/r/StockMarket

Photograph via snooOG

Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market in general are all welcome.


Objectives:

Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market in general are all welcome.

Warning!

If you are new to the markets, you may wish to see our submission guidelines and stock market resources section below which have some helpful links:


Our official Discord Investing chat: https://discord.com/invite/investors


Submission Guidelines

  1. Please search before posting: If you are new to the markets and about to ask how to get started, click here instead. Additionally, see our quick guide on how to ask good questions and share quality content.

  2. No Self Promotion: This includes links to your YouTube videos, discord chats, personal websites, Twitter/Instagram/social media accounts, trading services, subreddits, and so on, and applies to both posts and comments. If you have something you believe would be valuable to our community, message the moderators to discuss it before posting.

  3. No Spam: In general, if you have to ask "is this spam?" - it's spam. Spam includes but is not limited to lazy or low effort posts, copying and pasting the same post across multiple subs, posting the same thing multiple times in the same sub, clickbait, self promotion, referral links, surveys, and anything else that could be regarded as shady or unwelcome. Violating spam rules may result in a permanent ban.

  4. Absolutely NO Harassment: Well-reasoned arguments and disagreements are welcomed. Harassment and personal attacks are not. We have a zero tolerance policy for this rule. Harassment includes but is not limited to ad-hominem attacks, racism, discrimination, sexual harassment, hateful/violent language, slurs, and in general just being an asshole. If you are being harassed, report it to us or Reddit admins. If you are harassing someone, you will be permanently and immediately banned and reported to Reddit admins.

  5. No Pump & Dumps/Low Volume Stocks: Avoid sharing content involving low-volume stocks (less than 500k shares average daily volume), OTC stocks, penny stocks and other market instruments that could be easily influenced by a large amount of exposure. Do not attempt to manipulate the market using our subreddit or push any sort of personal agenda with regard to trading.

  6. Flair Meme Posts! - This subreddit's purpose is to analyze, discuss, and participate in stock market related areas. Jokes, images and memes might not add much quality. You can post memes, but be sure to flair them. You may face a ban if your memes are terrible.

  7. No Low-Effort Posts: If posting a link, we ask that you provide some commentary behind the link unless the title is self-explanatory and significant. Any text post that is just a copy and paste of the article content or a screenshot without commentary driving some sort of discussion will be removed.

  8. Memes only on the weekends: Please only keep memes to weekends, we will remove them if posted on a weekday.

Stock market resources:


Note: Nothing posted here by any redditor should be construed as investment advice. Don't be stupid! If you need serious investment advice, contact a financial adviser!


Subreddits We recommend

If you need any advice or information on mid to long term investing, please visit:


/r/StockMarket

3,085,159 Subscribers

0

What is this behaviour vrođź« 

#indianstockmarket #mostexpensivestock

2 Comments
2024/11/01
04:04 UTC

0

The perfect app to trade ?

Yo, I'm currently seeking the perfect trading app for me.

So like it need to be available in France, also it needs to be adapted for daytraders and classical trading operations. I want to invest a 1,000 euros.

I've tried AvaTrade already but for some the reason not all stock is appearing to me (maybe i'm dumb idk, like if someone could explain lmao) and the commision is too high, I would prefer a commision based on the numbers of shares purchased rather than a flat flee but that's not that much important if it's a low price I guess.

(Bro this 560 letters rule is shit bruv, I couldn't post sorry for this)

0 Comments
2024/11/01
01:11 UTC

0

It could always be worse

23 Comments
2024/11/01
00:06 UTC

44

Got lucky gambling on Reddit back in March… but is there going to be a dip from some people cashing out?

23 Comments
2024/10/31
18:22 UTC

11

Is Apple at risk of overvaluation

We use the DCF model to value Apple. Apple's total debt of $100 billion is almost insignificant compared to its market capitalization of $3.5 trillion. Therefore, using cost of equity instead of WACC looks like a fair choice. With a cost of equity of 9.9%, the

Based on consensus, revenue growth is expected to accelerate from single digits to 12.6% in FY 2027. Due to the issues I described above, I think this is a risky assumption. Therefore, I have adopted a “rule of thumb” revenue CAGR of 8% for my DCF, as it is consistent with the consensus forecast for the next two fiscal years (sample of over 40 Wall Street analysts). The leveraged FCF margin is 22.34%. I expect it to remain flat due to the long-term issues mentioned above. To balance my cautious stance on the 1-5 year horizon, I am optimistic about Apple's 5% permanent growth rate.

