Think this will go up?

Hey folks. Just wondering did anyone’s portfolio looking same or similar or is it only me? I felt stock jumped in the beginning of the week and then collapsed.

Hey guys so i’ve taken some advice from the last time i posted and decided to cut out google from my holdings because i’ve seen the impact that chatgpt has had especially through my experience on my college campus seeing the increased use. I’ve added PLTR before the induction into the S&P after carefully consideration and research I believe that it could be a great player in the future especially after reading about how effectively it reduces the time of underwriting at insurance companies from 2weeks to 2hours. I believe that other companies will eventually have to invest in their products and services, maybe not now, but certainly in the future and this isn’t including their military side. I’m iffy on holding NVIDIA because of how much hype it’s gotten this year but it’s hard to gage how much demand is needed , i have no problem holding for the next year but after that I might sell. I’ve added 6 more shares of CRWD because I genuinely think that bigger companies in this day and age cannot operate without Cybersecurity. The last company i worked at (Cigna) uses Crowd-strikes malware scan and in the midst of CRWDs downturn with delta etc i had a good feeling that it would recover. AMZ remains my biggest holding and i think it’s still so undervalued. I’d like to hear your guys perspectives on the balance of my portfolio. In the coming months i want to invest $100-200 a month into VOO, BRK and SCHD but i want to hear opinions because my goal is growth and i have a long horizon and don’t plan on selling.

I’ve recently watched interviews and listened to the state secretary Pete Buttigieg discuss his plans to create more charging stations for electric cars. I find it to be very realistic by 2030. He even made mentions of programs that help sponsor people to get said electric cars. Everyone always makes discussions of what to do to better the environment etc. I realize there will be ideologies who will either be for or against (perhaps even find the perspective to be stubborn or outrageous) but I still think it’s not a bad idea to consider and make investments into stocks that contribute towards this big goal he says he is working towards. What are all of your thoughts on this, if any? What stocks, if you’ve been invested into his discussion in this, have you considered worthy of long term investment? I’m not necessarily trying to say “tell me what to buy” but rather, what should people be reading on about this. I plan to research more regardless, but thought that this would bring an interesting conversation from both sides of the party who are either for or against (realistic/unrealistic) etc..

Wow, with the morning’s job report I would’ve expected the market to sell off. So what’s going on. Is the market confusing us again or going up the right way to go after this report? perhaps the market likes confirmation of further rate cutting and is confident in the job market?

I hope the market doesn’t sell off later today, but it could. And I expect more volatility before the election. Perhaps the jobs report is weak because of the hurricanes and everybody buys into that but traders generally like to sell off the mkt off reports like this, but I see the Vix’s falling fast so hmmm…

Interesting? Thoughts?

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations, I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.

I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.

PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you—doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.

News: Boeing Union Endorses Latest Offer to End Crippling Strike

• AMZN - Watching $200 level. EPS of $1.43 vs $1.14, revenue of $158.9B vs $157.2B. Attributed growth primarily due to cloud.

https://preview.redd.it/yk9csy7liayd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a184082632faa67919c889bf9269ac0aac63479

• AAPL - Beat top and bottom line, but missed on guidance. Gave cautious outlook on AI features.

https://preview.redd.it/8m81j7iliayd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e5c22e91537de84ffa18e1d46f15abf26c1b617

• GSAT - Partners with AAPL on extended satellite services deal. Watching at open.

https://preview.redd.it/fb7qtftliayd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=4709dc33ba5b9c4775526d8dc7e62060ddf8614a

• BA - Plans to make new wage offer to end strike.

https://preview.redd.it/sz944t1miayd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=e3af59c95700e27f3fe53a102ba89552b465fc4c

• ROOT - Made an insane move yesterday from 72 ->120 mainly due to the company reaching surprise profitability. Worth watching again at open.

https://preview.redd.it/kkrtvqcmiayd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=a26ce8b7e3c72dad09aa1df57a1056a6da7a0100

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

​

If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

​

* How old are you? What country do you live in?

* Are you employed/making income? How much?

* What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)

* What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?

* What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)

* What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)

* Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?

* And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. .

Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions!

