Are you guys seeing any correlation with black monday here?? I think the market is going to crash. I think now is the time to buy some puts for the end of the year. What do you guys think??? Am i crazy??

Inventory is wayy up, asking prices are wayy down where I'm at (Central Texas)

I live in an urban area, houses are moving an average of 17% under list, according to Zillow. And this is based on August Data. We still haven't got September in.

2 years ago I had to go miles to find anything for sale, asking prices were up 10% versus now.

Now I can literally throw a rock and hit a dozen or more different houses for sale, depending on the wind and how strong I'm feeling lol.

I feel like the current administration wants to keep this on the hush through the end of the month and the first week of November.

We're in serious trouble. Foreclosures are also starting to come up everywhere.

Last time I saw this happen was about Idk, 2008 or so 🤔

Is it like this everywhere?

Is this the beginning of what I think it is?

Hi everyone,

China made some interventions to boost their economy, but imo investors are too optimistic on the outcome in the short term.

This maybe gives a short term increase in copper demand, but it will be short lived imo.

And in the meantime the copper inventories are still very high today.

Soon or later professionel investors that increased their physical copper holdings in Q4 2023 until August 2024, will start to sell that copper again to get cash.

Cash to repay JPY loans maybe?

My post of a month ago: https://www.reddit.com/r/stockmarketcrash/comments/1f42i6g/im_bearish_on_copper_for_2h2024_early2025_but/

I'm strongly bullish for copper in the Long term, because the future demand of copper is huge, while there aren't that much new big copper projects ready to become a mine in coming years

This isn't financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before investing

Cheers

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Hi everyone,

This doesn't bode well for the future. Just a feeling.

https://preview.redd.it/8g0q1v2yfund1.jpg?width=1462&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8bad3d535863b7f5807a96da33824fe1e659fc63

What do you think?

Cheers

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Hi everyone,

I'm bearish on copper for 2H2024 / early2025

1. China has been building a huge copper inventory in 1H2024, which reduces their copper buying in coming months
2. Temporarly lower EV increase in the world = less copper demand

The switch from ICE to EV cars increases the copper demand because there is less copper in an ICE car than in an EV car.

Reason for saying that there is a temporary slowdown in EV implementation

2.1) The demand of EV is big in China, but in Europe and USA there is a temporary slowdown (coming from Lithium specialists).

2.2) EV's are also more expensive than ICE cars. With recession incoming, that will impact consumption

3. A important recession is coming in economically important parts of the world => Copper demand decreases with such recessions

I'm strongly bullish for copper in the Long term, because the future demand of copper is huge, while there aren't that much new big copper projects ready to become a mine in coming years

Cheers

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Hi everyone,

I'm bearish on copper for 2H2024 / early2025

1. China has been building a huge copper inventory in 1H2024, which reduces their copper buying in coming months
2. Temporarly lower EV increase in the world = less copper demand

The switch from ICE to EV cars increases the copper demand because there is less copper in an ICE car than in an EV car.

Reason for saying that there is a temporary slowdown in EV implementation

2.1) The demand of EV is big in China, but in Europe and USA there is a temporary slowdown (coming from Lithium specialists).

2.2) EV's are also more expensive than ICE cars. With recession incoming, that will impact consumption

3. A important recession is coming in economically important parts of the world => Copper demand decreases with such recessions

I'm strongly bullish for copper in the Long term, because the future demand of copper is huge, while there aren't that much new big copper projects ready to become a mine in coming years

Please comment with your opinions and macro views

Cheers