3 Comments
2024/10/31
15:38 UTC

175

Did I miss something? Why is everything dropping the last 2 days?

447 Comments
2024/10/31
14:53 UTC

16

These are the stocks on my watchlist (10/31)

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.
This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations; I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.

I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.

PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you – doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.

News: Key US Inflation Gauge and Spending Pick Up in Solid Economy

  • SMCI - News from two days ago: auditor resigns. Currently flat, watching $30 level to see if we sell off more.

https://preview.redd.it/ezyvv1und3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=0126cc5b24d3134404ac6a8a5670afca673a9a20

  • UBER - EPS of $1.20 vs $.41. Revenue of $11.2B vs $11.0B expected. Fell mainly due to lower guidance and bookings/trips misses.

https://preview.redd.it/kure0p8od3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=126908d3566593d98e9d810bb25d12ebc76832c9

  • MSFT - Watching $410/$400 level. Reported $3.1B vs $3.3B expected, revenue of $64.51B vs $65.6B exp. Fell during the earnings call due to increased capex for AI infrastructure costs.

https://preview.redd.it/kv3zjwhod3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7806fcdcb73bd15097a4d4b1b942bd5df6891a0

  • RBLX - Reports -$.37 vs -$.38 expected, revenue of $919M vs $878.4M. Strong revenue growth and raises guidance.

https://preview.redd.it/66je00tod3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=6712a41aa8d5ee60c943708a64a83183211e950d

  • RDDT - Blew past the $100 level I was watching near open yesterday. Watching $120 level today. What a move.

https://preview.redd.it/oq8ast3pd3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=51cb48312c176672751169d5167c032c749995ca

Earnings: AMZN, AAPL, INTC

17 Comments
2024/10/31
13:15 UTC

0

Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 31, 2024

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

​

If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

​

* How old are you? What country do you live in?

* Are you employed/making income? How much?

* What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)

* What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?

* What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)

* What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)

* Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?

* And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. .

Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions!

3 Comments
2024/10/31
09:00 UTC

0

Planning My Portfolio Based on Trump’s 2024 Policies – Seeking Insights

Hey everyone! I’m looking to allocate £8,000 GBP into a diversified portfolio, with a focus on sectors that could benefit from Trump’s anticipated policies if he wins the 2024 elections. I’m planning to distribute the funds as follows:

  • Oil & Energy: 40% (ÂŁ3,200)
  • Financials: 20% (ÂŁ1,600)
  • Infrastructure: 20% (ÂŁ1,600)
  • Pharmaceuticals: 10% (ÂŁ800)
  • Defense: 10% (ÂŁ800)

I want to know your thoughts on this allocation and the expected holding periods. Here’s how I see each sector performing based on the potential policy landscape:

Sector Analysis

  1. Oil & Energy (40%)
    • Policy Impact: Expect relaxed regulations and support for domestic production.
    • Expected Movement: Prices might stabilize above $85/bbl due to strong demand.
    • Holding Period: 6–12 months. I’ll reassess performance and consider trailing stops to manage risks.
  2. Financials (20%)
    • Policy Impact: Deregulation and tax incentives could boost profits.
    • Expected Movement: Positive rate trends could enhance lenders’ margins.
    • Holding Period: 6–12 months. Keeping an eye on rate changes and potential deregulation.
  3. Infrastructure (20%)
    • Policy Impact: Anticipated federal spending could ramp up.
    • Expected Movement: Steady gains as contracts are awarded, but slow price appreciation due to timelines.
    • Holding Period: 12+ months. Longer-term investments due to project lead times.
  4. Pharmaceuticals (10%)
    • Policy Impact: Stable, but potential pressure on pricing.
    • Expected Movement: Moderate growth, especially for firms with domestic incentives.
    • Holding Period: 6–12 months. I’ll watch for FDA developments and pricing policy discussions.
  5. Defense (10%)
    • Policy Impact: Increased spending on military capabilities expected.
    • Expected Movement: Steady gains from expanded contracts.
    • Holding Period: 12+ months. Long-term due to multi-year contract commitments.