In October, some companies I covered released their quarterly earnings reports. It's time to update their valuations and review the latest reports. Some explanations regarding screenshots with fair price estimates:

• I marked cells that I updated as grey (after the latest earning reports)
• Fair-to-Current Price and Current Price/Fair Price: green - undervalued, blue - fairly valued, yellow - overvalued
• Some Future EPS Growth marked as green means that the projected earnings growth is even higher; 20% is my maximum

Lam Research (LRCX): Undervalued 🟢

https://preview.redd.it/7kp5t0cfv8yd1.png?width=1814&format=png&auto=webp&s=bc4410f8735c6097662ca57497c2cb9dbdf5e95b

👍 Positive Points

• Lam Research posted a strong September quarter with revenues and earnings per share exceeding the midpoint of guidance.
• The company achieved its fifth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, indicating strong execution despite a challenging industry environment.
• LRCX is well-positioned to benefit from technology upgrades in NAND, which is expected to drive spending recovery.
• The company is seeing strong momentum in advanced packaging, with SABRE 3D revenue more than doubling this year.
• LRCX is experiencing strong customer demand for productivity enhancements and equipment intelligence services, with increased adoption of its offerings.

👎 Negative Points

• Domestic China WFE is expected to decline in the second half of the year, impacting LRCX's revenue from the region.
• Gross margin decreased slightly due to a decline in customer mix and increased incentive compensation.
• Operating expenses increased due to higher program spending and incentive compensation, impacting profitability.
• The NAND segment has experienced a prolonged down cycle, with spending expected to increase only in 2025.
• Lam Research anticipates a headwind in customer mix affecting gross margins due to a lower percentage of revenue from China.

First Solar (FSLR): Undervalued 🟢

https://preview.redd.it/8vghzbngv8yd1.png?width=1950&format=png&auto=webp&s=b1290e0e35e24a050565242df87c948d6bed7bc3

👍 Positive Points

• First Solar achieved a record quarterly production of 3.8 gigawatts, demonstrating strong manufacturing capabilities.
• The company inaugurated a new $1.1 billion Alabama facility, adding 3.5 gigawatts of solar manufacturing capacity, with plans for further expansion in Louisiana.
• First Solar has a robust contracted backlog of 73.3 gigawatts, providing long-term revenue visibility.
• The company is launching CuRe production, aiming to enhance its technology offerings and capture additional revenue through contractual adjusters.
• First Solar was recognized by MIT Technology Review and Time Magazine for its leadership in solar technology and innovation.

👎 Negative Points

• FSLR faced a $50 million product warranty charge due to manufacturing issues with its Series 7 product.
• The company experienced operational challenges, including hurricanes and logistical disruptions, impacting financial performance.
• There is ongoing pressure from Chinese dumping in the Indian market, leading to depressed ASPs and strategic shifts in production.
• First Solar had to terminate a contract with Plug Power due to project delays, impacting its bookings.
• The company is facing intellectual property challenges within the solar manufacturing sector, particularly related to TOPCon patents.

Medpace (MEDP): Undervalued 🟢

https://preview.redd.it/w0v7gqhiv8yd1.png?width=1928&format=png&auto=webp&s=37321c0516d27c5669e29d0b58d3ac5c8d5c021b

👍 Positive Points

• Revenue for the third quarter of 2024 was $533.3 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.3%.
• EBITDA for the third quarter increased by 31.7% compared to the same period in 2023, reaching $118.8 million.
• Net income for the third quarter rose by 36.7% year-over-year, driven by interest income and partially offset by a higher effective tax rate.
• Ending backlog as of September 30, 2024, was approximately $2.9 billion, an increase of 8.8% from the prior year.
• The company expects to convert approximately $1.62 billion of backlog into revenue over the next 12 months, indicating strong future revenue potential.

👎 Negative Points

• Backlog cancellations in Q3 were above the usual range, marking three consecutive quarters of elevated cancellations.
• Net new business awards decreased by 12.7% from the prior year, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.0 for the quarter.
• The elevated cancellations are expected to depress reported net backlog awards in Q4 and Q1 of 2025.
• RFPs were down modestly on a year-over-year and sequential basis, indicating a potential slowdown in new business opportunities.
• Gross bookings were lower in the quarter due to prior cancellations, impacting the overall business momentum.

