/r/StockMarket

Photograph via snooOG

Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market in general are all welcome.


Objectives:

Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market in general are all welcome.

Warning!

If you are new to the markets, you may wish to see our submission guidelines and stock market resources section below which have some helpful links:


Our official Discord Investing chat: https://discord.com/invite/investors


Submission Guidelines

  1. Please search before posting: If you are new to the markets and about to ask how to get started, click here instead. Additionally, see our quick guide on how to ask good questions and share quality content.

  2. No Self Promotion: This includes links to your YouTube videos, discord chats, personal websites, Twitter/Instagram/social media accounts, trading services, subreddits, and so on, and applies to both posts and comments. If you have something you believe would be valuable to our community, message the moderators to discuss it before posting.

  3. No Spam: In general, if you have to ask "is this spam?" - it's spam. Spam includes but is not limited to lazy or low effort posts, copying and pasting the same post across multiple subs, posting the same thing multiple times in the same sub, clickbait, self promotion, referral links, surveys, and anything else that could be regarded as shady or unwelcome. Violating spam rules may result in a permanent ban.

  4. Absolutely NO Harassment: Well-reasoned arguments and disagreements are welcomed. Harassment and personal attacks are not. We have a zero tolerance policy for this rule. Harassment includes but is not limited to ad-hominem attacks, racism, discrimination, sexual harassment, hateful/violent language, slurs, and in general just being an asshole. If you are being harassed, report it to us or Reddit admins. If you are harassing someone, you will be permanently and immediately banned and reported to Reddit admins.

  5. No Pump & Dumps/Low Volume Stocks: Avoid sharing content involving low-volume stocks (less than 500k shares average daily volume), OTC stocks, penny stocks and other market instruments that could be easily influenced by a large amount of exposure. Do not attempt to manipulate the market using our subreddit or push any sort of personal agenda with regard to trading.

  6. Flair Meme Posts! - This subreddit's purpose is to analyze, discuss, and participate in stock market related areas. Jokes, images and memes might not add much quality. You can post memes, but be sure to flair them. You may face a ban if your memes are terrible.

  7. No Low-Effort Posts: If posting a link, we ask that you provide some commentary behind the link unless the title is self-explanatory and significant. Any text post that is just a copy and paste of the article content or a screenshot without commentary driving some sort of discussion will be removed.

  8. Memes only on the weekends: Please only keep memes to weekends, we will remove them if posted on a weekday.

Stock market resources:


Note: Nothing posted here by any redditor should be construed as investment advice. Don't be stupid! If you need serious investment advice, contact a financial adviser!


Subreddits We recommend

If you need any advice or information on mid to long term investing, please visit:


/r/StockMarket

3,347,887 Subscribers

0

Quantum usefulness by 2029

Pravir Malik, Ph.D. 3rd+ Systems Thinker, Technologist, Adventurer | Founder at QIQuantum | Leader, Forbes Technology Council's Quantum Computing Group I had the privilege of hosting a Forbes Technology Council global event on quantum computing. The event featured an insightful presentation by Dr. Scott Crowder of IBM, who shared IBM’s vision and strategy for quantum computation. Here are three key highlights from the discussion that stood out to me: 1️⃣ IBM’s Approach to Error Correction: Dr. Crowder provided insights into IBM’s error correction philosophy, offering a contrast to Google’s recent claim that the Willow chip reduces errors as more qubits are used. 2️⃣ Confidence in Useful Quantum Computers by 2029: Dr. Crowder expressed confidence that practical quantum computers will be operational by 2029, a stark contrast to NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's more conservative estimate of 15–30 years.

0 Comments
2025/02/02
00:17 UTC

15

Nasdaq 100 PE Ratio is very high right now

15 Comments
2025/02/01
23:56 UTC

6

Is anyone buying gold or investing in gold ETFs like GLD?

I think you all know why I'm asking. The imminent economic instability looming over our heads seems to be forcing a lot of people including big investors to cash out. Are they just holding cash or are they investing in other forms of monetary value like gold to hedge their funds? Does anyone have experience with investing in gold or other precious metals? For example, I saw Costco is selling 1oz bars and 1000 gram bars right now at a reasonable price compared to the current value of gold and thought about selling shares to buy some. Please let me know what you guys think. Thanks in advance!

27 Comments
2025/02/01
23:42 UTC

18

Q4 2024 GDP Growth Exposes Harsh Reality: Economic Stability Relies Heavily on Rising Budget Deficits

The GDP growth figures for Q4 2024 are remarkable because they highlight the deadlock situation of slowing economic growth alongside a rising budget deficit.

The budget deficit in Q4 amounted to about 10% of GDP. GDP growth compared to Q4 2023 was 2.3%. At that time, the budget deficit was around 7% of GDP. Therefore, if the budget deficit in Q4 2024 had remained at 7% without increasing, GDP growth would have turned negative.

