CSU beat Nevada by larger margin as an away team. Boise beat them at home only by 7.

If my math is mathing I think we should be the #12 team in the country?

Intro:

No, but let's evaluate the scenario. Boise State has 4 games left against shitty teams, for the following situations let's assume that we win the rest of our games, win the Mountain West championship against BSU, and look competent for the rest of the season.

Evaluating CSU:

CSU has been playing sloppy this year, but if you look at the win-loss record, we have three losses. The Texas game wasn't pretty, but a week one loss to the current CFP number five team isn't the worst. The next loss was against CU, during the game, it seemed like our season was over but in retrospect, they are ranked number 20 now, and I believe the loss isn't a dealbreaker compared to the other G5 programs. When the Oregon State overtime loss happened Oregon State was a competent team, beating Purdue, since then they've been on a three-game skid with losses against Nevada, UNLV (not too bad), and Cal. They do have two solid games against Washington State and BSU if they win or keep in close in either of these ranked games and beat the pants off SJSU and Air Force.

The American:

Army is undoubtedly the front-runner in the conference. The committee ranked them 25. Assuming they don't get embarrassed against North Texas (-4 dogs) and UTSA they are a shoo-in for the CFP if they win their conference. They play Notre Dame (#10) but that doesn't count as a conference game and they could lose out the remainder of the regular season while remaining the top G5 conference winner. Tulane seems to be the next most likely suspect, with a one-score loss to K-State (#17) and a competitive game against Oklahoma (#15). They play against Temple, Navy, and Memphis in the next weeks. A big loss to Temple may keep them from being selected if they win but I seriously doubt it. The American also has Memphis and Navy. Memphis has a good record, but they haven't played any big games. Navy lost to Notre Dame but has otherwise been pretty good, again a good record but no great high-quality wins. I honestly think that Memphis or Navy winning is the only way that CSU stands a chance at maybe being selected.

Conference USA:

Western Kentucky is the front-runner in the conference, and they've played two "power" teams. They lost to Alabama (#5) 63-0 in week one and a 1-point loss to Boston College. These are the only two losses so far and I believe that a CSU team that beat Boise State would be selected over them. Second place currently in conference rankings is Jax State. They have one "power" game against Louisville (#22) and two more losses against 4-4 Coastal Carolina and 5-4 Eastern Michigan. I believe as is CSU would be selected over them. The last contender is Sam Houston State. They have two losses, a pretty big loss against UCF and Western Kentucky. I firmly believe that CSU would be selected over any of these teams.

Mid-American:

Right now there are three teams at +300 or less to win the MAC and six different teams have a path to making the conference championship. Bowling Green is probably the best team in the conference, but they have 4 losses staining their record. Penn State (#6) and Texas A&M (#14) were one-score losses, but they've also lost to a 4-5 Old Dominion team, and 5-4 Northern Illinois. Vegas puts them at +220 and the most likely to win the conference, Next most likely is Western Michigan with a 5-4 record. A competitive loss against a 5-4 Wisconsin team, a certified ass-whooping from Ohio State (#2), a close loss to Marshall, and a pretty big loss to Northern Illinois. Miami of Ohio is at +300. They've played 3 "power" games all resulting in losses. Week one had a close loss against Northwestern. Week two was a competitive game against Cincinnati. In week three, they were blown out by Notre Dame (#10). The Red Hawks also lost against a 6-3 Toledo team. I believe that between CSU and Bowling Green, a conversation can be made however against the rest of the conference CSU should be pretty close. The conference is open enough however that it's hard to say who will win.

The Sun Belt:

The Sun Belt is the only conference to keep divisions so I will only talk about the two favorites. Louisiana is 7-1 but they've really only played mid-teams with a one-score loss to Tulane. Georgia Southern is 6-3 with a competitive high-scoring loss against Boise State (#12), an ass-beating from Ole Miss (#16), and an ass-beating from Old Dominion. This conference is tricky, I firmly believe CSU is selected over Louisiana, but I am not sure we would be selected over Georgia Southern.

Conclusion:

The odds we make the playoffs are about zero, however, it's fun to think that if all the dominos fall in the right place, we may have a chance to get whooped by Texas again. So, what needs to happen? CSU needs to win out, Oregon State needs to not look like a bum loss by beating Wazzu and keeping their BSU game close and beating the pants off SJSU, and Air Force, Memphis, or Navy need to win the American with Army or Tulane getting kicked in the balls (still might not get selected), C-USA just needs to exist, the MAC just needs to not let BGSU win, and Louisiana needs to win The Sun Belt. Thank you for reading

Women’s basketball: Preseason co-player of the year: Emma Ronsiek Preseason freshman of the year: Kloe Froebe

Men’s basketball: Preseason all conference: Nique Clifford

I’m excited for another big season!

LET'S GO BABY

Driving to Reno as I post this. THIS IS THE WEEK WE LOCK OUR BOWL STATUS. GO RAMS.

My first game since like 2002. I went to CSU from 1997-2004 (part time, couldn’t afford to live without a full time job) and last game I think I went to was at Hughes in 2002.

Looking at ticket prices and…yikes. We’re traveling from Oregon mostly to go to the Denver game (on my birthday on the 17th!) and this’ll be my first time back in Fort Collins since like 2009.

Should I pounce on the like $60 reserved seat tix or hold out for something more affordable closer to game day? I’m really excited to see all the changes since I moved away and show my partner all the places I used to frequent so going to the game is a must.

ESPN’s Matchup predictor gives CSU a 37.1% chance of winning. Am I the only person that thinks that ridiculous? I’m not expecting a blowout by any means but Nevada coming off a hard loss to Hawaii and 0-3 in conference play and the way we’ve been playing makes me think we should have the advantage right? Or am I being naive

Something to keep an eye on. Anybody know the severity of his injury?

We’re at the top of the conference and are one away from a bowl!! Go rams!

The O has scored 10 points against a defense that's giving up about 45 points per game. I think it's time to bench Fowler-Nicolosi and let someone else play QB.

I’m not able to go to the game today. DM me if you’re interested. It’s in section 210 but you could probably sit wherever on the east side.

Hey Rams!

Recent grad who wants to start purchasing season tickets for football. From times past, when do the following years football season tickets go on sale?

I’ve got 4 tickets that I will part with tomorrow for $100 total if anyone is interested!

GO RAMS!!

Edit: South Stands GA Ticket

We have a long road to potentially work our way into the ship, but curious if anyone knows if Rams should be supporting the rebels or broncos this weekend? I imagine we're Broncos fans right?