Visa (V): Undervalued 🟢

https://preview.redd.it/dsyw4poev8yd1.png?width=1799&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5e0a7c43b27f01308a01bc0f7a6c7de524a3a62

👍 Positive Points

• Visa reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter, with net revenue of $9.6 billion, up 12% year-over-year, and EPS up 16%.
• The company saw significant growth in cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, which rose 13%, and processed transactions grew 10% year-over-year.
• Visa continues to expand its consumer payments business, with over 4.6 billion credentials, up 7% year-over-year, and 11.5 billion [tok]-ens, with more than 30% of total transactions [tok]-enized.
• The company has made significant strides in new flows, with revenue growing 22% year-over-year in constant dollars, and Visa Direct transactions increasing by 38%.
• Visa has successfully renewed and expanded several key partnerships globally, including agreements with major clients like Grupo Pramerica, SMCC, Alrajhi, and Standard Chartered Bank.

👎 Negative Points

• Visa faces regulatory challenges, including a lawsuit by the Department of Justice, which the company believes is meritless.
• The company experienced slower growth in Asia Pacific payments volume, primarily due to macroeconomic conditions, particularly in Mainland China.
• Cross-border travel volume growth was lower than expected, mainly due to challenges in Asia Pacific travel corridors.
• Visa anticipates a significant increase in client incentives in fiscal 2025, which could impact net revenue growth.
• The company expects a step down in adjusted net revenue growth from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025 due to various factors, including increased incentives and the timing of pricing actions.

Alphabet (GOOGL): Undervalued 🟢

https://preview.redd.it/0pj3vjtkv8yd1.png?width=1837&format=png&auto=webp&s=c27b4fb79b69876583b0e1f112fc573d4833bddb

👍 Positive Points

• Alphabet reported a 15% increase in consolidated revenue, with Google Cloud revenue growing by 35% year-over-year.
• The company has made significant advancements in AI, with the Gemini models being integrated across all major products and platforms, reaching over 1 billion users.
• YouTube's combined ad and subscription revenue surpassed $50 billion over the past four quarters, driven by strong growth in YouTube TV, NFL Sunday Ticket, and YouTube Music Premium.
• Alphabet is making substantial investments in clean energy, including a corporate agreement to purchase nuclear energy, supporting its commitment to sustainability.
• The company is seeing strong engagement and increased search usage with the rollout of AI Overviews to over 100 new countries and territories.

👎 Negative Points

• Network advertising revenue declined by 2% year-over-year, indicating challenges in this segment.
• The company faces potential legal challenges from the DOJ, which could impact its search agreements with partners like Apple.
• Alphabet is experiencing increased costs, with total cost of revenue up by 10% and operating expenses rising by 5%.
• There is a headwind to year-over-year growth in subscription platforms and devices revenue due to the pull forward of Made by Google launches.
• The company is facing increased competition in the AI space, with a need to continuously innovate to maintain its leadership position.

Microsoft (MSFT): Fairly Valued 🔵

https://preview.redd.it/wof2io3nv8yd1.png?width=1811&format=png&auto=webp&s=37e60a6c8dd7487b3a300d95a41e24c300a3338e

👍 Positive Points

• Microsoft Cloud revenue surpassed $38.9 billion, marking a 22% increase, driven by strong demand for AI and cloud services.
• AI business is on track to surpass an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest-growing business in Microsoft's history.
• Azure and other cloud services revenue grew 33% in constant currency, with healthy consumption trends.
• Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption is accelerating, with nearly 70% of the Fortune 500 using it, and customers continue to adopt it at a faster rate than any other new Microsoft 365 suite.
• LinkedIn revenue increased 10%, with record engagement and growth across all lines of business.

👎 Negative Points

• Microsoft Cloud gross margin percentage decreased by 2 points year over year, driven by scaling AI infrastructure.
• Operating expenses increased by 12%, partly due to the Activision acquisition, impacting overall profitability.
• Free cash flow decreased by 7% year over year, reflecting higher capital expenditures to support cloud and AI offerings.
• Supply constraints, particularly in AI infrastructure, are impacting Azure's ability to meet demand, leading to potential growth deceleration.
• The Activision acquisition had a negative $0.05 impact on earnings per share due to purchase accounting adjustments and related costs.

#indianstockmarket #mostexpensivestock

I understand the stocks, I should say I don’t understand what the buyers are thinking…

1. Carvana (CVNA) - seems unrealistic to be reporting rapidly growing profits while used car sales are a struggle for everyone else. How? I don’t know the car business well enough to know for sure, it just feels like something’s missing.