In other words, the economy is still being prevented from sliding into a recession solely due to continuously increasing fiscal stimulus/budget deficit.

3 Comments
2025/02/01
22:23 UTC

9

Jim Simons explaining alpha and beta. The GOAT

10 Comments
2025/02/01
21:43 UTC

2

Where find ^CASHUS?

I'm trying to run a Dual Momentum exercise (https://finimize.com/content/sharpen-your-edge-a-simple-guide-to-sector-momentum-investing). I’m getting similar results to those in the strategy for all tickers, but when it comes to calculating absolute momentum, I can't seem to get it right.

I'm starting to think my issue might be because I'm using ^IRX instead of ^CASHUS (which should give similar results). Can anyone help me with this? Do you know where I can find historical values for ^CASHUS? yfinance and advfn don't provide historical data for some reason.

0 Comments
2025/01/31
20:36 UTC

43

This is the % of retail that believe the market will keep ripping. Thoughts?

49 Comments
2025/02/01
15:30 UTC

16

S&P 500: 5-Day Returns (2025 Week 5)

5 Comments
2025/02/01
14:23 UTC

107

Study: S&P 500 outperformed 85% of All Large-Cap funds (SPIVA research)

25 Comments
2025/02/01
13:16 UTC

1

Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - February 01, 2025

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

* How old are you? What country do you live in?

* Are you employed/making income? How much?

* What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)

* What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?

* What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)

* What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)

* Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?

* And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. .

Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions!

2 Comments
2025/02/01
10:01 UTC

12

Me explain stock market

People buy stuff. Companies make stuff. People buy little pieces of companies. More people like company, company pieces worth more.

People excited about companies, excited people want to bet. Excited people make big bets on if company worth more later. Some know people like company means company worth more. Some forget, think if they like company it worth more.

Too many people bet on companies they like, bookies need insurance. Bookies buy little pieces of companies too. Now everybody buys, companies worth lots.

But some companies not change. Companies stay same. Some companies change boss, bad boss, no help company.

Some people want only money, see company pieces worth more, say I want it too. People no care what company is.

People no care about company = people sell company pieces, want money. Company not worth more, just stay same. Excited people lose bets because company stay same price. Bookie sells pieces, doesn't need, excited people lost bet. Company worth less now.

Company worth less = people scared = more sell. People think nobody like company, price low. They don't buy.

Smart person say "company not bad, company good." Buy when nobody else want. Smart person patient, wait for others to notice. Others buy later, smart person rich.

18 Comments
2025/02/01
05:20 UTC

4

need help starting out

Hi. I'm currently a college student looking to start saving some of my money. I run an online business on the side and make good spending money throughout the school year. I don't know much about financial literacy and am looking to start saving and investing to set my self up for the future. I am not a business major or majoring in anything close to that but I do have lots of interest. I honestly don't know where to start but have taken some steps so far. I'm using Robinhood to put some money in to ETFs and big name companies. I was initially scared of Robinhood because I thought it was a scam but after doing more research it seems to be good for beginners and actually pretty good. Now I'm thinking about making a money market account and just throwing whatever I'm good with putting away in there as well as my Robinhood. My problem is I have less then 4,000 dollars to my name but my business is ramping up. Most places I look at to open a money market account have a minimum deposit or I need to have a lot of money (relative to my concept of money lol) to get a good APY %. Right now it seems like Discover is pretty good for what I'm looking for as there is no minimum amount and 3.6 APY. Can someone help me and tell me if this is a good plan? Also I know I need to make a Retirement account as well but I think I'll do that after. And I'm fortunate enough to not have much debt if any after college if anyone were to suggest to take care of my student debt. Thank you guys!

11 Comments
2025/02/01
04:46 UTC

260

Bulls need to be careful here. Traders are going all-in, MAX long!

98 Comments
2025/01/31
21:51 UTC

7

Non U.S Tech ETFs

I am looking to explore tech ETFs that have little to no investment to the United States, the reason being that the country is a total shit show and is on an upward trajectory to complete and utter mayhem. I am particularly interested in tech ETFs as I have a genuine interest in the industry (particularly semiconductors which I know have a big presence in the US...) as well as artificial intelligence and consumer electronics. My investment platform is with Wealthsimple (Canada based) so I'm open to exploring available ETFs with that platform that are in alignment with my aforementioned request. Thanks!

12 Comments
2025/01/31
20:47 UTC

3

Tariffs on steel and aluminum if enacted late this winter - effect

If tariffs go into effect with steel and aluminum coming into the USA, there are winners and losers.

Losers include any company making large items full of metal, as in automotive makers producing cars in the USA. [TSLA, F, GM, TM etc]

Additionally, on the losing front Boeing [BA] Lockheed [LMT] would also have its costs increase.

