/r/peakoil
A forum for discussion and current events concerning peak oil, limits to growth, oil sector news and the direction of humanity post-fossil fuel. (see references below)
What is Peak Oil?
ASPO International on peak oil
There's No Tomorrow, a peak oil documentary
What is Limits to Growth?
Related Subreddits
Suggestions?
/r/peakoil
Looks like these folks really know their stuff. Most of the oil and gas was gone 3 years ago now, and all humans got out of it was...more oil and gas....?
National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council
“It will take only another 50 years or so to use up the great bulk of the world’s initial supply of recoverable petroleum liquids and natural gas.”
– Committee on Resources and Man (National Academy of Sciences—National Research Council), “From Resources and Man: A Study and Recommendations,” in John Holdren and Paul Ehrlich, eds., Global Ecology (New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1971), p. 58.
“The peak of [U.S.] production will soon be passed—possibly within three years.”
– David White, Chief Geologist, United States Geological Service, 1919, quoted in Edward Porter, Are We Running Out of Oil? American Petroleum Institute Discussion Paper #081, December 1995, p. 1.
The best geologists in the country and some say in the world, knew about peak oil 7 years before Hubbert got his first college degree. Maybe it was this display of precognitive ability on part these geologists that led him to work for him and develop some of their procedures and processes in the late 60's and 70'?
“I take this opportunity to express my opinion in the strongest terms, that the amazing exhibition of oil which has characterized the last twenty years, and will probably characterize the next ten or twenty years, is nevertheless, not only geologically but historically, a temporary and vanishing phenomenon—one which young men will live to see come to its natural end.”
– Professor J.P. Lesley, State Geologist of Pennsylvania, 1886, quoted in Paul Giddens, Standard Oil Company (Indiana): Oil Pioneer of the Middle West (New York: Appleton-Century-Crofts, 1955), p. 2.
Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels - 1956
I mention this because upon visiting the wiki on peak oil for the first time in a long time, BOY has it changed. Scrubbed clean of some of the more...creative....scenarios and claims of the early 21st century, and a decided drier and less hysterical tone.
Whatever you believe, it must strike you as extremely odd that the phase-out of oil is either ascribed to climate change or a Marxist plot to enslave humanity, but never the obvious fact that it is a finite resource.
Behold this thread with 5 out of 5 replies avoiding the question, before the mod arrives to delete the post.
https://reddit.com/r/collapze/comments/18np7l6/why_do_you_think_almost_zero_people_im_one_of/
This week I reviewed "Seeing Like a State" and projected its lessons about the changing dynamics between rulers and the ruled during the rise of industrialisation to the decline ahead of us. https://open.substack.com/pub/zeroinputagriculture/p/book-review-seeing-like-a-state?r=f45kp&utm\_campaign=post&utm\_medium=web&showWelcome=true
Subsequently prices will stabilize but not necessarily go down. It will be a slowing of inevitable inflation. There may be a difference in the employment of oil field workers vs petroleum engineers.
So from what I understand it's widely accepted that you can call peak oil after 5 years of decline/plateau. And as it stands from the data available to date, the highest historical production level was reached in November 2018. So to call peak oil we need data for November 2023.
When are we likely to have it with the accuracy sufficient to find out whether the 5-year standard would be met or not?