2. Trump Tech & Media (DJT) - seriously, you think he’s not going to sell his half of the shares outstanding? He’s 80. Also, he’s him.

3. Microstrategy (MSTR) - valued at 3x its own hoard of BTC, people keep lending money to them and buying new shares from them. Why are they doing that? Just buy your own coins. Use leverage if you really need to. Is Michael Saylor your nephew or something?

Yes I’m aware these were all legitimate questions before these names ran up. So maybe it doesn’t matter.

What don’t I get about these situations?

Yo, I'm currently seeking the perfect trading app for me.

So like it needs to be available in France, also it needs to be adapted for daytraders and classical trading operations. I want to invest a 1,000 euros.

I've tried AvaTrade already but for some the reason not all stock is appearing to me (maybe i'm dumb idk, like if someone could explain lmao) and the commision is too high, I would prefer a commision based on the numbers of shares purchased rather than a flat flee but that's not that much important if it's a low price I guess.

(Bro this 560 letters rule is shit bruv, I couldn't post sorry for this)

We use the DCF model to value Apple. Apple's total debt of $100 billion is almost insignificant compared to its market capitalization of $3.5 trillion. Therefore, using cost of equity instead of WACC looks like a fair choice. With a cost of equity of 9.9%, the

Based on consensus, revenue growth is expected to accelerate from single digits to 12.6% in FY 2027. Due to the issues I described above, I think this is a risky assumption. Therefore, I have adopted a “rule of thumb” revenue CAGR of 8% for my DCF, as it is consistent with the consensus forecast for the next two fiscal years (sample of over 40 Wall Street analysts). The leveraged FCF margin is 22.34%. I expect it to remain flat due to the long-term issues mentioned above. To balance my cautious stance on the 1-5 year horizon, I am optimistic about Apple's 5% permanent growth rate.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.
This is a daily watchlist for trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I only hold some/all MAG 7 stocks and market indices long-term. If you use Old Reddit, click “Show Images” at the top to expand the charts. Any positions stated aren’t recommendations; I’m following subreddit rules to disclose positions. I use IBKR TWS for my platform and charts.

I am targeting potentially good candidates to day trade; I have no opinion on them as investments. This means the potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, not the business, long-term prospects, or the people involved.

PLEASE ask specific questions and PLEASE don’t ask about earnings because I typically don’t take positions before earnings announcements. Questions like “Thoughts on _____?” or “Why isn’t ___ on the watchlist?” or something answered already will be ignored unless you add detail and your opinion. If you post a question and delete it after I answer it, I will block you – doing that hurts discussion. I am not answering questions if I’m still long or short a stock beyond what I update.

News: Key US Inflation Gauge and Spending Pick Up in Solid Economy

• SMCI - News from two days ago: auditor resigns. Currently flat, watching $30 level to see if we sell off more.

https://preview.redd.it/ezyvv1und3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=0126cc5b24d3134404ac6a8a5670afca673a9a20

• UBER - EPS of $1.20 vs $.41. Revenue of $11.2B vs $11.0B expected. Fell mainly due to lower guidance and bookings/trips misses.

https://preview.redd.it/kure0p8od3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=126908d3566593d98e9d810bb25d12ebc76832c9

• MSFT - Watching $410/$400 level. Reported $3.1B vs $3.3B expected, revenue of $64.51B vs $65.6B exp. Fell during the earnings call due to increased capex for AI infrastructure costs.

https://preview.redd.it/kv3zjwhod3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7806fcdcb73bd15097a4d4b1b942bd5df6891a0

• RBLX - Reports -$.37 vs -$.38 expected, revenue of $919M vs $878.4M. Strong revenue growth and raises guidance.

https://preview.redd.it/66je00tod3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=6712a41aa8d5ee60c943708a64a83183211e950d

• RDDT - Blew past the $100 level I was watching near open yesterday. Watching $120 level today. What a move.

https://preview.redd.it/oq8ast3pd3yd1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=51cb48312c176672751169d5167c032c749995ca

Earnings: AMZN, AAPL, INTC

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

​

If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

​

* How old are you? What country do you live in?

* Are you employed/making income? How much?

* What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)

* What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?

* What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)

* What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)

* Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?

* And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. .

Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions!