Winners would include domestic steel producers such as Cleveland Cliffs [CLF] and Nucor [NUE].

Disclosure: percent of my account CLF = 1.11%, NUE = 0.93%

General inflation protection also do better than the average trade.

1 Comment
2025/01/31
20:19 UTC

55

What will this mean?

Starting February 1, 2025, the U.S. will impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on imports from China.

With the 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico kicking in, what does this mean for companies like GM that have a ton of manufacturing there? From what I can tell, this is going to be a huge problem:

GM imports a ton of vehicles and parts from Mexico and Canada, so now their costs are going way up.

They’ll either have to eat those costs (hurting profits) or pass them on to consumers (hurting sales).

The tariffs will last atleast a year assuming they can’t come to trade agreements and it’s not like Moving production into U.S. is just some quick and easy fix as it’s expensive and it would takes years.

are Investors going to panic? probably.

Anyone else think this is gonna be a rough few months for GM.

78 Comments
2025/01/31
20:15 UTC

0

Buy?

This stock has dipped pretty low, a fairly new company. I only know of like 5 of the restaurants they own and the ones I know are pretty decent. Good time to load up on 1000 shares right????

4 Comments
2025/01/31
17:09 UTC

0

Advice

Hello everyone I just started investmenting this week (plz be easy on me). 29 years old and Canadian. Could I get some feedback on investing with the stocks I have or any advice at all would be greatly appreciated.

3 Comments
2025/01/31
16:37 UTC

620

U.S. stock exchanges are exploring a 22-hour trading amid overnight demand

NYSE and other exchanges are considering expanding trading hours to nearly 22 hours a day, driven by increasing overnight activity from retail and global investors. Robinhood and alternative platforms like Blue Ocean have seen surging late-night trading, fueled by smartphone apps and interest from Asian markets.

However, industry concerns remain over liquidity, system maintenance, and regulatory challenges, with many questioning how 24-hour trading would affect pricing, risk management, and operational costs.

To quote FT.com:

This is pushing investment professionals to engage in surprisingly complex debates around the simplest-seeming questions.

When, for example, does a trading day begin and end if it runs around the clock? What would be the closing price of a stock — typically the reference point for trillions of dollars in funds — if the day were seamless?

100 Comments
2025/01/31
16:33 UTC

0

Just wondering if I need to add something else since I’m new to the stock market.

Thanks.

11 Comments
2025/01/31
15:57 UTC

7

Energy Stock : What happens in US ?

Hi everyone.

About my stock picks, i adapted my strategy in regard to Trump's policy. I bet on 3 sectors :

- Technology : i sold my Nvidia stock to take some from other AI tech companies and profit the bound. I consider in the new AI market, Nvidia as too expensive. They will lose its strong point : high mergin.

- Financial : Of course, Financial companies got very very good earnings, and Trump has not deregulated the market yet. So that could be the year of finance services.

- Energy : It's tricky. I make a big difference between oil and gas. Trumps wants Oil price fall by flooding the world with US oil. For me, this is the worst for Oil companies. They make money, not with quantity, but with the high price. But, i got an opposite position about gas. Today, the demand is higher and higher. Europe wants to be independant from russian gas. Moreover, Gas could be the best energy for AI industries, because Nuclear is too complicated to develop in short and middle term.

My doubt is why the energy stock look very unstable. I bet on Cheniere, Kinder Morgan and Exe, but the stock is very volatile. I lost 10% on cheniere.

Some trouble about Trump's energy policy in US ?

12 Comments
2025/01/31
15:18 UTC

0

Massive V recovery yet again

You guys once again got played thinking the deepseek news actually mattered for the market. Some even called it a blackswan event, LMFAO!! You realize the sole purpose of Monday was to just get the gap filled. look at that massive weekly green candle. Some will never learn that a Monday/weekly gap will never hold. It always is an immediate BTMFD. So now we are again about to go to new ATH.

We have the most unstoppable market ever. The Fed won't break the market. Nothing trump does will break the market. Even the dumb tariffs won't break the markets. So if you are a bear what are you doing? You might as well throw in the towel. You had your chance in January and again you fumbled the ball. Seriously there is absolutely nothing on the face of the earth that can stop this market.

10 Comments
2025/01/31
15:15 UTC

7

These are the stocks on my watchlist (01/31)

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Catalyst I'm looking out for today- NVDA CEO to meet with White House officials, and server capex cost for DeepSeek alerted to be almost $1.3B. Deepseek capabilities are expected to be copied by US firms.

News: Fed's Favored Inflation Gauge Posted Muted Advance In December

Ticker: AAPL

https://preview.redd.it/1jwrb5099cge1.png?width=1021&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c3fe0a1b7d09cab181c6e10e63d554563929211

Catalyst: Apple reported EPS of $2.40 vs. $2.35, and revenue of $124.3B vs 124B.

