusions reached by Ernst & Young in its resignation were “not supported by the facts” and that the firm’s audit committee exhibited “appropriate independence and generally provided proper oversight.”
The special committee consisted of Super Micro’s board, counsel from Cooley LLP and a team from forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors.
Since October 2024, Broadcom has underperformed many of its technology peers as investors have rebalanced their allocations to the semiconductor sector.
Despite the recent relative weakness, Broadcom has remained in line with the S&P 500, demonstrating stability.
Broadcom expects AI revenue to reach $12 billion in fiscal 2024, accounting for less than 25% of total revenue.
Custom AI chips are at the core of Broadcom is AI revenues, accounting for up to two-thirds of the total, driven primarily through partnerships with hyperscalers such as Microsoft, AWS, and Google.
Customized chips are expected to play a more important role over the next five years, helping customers address AI cluster scaling and cost challenges.
Broadcom is leadership in the networking market could be challenged by NVIDIA, which is capturing the market with more competitive networking solutions.
Broadcom is growth in AI, while promising, is still a low percentage of overall revenue from AI.
Weakness in the non-AI revenue segment could undermine the market's bullish confidence in Broadcom.
Wall Street is constructive on Broadcom, but future guidance needs to remain strong to maintain market confidence.
Broadcom is forward-looking PEG ratio of 1.69 is attractive compared to the tech sector average of 1.89.
I think attention needs to be paid to the company's execution in AI and potential headwinds in non-AI businesses.
On balance, Broadcom stock is under short-term pressure, but the long-term bullish logic remains in place for investors who are optimistic about AI growth prospects.
Broadcom is long-term growth potential remains with its AI business and custom chip capabilities. I think it needs to be cautious about AI revenue expectations and pay attention to the performance and future guidance of its non-AI business.
T hasn't made it to the white house yet and he's already cleaning house and arranging furniture, meeting with heads of state as if he's really running things. He's lucky Elon is right there next to him doing the heavy lifting to make things more - efficient.
It got me wondering about the defense sector. The pentagon has failed every audit for the last several years which leads me to believe all these defense contractors are getting kick backs off the books but also their contracts might be over inflated and they taking advantage of Uncle Sam's check book because he doesn't really know what hes signing off on.
Its possible the Dept of Justice might sue them to pay back their, corrupt pricing over the years.
The other factor is Jan 20th inauguration day. Trump clearly said he's not paying a dollar more to Ukraine, so that means billions of dollars is no longer going to flow to the bottom line. Hezbollah and Israel signed a deal. So things are staring to look more peaceful. Zelensky said he might be willing to make concessions on land to make peace.
So the question is, are defense contractors overvalued?
I just don't think they'll be able to sustain earnings like the last two years. The spending will drastically slow.
I’ve been an investor in NU for a while now. I firmly believe the market is panic selling because Warren Buffet sold 19% of his stake in the company.
Today the company is down again because Citi bank downgraded its rating on NU to a sell.
Why do people care that Citi bank downgraded to a sell? It’s literally a bank that could potentially have to rival NU soon if they break into USA markets. Citi bank is just worried about a rapidly growing, amazing company.
If anything, the downgrade should be seen as a good sign. It shows that american banks like Citi are starting to feel a bit of pressure from how fast NU has been able to expand its user base.
I know Brazil has made changes to its financial regulations. However, NU is rapidly expanding its user base to other countries. Plus, Brazils projected annual GDP growth per year is very good.
Do you guys agree?
~ EDIT: ~ (Thanks for all your thoughts. I’ve realized there are a few key things I overlooked.
I previously thought the stock was heavily owned by retail investors, similar to SoFi’s stock. I naively assumed this because the stock is frequently discussed on social media. Due to this preconceived notion, I believed the stock price would be significantly influenced by analyst ratings. I still think a large number of people have started to sell because of Warren Buffett reducing his stake and Citi’s sell recommendation. However, I now see that the primary factors driving this downturn are geopolitical and economic risks in Brazil.
My updated assessment is that the stock is being sold for a few very valid reasons. Firstly, Brazil’s inflation has been rising over the past few quarters. Secondly, Donald Trump has threatened BRICS nations with 100% tariffs if they decide to create a currency to rival the U.S. dollar. Thirdly, Warren Buffett sold 19% of his stake in the company. Fourthly, the value of Brazil’s currency has been declining and recently hit historic lows compared to the U.S. dollar. Finally, Brazil’s government spending was recently cut, potentially signaling a slowdown in their economy.
Overall, people are very concerned about the economic and geopolitical risks surrounding NU, especially since it is a Brazilian company. Brazil has a historically unstable economy and is currently facing economic headwinds that are amplified by the risk of potential tariffs.
I’m taking a cautious approach from here on out. I won’t be selling any shares, but I also won’t be buying more until the stock price consolidates and the Brazilian economy stabilizes.
I’m still very bullish on NU because the company has grown unbelievably fast in just 11 years. They survived Brazil’s economic collapse in 2014–2016, and they also weathered the last round of U.S. tariffs on Brazil in 2018. I believe NU will continue to expand rapidly into other Latin American countries, which will reduce its exposure to Brazilian tariffs and economic challenges. The CEO and management team are extremely competent, and I believe in their ability to navigate these challenges in the long term.
The worst-case scenario would be if the BRICS nations successfully create a new currency. Even then, I still believe NU will be okay due to its expansion into other markets. For now, I’m holding and remain very bullish on the business.)
Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.
This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations, I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.
I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.
PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you- doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.
Interestingly enough, a lot of executive replacements today.
News: US Tightens Curbs On China's Access To AI Memory And Chips Tools
SMCI - CFO is being replaced.
NVCR - Jumps due to trial results of therapy for pancreatic cancer, Phase 3. Demonstrated statistically significant improvement. Watching $30 level.
INTC - CEO Gelsinger leaves company, stock up around 3%. CFO/Product CEO will serve as interim leaders.
STLA - Stellantis CEO has resigned, effective immediately due to problems in the US, falling sales.
TSLA - JPM is dropping lawsuit against TSLA over their stock warrants
Earnings: ZS
https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/02/intel-ceo-pat-gelsinger-retires/
Intel has announced that CEO Pat Gelsinger has retired, effective December 1, and stepped down from the company’s board of directors. David Zinsner and Michelle Johnston Holthaus have been named interim co-CEOs. Zinsner is executive vice president and chief financial officer, and Holthaus has been appointed to the newly created position of CEO of Intel Products, a group that spans the company’s client computing group, data center and AI group, network and edge group.
Opinion varies by sub - they guys in MSTR think its going to pump like crazy soon. I'm just curious what you guys think as stock and trading experts.
We all know Michael Saylor has been stacking bitcoin like crazy, and its a leveraged bet on bitcoin. But any opinions are really valuable
Thanks!
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Denmark-based pharmaceutical company that produces weight loss blood sugar/diabetes drugs as the main revenue streams. Growing Intrinsic about 20% / year
Biotech for chronic illness. 20-25% Intrinsic growth
Swedish rare disease biotech company, 20% Intrinsic growth ( U.S. ticker ADR is $SWDBY foreign ordinary U.S. is $SDWBF )
Neurologicaal disease/disorder pharma. 25% Intrinsic growth
Biotech devices, Insulin pump. Growing Intrinsic 25% / year