Overall Strategy Thoughts

  • Regular Rebalancing: I’ll keep a close watch on oil and leveraged ETFs, checking performance monthly or quarterly.
  • Profit-Taking Strategy: Setting trailing stops to lock in gains, especially in volatile sectors like oil.
  • Monitor Policy Changes: Staying updated on announcements to adapt my strategy accordingly.

Questions for Discussion:

  1. What are your thoughts on the sector allocations? Any recommendations?
  2. How do you see the oil market shaping up in the next 6-12 months?
  3. Any advice on managing risk with ETFs in the financials, construction & defense sector?

Looking forward to hearing your thoughts! Thanks!

12 Comments
2024/10/31
05:51 UTC

10

(META) Rules Review - Portfolio Review Posts

Hi StockMarket users!

We have recently noticed an increase in the number of posts that are requesting advice about portfolio allocations, next steps, etc. These posts tend to see decent engagement with helpful comments. On the other hand, we see that some users are complaining about these posts. The intent of this post is to collect community feedback on the "Belongs in portfolio thread" rule to better understand how the users of this subreddit would like to see this rule enforced.

Despite being a fairly large sub, this sub has somewhat low user activity and post engagement. We are attempting to balance post volume with post quality. The mods of this subreddit have discussed this rule internally on multiple occasions. We would like to open the discussion up to the community to collect your thoughts.

Would you like the mods to:

  1. Remove the "Belongs in Portfolio Thread" rule and the stickied portfolio review thread
  2. Remove low-effort portfolio review posts (e.g. image-only posts, allocation-only posts, etc.). Users are required to provide a minimum level of commentary explaining their portfolio allocation and strategy to help guide constructive answers.
  3. Strictly enforce the portfolio review rule on any related posts. We're not here to review other people's portfolios.

We are open to any other suggestions as well! Feel free to discuss in the comments.

10 Comments
2024/10/31
01:03 UTC

0

Margin

Need clarity on what are these treasuries 10+ years and some examples of the same. Just got approved for Margin. Trying to learn the ropes

1 Comment
2024/10/30
18:43 UTC

0

Need advice

I (20m) Have been investing for two years on and off, and when I started I thought just like every 18yr old who thinks they can try to win big off one trade. It did not work. I took some time off(i was broke)I ended up getting a full time job selling tires at firestone. It’s okay job. I started to invest more money in safer companies not doing options and so far it been working. i’m still down year to date but it’s only a mater of time till im back in the green. where I’m trying to get advice is when I was 18 I leased the car and I have two more years left of the lease either come up with $21,000 to buy the car or give it back and lose out on all the money I’ve already put into it. Is investing stocks worth it? or should I yolo it and try to make it all in one trade?

7 Comments
2024/10/30
18:07 UTC

0

Dang! Anyone else kicking themselves for not taking advantage of Reddit’s IPO offer? Does this have another leg up coming or nah?

17 Comments
2024/10/30
16:54 UTC

185

Guys, I need some advice on how to increase my portfolio. Plz help

33 Comments
2024/10/30
16:03 UTC

0

My portfolio as a 17yo looking for advice (I will add more money)

18 Comments
2024/10/30
15:25 UTC

0

Triangle Pattern Ahead of Earnings, Stock Breakout in Sight

Apple's revenue for the most recent quarter is expected to be $1.54 per share, up 5.5% from last year. As a result, investors may expect a nice trading opportunity following the report.

Apple's revenue for the most recent quarter was $85.78 billion, up 4.9% from the previous year. Earnings per share for the period came in at $1.40, which is comparable to the $1.26 per share reported in the same period last year. Compared to my forecast of $84.43 billion, disclosed revenues were 1.59% higher. eps was a surprising +4.48

Apple's consensus revenue forecast for the current quarter was $94.43 billion, up 5.5% year-over-year. The forecasts for the current and next fiscal years are $390.54 billion and $421.48 billion, respectively, representing changes of +1.9% and +7.9%.

Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded general market expectations for earnings per share and has consistently exceeded general market expectations for revenue.

In the daily chart of AAPL stock, sustained buying pressure is questionable as prices have recently squeezed within a triangle pattern. In this case, investors may find a stabilizing trend once a proper bearish breakout of triangle support occurs.

From a broader perspective, the 200-day simple moving average is below the current Apple stock price by an even wider margin. Although a bullish crossover can be seen at the 196.29 static line, a bearish correction is waiting in the wings as mean reversion. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is closer to the triangle support level, which is a significant hurdle for sellers.