Hey everyone! I’m looking to allocate £8,000 GBP into a diversified portfolio, with a focus on sectors that could benefit from Trump’s anticipated policies if he wins the 2024 elections. I’m planning to distribute the funds as follows:

• Oil & Energy: 40% (£3,200)
• Financials: 20% (£1,600)
• Infrastructure: 20% (£1,600)
• Pharmaceuticals: 10% (£800)
• Defense: 10% (£800)

I want to know your thoughts on this allocation and the expected holding periods. Here’s how I see each sector performing based on the potential policy landscape:

Sector Analysis

1. Oil & Energy (40%)
   • Policy Impact: Expect relaxed regulations and support for domestic production.
   • Expected Movement: Prices might stabilize above $85/bbl due to strong demand.
   • Holding Period: 6–12 months. I’ll reassess performance and consider trailing stops to manage risks.
2. Financials (20%)
   • Policy Impact: Deregulation and tax incentives could boost profits.
   • Expected Movement: Positive rate trends could enhance lenders’ margins.
   • Holding Period: 6–12 months. Keeping an eye on rate changes and potential deregulation.
3. Infrastructure (20%)
   • Policy Impact: Anticipated federal spending could ramp up.
   • Expected Movement: Steady gains as contracts are awarded, but slow price appreciation due to timelines.
   • Holding Period: 12+ months. Longer-term investments due to project lead times.
4. Pharmaceuticals (10%)
   • Policy Impact: Stable, but potential pressure on pricing.
   • Expected Movement: Moderate growth, especially for firms with domestic incentives.
   • Holding Period: 6–12 months. I’ll watch for FDA developments and pricing policy discussions.
5. Defense (10%)
   • Policy Impact: Increased spending on military capabilities expected.
   • Expected Movement: Steady gains from expanded contracts.
   • Holding Period: 12+ months. Long-term due to multi-year contract commitments.

Overall Strategy Thoughts

• Regular Rebalancing: I’ll keep a close watch on oil and leveraged ETFs, checking performance monthly or quarterly.
• Profit-Taking Strategy: Setting trailing stops to lock in gains, especially in volatile sectors like oil.
• Monitor Policy Changes: Staying updated on announcements to adapt my strategy accordingly.

Questions for Discussion:

1. What are your thoughts on the sector allocations? Any recommendations?
2. How do you see the oil market shaping up in the next 6-12 months?
3. Any advice on managing risk with ETFs in the financials, construction & defense sector?

Looking forward to hearing your thoughts! Thanks!

Hi StockMarket users!

We have recently noticed an increase in the number of posts that are requesting advice about portfolio allocations, next steps, etc. These posts tend to see decent engagement with helpful comments. On the other hand, we see that some users are complaining about these posts. The intent of this post is to collect community feedback on the "Belongs in portfolio thread" rule to better understand how the users of this subreddit would like to see this rule enforced.

Despite being a fairly large sub, this sub has somewhat low user activity and post engagement. We are attempting to balance post volume with post quality. The mods of this subreddit have discussed this rule internally on multiple occasions. We would like to open the discussion up to the community to collect your thoughts.

Would you like the mods to:

1. Remove the "Belongs in Portfolio Thread" rule and the stickied portfolio review thread
2. Remove low-effort portfolio review posts (e.g. image-only posts, allocation-only posts, etc.). Users are required to provide a minimum level of commentary explaining their portfolio allocation and strategy to help guide constructive answers.
3. Strictly enforce the portfolio review rule on any related posts. We're not here to review other people's portfolios.

We are open to any other suggestions as well! Feel free to discuss in the comments.

Need clarity on what are these treasuries 10+ years and some examples of the same. Just got approved for Margin. Trying to learn the ropes

I (20m) Have been investing for two years on and off, and when I started I thought just like every 18yr old who thinks they can try to win big off one trade. It did not work. I took some time off(i was broke)I ended up getting a full time job selling tires at firestone. It’s okay job. I started to invest more money in safer companies not doing options and so far it been working. i’m still down year to date but it’s only a mater of time till im back in the green. where I’m trying to get advice is when I was 18 I leased the car and I have two more years left of the lease either come up with $21,000 to buy the car or give it back and lose out on all the money I’ve already put into it. Is investing stocks worth it? or should I yolo it and try to make it all in one trade?