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Team Personnel Decision Assumptions:

-FAs Randal Grichuk, Joc Pederson, Josh Bell, Kevin Newman, Paul Sewald, and Scott McGough will pursue contracts with other teams

-Diamondbacks will sign 1B Christian Walker to $65M/3YR

-Diamondbacks will sign LHP AJ Minter to a $12M/2YR deal - used Spotrac market value but this deal could go higher. I think he's a good target for the team though.

-Diamondbacks will trade LHP Jordan Montgomery, IF Tommy Troy (#5 MLB ranked org prospect | #2 Fangraphs ranked), IF Jansel Luis (#10 MLB ranked org prospect | #3 Fangraphs ranked), RHP Dylan Ray (#16 MLB ranked org prospect | #19 Fangraphs ranked), and C Christian Cerda (#29 MLB ranked org prospect | #27 Fangraphs ranked) to the Cardinals for LHP Sonny Gray and RHP CL Ryan Helsley (both with 2 years remaining). Even if not exactly this trade, I think targeting a closer like Helsey has to be a top priority and nabbing Gray while offsetting Monty (still saving STL a year of salary and allowing them to reset faster) would be a nice luxury. Gray was a target last year before they pivoted to E-Rod and now this allows them a chance to get both. If Helsley and/or Gray are not available though, maybe Fairbanks on the Rays for less prospects and give Monty another shot.

-The team will leave two 40-man roster spot open in case of injury, spring training signing, waiver wire, Groover/Robinson call up, and/or mid-season trade

Prediction Assumptions/Limitations:

-Younger players with limited MLB careers have minor league statistics factored in and discounted by 15% to est. 3-yr average. Of all MLB players who've been called up in the last three years, their major league stats were about 15% worse on average than their minor league stats for both pitchers and position players. It varies a lot by league and several different factors, so I settled on about 15% worse. Additionally, due to Melendez's limited play above AA, I discounted his stats by 25%.

-The last three-years of career statistics will, to a degree, capture likely 2025 production. Obviously, there's a lot of variability with this, but I figured it was a good approximation.

-Not all metrics are created equal, there are limitations with these, and anyone can use other metrics to prove different points. However, I think these metrics generally measure ability in each overarching baseball category.

-Catchers are not included in OAA, but Moreno is a perennial GG candidate - so defense may be even better than current est. rank if he can stay healthy.

-Minor league OAA is difficult to find, but Lawlar and Barrosa are scouted as plus defenders for their respective positions - which may also increase defensive value in a way that I haven't captured here.

-Perdomo's abysmal 2022 season was removed from the dataset as I do not think it's predictive of future performance due to his fundamental change in approach at the plate.

-Adrian Del Castillo's abysmal 2022 minor league season was removed from the dataset for the same reasons as Perdomo's. If kept in, his OPS+ drops to 103, which would still be above average.

Sources:

Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, TeamRankings, Spotrac

Analysis/Interpretation:

End of the day, these are just my armchair predictions for Arizona's 2025 baseball roster. Many of my assumed trades/signings may not come to pass. If they do though, I think this would be a balanced, deep, and versatile team infused with a healthy mix of young talent and established veterans. No one feels too ""blocked"" from playing in this roster and I think this will allow everyone on the team to settle into their roles. At the same time, there is still some redundancy purposefully built in to be able to absorb injuries through the season. Even while retaining Walker and bolstering the pitching staff, this is not an overly expensive team nor are there any albatross contracts. Roughly 12th in payroll and still well under the luxury tax isn't horrific for a team in the Phoenix market in the middle of its competitive window. I'm cautiously optimistic that ownership will realize they've got to take a few lean years/financial losses to realize some baseball wins that'll grow the local fandom for long term opportunities (see SD for example). I estimate about a 92-95 win season and, hopefully, playoffs. We'll see if Hazen and co. agree.

https://clutchpoints.com/mlb-rumors-yankees-diamondbacks-christian-walker-free-agency

As the title says. Do you see any way at all that the Dbacks can sign Corbin Burnes?

Xavier Nady

Positions: Rightfielder and First Baseman

Bats: Right, Throws: Right

6-2, 215lb

Born: November 14, 1978 in Salinas, CA us

Draft: Drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals in the 4th round of the 1997 MLB June Amateur Draft from Salinas HS (Salinas, CA) (Did not sign) and the San Diego Padres in the 2nd round of the 2000 MLB June Amateur Draft from University of California, Berkeley (Berkeley, CA).

December 17, 2010: Signed as a Free Agent with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

2011: 82 games 4 HR 35 RBI .248 AVG .646 OPS -0.3 WAR

Played: 52 1st base, 10 left field, 29 pinch hitter

October 30, 2011: Granted Free Agency.

Played 12 seasons with the Padres, Mets, Pirates, Yankees, Cubs, Diamondbacks, Nationals and Giants

Career Totals: 961 games 104 HR 410 RBI .268 AVG .755 OPS 3.7 WAR

Led the league in DP by an outfielder in 2008 with 5.

Hi all, can anyone tell me who on the 26 man roster from this year is definitely going to be on the team next year?

I get confused with their contracts, buy outs, options, etc. Idk what it all means. I also feel like I saw someone on here say Geno was, but someone else say he wasn’t? I guess I’m just seeing if anyone has a definite list at this time

No step on snek

I'm really late on this post, but my wife and I were in Phoenix back in September and had the opportunity to go to a Dbacks game. We went the night that it was like 12-0 Brewers in the 4th inning and then Dbacks made a little bit of a comeback. I'm a Nationals fan, so I had no dog in the fight, so I was obviously going to pull for the Dbacks. I absolutely LOVED Chase Field and just everything about our time there. I have been to a lot of different stadiums, mostly up and down the east coast, but I would have to say my time at Chase Field rivals my visit to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is the most picturesque stadium IMO, but they had no where near the energy of the Dbacks. I look forward to continuing to follow your team and pulling for you (unless you're playing the Nats of course)!

I’ve seen a lot of conversation about this and decided this could be a good idea. Personally I think it would be cool but probably not the best decision. I’ve just recently become a fan this last season so I don’t have the connection that some others have but I definitely see the appeal

View Poll

How do people feel about bringing ADC back up to be a DH?

I was looking at the paper and Soto is acaialbe. D backs should buy him and not look back. i think he could lead the team to post season. Sorry for grammar recovering from a brain injury. God bless go dbacks

Aloha !! I'm a 27M really enjoying playing my first franchise with the Diamondbacks. I feel I have a great roster with Ketel Marte, Christian Walker, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and ofc we can't forget Corbin Carroll !! Anyone else play The Show? If so who are your favorite players?

Will Christian walker leave the diamondbacks and can we afford to keep him? Do we need him for the team? I feel like he enjoys playing for the Dbacks but he doesn’t seem happy to me sometimes. I’m worried he might leave as a free agent. I think that this team is going to be different after the failure to make the postseason a shake up is coming.