Despite these positive results, the company provided cautious guidance for the upcoming quarter, citing uncertainties related to the impact of new AI features on sales. Tim Cook mentioned that Apple Intelligence DID lead to stronger sales/growth in areas where it was rolled out (it has limited rollout right now).

Volume/Market Cap/Technicals: Watching $250 level, no strong bias. We've seen AAPL swing close to 20% this month, (on report of sales weakness in China) but doubt this will continue.

Context: Most immediate news that comes to mind was the weakness of sales in China for the iPhone, causing the move this month.

Risks: Don't really see immediate risks beyond the trade war, in 2019/2020 this resulted in AAPL moving manufacturing/production to other countries in SouthEast Asia- slowing growth in China has been pretty consistent, however.

Related Tickers: rest of FAANG, Samsung if you can trade overseas stocks.

Offhand: Apple is investing in its own high-speed network infrastructure to enhance content delivery, (just like META)

Ticker: ACMR (ACM Research, Inc.)

https://preview.redd.it/dh5rkli99cge1.png?width=1019&format=png&auto=webp&s=acb81ac92f0567332dd437609f2551796713215d

Catalyst: Kerrisdale Capital released a bullish report on ACM Research (ACMR), a semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) company positioned in China but headquartered in America.

It leads China as a leading supplier of wafer cleaning tools and beneficiary of China's push toward semiconductor self-sufficiency.

Kerrisdale predicts the company to eventually compete globally and cites it as a potential 10x return. Trades at 1x 2025E revenue (likely due to China fears).

Volume/Market Cap/Technicals: This is the interesting part- ACMR holds a $1.2B mkt cap but trades at a massive discount compared to its Chinese subsidiary (ACMS), which has a $5.9 billion market cap and trades at 6x 2025E revenue.

The report suggests that ACMR’s NASDAQ valuation is severely mispriced and could re-rate significantly as investors recognize the valuation gap.

Context: China/US chip war, you guys know what this is.

Sector Context: The global semiconductor industry is shifting, with China attempting to localize chip production.

Kerrisdale argues that restrictions on U.S. and Japanese WFE exports to China will only fuel ACMR’s growth as Chinese fabs increasingly turn to domestic suppliers.

China's WFE self-sufficiency has grown from 4% in 2019 to 17% in 2024 and is expected to reach 36% by 2026.

Risks: Geopolitical factors, including further U.S. export restrictions, could impact ACMR’s operations. Similar to how we have the NVDA trade restriction going on right now.

However, Kerrisdale sees these restrictions as a net positive due to ACMR having less competition in China as a result.

There are other players in the WFE space in China, but ACMR has a technological moat.

Related Tickers: LRCX, AMAT, KLAC

Ticker: INTC

https://preview.redd.it/ug6evzz99cge1.png?width=1017&format=png&auto=webp&s=7ec9e7355a1ce06f1b75734263d3e5454c61ee31

Catalyst: Intel reported revenue of $14.26B vs exp of $13.81B. Most important, the company anticipated breakeven EPS next quarter.

Volume/Market Cap/Technicals: Somewhat rangebound for the past 3 months. Watching $20 but nothing interesting I'm watching beyond that.

Context: This earnings report is Intel's first since the departure of CEO Pat Gelsinger. Also worth thinking of the NVDA/Deepseek/semiconductor news when reading through these catalysts.

Intel has also announced a delay in its Falcon Shores GPU and only using it internally within the company.

Risks: Intel faces significant competition from companies such as NVIDIA and AMD, the delay of their chip is pretty bad news.

Related Tickers: AMD/NVDA/TSM

Ticker: ASTS

https://preview.redd.it/tvcyyufa9cge1.png?width=1021&format=png&auto=webp&s=a65d27f263bff96fbbd2dd41abca36e0d42a073a

Catalyst: ASTS has received special temporary authority from the FCC to test its space-based cellular broadband network in the United States. Allows for collaboration efforts with VZ/T.

Volume/Market Cap/Technicals: Slight rise, but will watch this at open to see if volume comes in.

Context: The FCC's authorization allows ASTS to provide cell/satellite comms, allowing for greater coverage and signals that more use of ASTS satellites. I remember that the company was essentially valued based on each satellite they launched successfully in 2024,

whether that hype returns remains to be seen but overall not interested in trading this unless we have retail interest again.

Sector Context: SpaceX's Starlink is also entering the direct-to-cell market, as I noted a few days ago- most of the investment that can be done in these type of cell/sat comms in public markets can really only be done in ASTS.

Risks: If SpaceX IPOs we might see a selloff in this stock simply because SpaceX is far larger/established and Elon Musk has closer ties to the government.

Related Tickers: T/VZ/RKLB

11 Comments
2025/01/31
14:21 UTC

310

Study: only 3% of day traders make a profit

89 Comments
2025/01/31
13:27 UTC

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