Based on this outlook, effective selling pressure stabilizing the market below the static line at 227.77 could push the price towards the 212.00 level. However, a bullish rally is possible after a bullish bounce from the 228.00 to 220.00 area. In this case, buying pressure could extend to the 260.00 to 280.00 area.

15 Comments
2024/10/30
15:05 UTC

985

99 year old vampire with infinite investing horizon

Any suggestions? I keep my portfolio in 1000 year Swiss bonds but wondering if I should diversify to railroads and steamboats, I hear this steam engine technology might be big!

205 Comments
2024/10/30
14:58 UTC

0

Any critique or recommendations on my investment strategy? I’m completely new to this

I also want to focus more on clean energy and sustainable, ethical stocks in the future. If you have any recommendations, let me know! I try to invest around 400€ a month.

0 Comments
2024/10/30
13:34 UTC

6

1st time investing

Hey guys, so right of the bat: if this isnt the right subreddit or there is a good re-direct please let me know.

I've got some savings in the bank and as we all know they are doing nothing but losing value. I'm 28, living and working in the EU so all money is in €. For a while I spent some time and energy on daytrading but it is not something for me. Im interested in more long term passive options, but I dont know where to fucking start...

From what i've gathered ETF's or an Index Fund seem the most managable for me, but I have 0 clue for how long and where etc. Please can someone push me in a certain direction? Ask for anymore info if you deem it necessary. Thanks!

9 Comments
2024/10/30
13:34 UTC

4

These are the stocks on my watchlist (10/30)

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations, I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.

I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.

PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you- doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.

News: Lilly Cuts Guidance on Disappointing Weight-Loss Drug Sales
Pretty much all earnings aftermaths today, likely will be like that for the entire week.

  • SMCI - Auditor resigns. Not a good sign, eh? Currently long trying to catch a falling knife. EDIT: Flipped short

https://preview.redd.it/ye67kf5z7wxd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=ae0b9076a28e20ff5fbff175e137cb59ed226432

  • GOOG - Great earnings, EPS of $2.12 vs $1.83 exp. Revenue of $88.27B vs $86.44B expected. Strong growth in cloud business, CEO highlighted that company’s AI portfolio resulted in 35% increase in cloud revenue.

https://preview.redd.it/bzgqn3fz7wxd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=98ee6eb73059504fa83fd20b113644ebc9a8a2c5

  • LLY - Missed estimates, slashes profit guidance. Sales of weight loss drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound disappoint. Guides down from 13.02-13.52, down from previous guidance of $16.10 to $16.60 per share. EPS of 1.18 adjusted vs 1.47 expected. Revenue of $11.44B vs $12.11B expected.

https://preview.redd.it/8yef9lqz7wxd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=32731f73be23acb29d9a6c826978cf976d19439c

  • RDDT - Blowout earnings, better than expected forecast for fourth quarter. EPS of +16 cents vs -7 cents expected. Revenue of $348.4M vs $312.8M expected. Company turned profitable, reporting net income of $29.9M vs -$7.5M a quarter ago. Watching $100 level.

https://preview.redd.it/aysi60208wxd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=130ec8b304fae20d118bb3ce1ee37db72859f391

  • AMD - Met expectations on EPS /beat on revenue, but Q4 revenue outlook disappointed- expected outlook was $7.2-7.8B vs $7.55B expected. CEO cited significant growth opportunities across data center/client/embedded businesses. Data center business segment met expectations of 3.5B vs 3.46B.

https://preview.redd.it/qlo2hre08wxd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab1213d26b6cdf58066eb48b46d8019dd59a6344

Earnings: MSFT META COIN HOOD RIOT ROKU CVNA SBUX ETSY

11 Comments
2024/10/30
13:11 UTC

0

how am i doing at 19

7.9k invested, but seeing some slow growth, am i off to a good start with this portfolio

18 Comments
2024/10/30
09:11 UTC

0

Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 30, 2024

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

​

If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

​

* How old are you? What country do you live in?

* Are you employed/making income? How much?

* What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)

* What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?

* What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)

* What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)

* Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?

* And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. .

Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions!

8 Comments
2024/10/30
09:00 UTC

0

21M started investing long term (20+ years) on these 3 stocks, 45% on SPX, 45% on NDX and 10% on SMH - Any suggestions? Did I pick right?

7 Comments
2024/10/30
08:12 UTC

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