/r/NFLstatheads

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    /r/NFLstatheads

    4,405 Subscribers

    1

    Live Look at the Buffalo Bills Stadium

    0 Comments
    2024/12/01
    06:04 UTC

    1

    Looking for a ranking of NFL defenses by how many explosive pass plays they allow to opposing offenses. Anyone have that on hand?

    4 Comments
    2024/12/01
    01:36 UTC

    3

    Thanksgiving Day NFL Trends and Notes

    0 Comments
    2024/11/27
    22:51 UTC

    3

    PI+ yardage stats

    Are there any sites that have receiving yards+ PI drawn yardage…. Seems relevant to a wide receivers actual production. Thanks.

    0 Comments
    2024/11/26
    02:47 UTC

    3

    Sunday NFL Week 12 Recap

    0 Comments
    2024/11/25
    22:13 UTC

    2

    Do refs prefer losing teams?

    Simple question that I can't find an answer for. Are NFL refs more likely to call to benefit the team that is behind?

    1 Comment
    2024/11/25
    04:03 UTC

    3

    Some Week 12 NFL Information

    0 Comments
    2024/11/24
    03:04 UTC

    2

    A Few Sunday NFL Trends (Week 12)

    0 Comments
    2024/11/23
    01:31 UTC

    3

    Stats for O/U % in snow games

    I feel like everyone starts betting the under when there is weather, snow in particular. Does snow really affect the score that much? And does the O/U adjust enough predicting weather ?

    Anyone have data with regards to snow games?

    5 Comments
    2024/11/22
    00:50 UTC

    2

    Yahoo Fantasy Football Projections vs Actuals

    Has anyone been able to produce a before and after of Yahoo Fantasy football projections and actuals for each player per week?

    If not, are there APIs that might have this information ?

    0 Comments
    2024/11/20
    02:41 UTC

    2

    Punt coverage analytics?

    Hey guys, does anyone know if there's any data on what teams are particularly good (or bad) at punt coverage. We obviously have data on gross and net distance, but I'm curious if any smart guys have tried to synthesize more of the player data into a metric that demonstrates what teams get down there and cover really well, as opposed to just the punter being especially good.

    Or, conversely, we all know the phrase "he outkicked his coverage" and that does happen, but I imagine sometimes it's just that the coverage team isn't great.

    Any thoughts?

    2 Comments
    2024/11/19
    01:45 UTC

    3

    BettingBenchmarks: What is "Benchmark: Coach ATS"?

    This year, I was dragged into my extended family's NFL Pick-'em pool. I've been using https://www.bettingbenchmarks.com/season to inform my picks.

    "Benchmark: Coach ATS" has the highest winning percentage out of all the models tracked by the Betting Benchmarks service. However... I don't understand what that is, and clicking into it yields no information (as opposed to the other third-party predictions, which seem to be published by enthusiasts).

    My questions:

    • What is "Benchmark: Coach ATS"?
    • Can I find its corresponding straight-up pick-em predictions somewhere?
    • If not, can I easily construct those predictions?

    To the extent it helps contextualize my question:

    • I know very little about sports, let alone sport statistics
    • I am a software engineer / data scientist by trade, so working with code and data is no hurdle
    • I have previously fiddled with the Python wrappers around NFLverse data.

    I hope posting a hyperlink is OK. This is a genuine question and not blog spam.

    4 Comments
    2024/11/18
    18:12 UTC

    2

    Sunday Afternoon NFL Player Prop and Analysis (Browns/Saints)

    0 Comments
    2024/11/17
    11:56 UTC

    3

    Thursday Night Football Pick and Analysis (Commanders/Eagles)

    0 Comments
    2024/11/14
    22:11 UTC

    5

    In my search for a ff kicker I noticed Butker kicked a 19yd field goal this season. That's a yard or two off the shortest realistically possible since the goal posts were moved to the back of the endzone in '74.

    PFR shows just three 19 yarders since 1994. That's as far as they go back. Any other sources to go back further to 1974? I'm curious if there are any 17 or 18 yarders in the records as the shortest field goals made.

    2 Comments
    2024/11/14
    21:50 UTC

    3

    Sunday Afternoon NFL Pick and Analysis (Eagles/Cowboys)

    0 Comments
    2024/11/10
    20:48 UTC

    5

    Interception and fumble return yardage stats

    Does anybody have any stats on interception and unrecovered fumble return yardage (ie any non-special team plays where the ball is turned over)? I am looking for data for example in a format similar to this, or just the raw data :

    Interceptions, of which :

    • Returned -5 to -1 yards (7%)
    • Returned 0 yards (38%)
    • Returned 1-15 yards (24%)
    • Returned 16-30 yards (18%)
    • Returned 31-50 yards (6%)
    • Returned 51-70 yards (4%)
    • Returned 71+ yards (3%)

    Unrecovered Fumbles , of which :

    • Returned -5 to -1 yards (12%)
    • Returned 0 yards (43%)
    • Returned 1-15 yards (22%)
    • Returned 16-30 yards (15%)
    • Returned 31-50 yards (5%)
    • Returned 51-70 yards (2%)
    • Returned 71+ yards (1%)

    Many thanks in advance!

    1 Comment
    2024/11/10
    14:13 UTC

    0

    I did a spreadsheet to try and figure out if passing or rushing is the bigger factor to winning. There are exceptions but teams that finish games with more rushing/less passing volume win more games overall. Same defensively, opponents that end up passing more/running less are losing teams.

    Passing/rushing/winning scaled

    This is scaled green=good, red=bad based on team ranking for pass/rush play% rankings and opponent pass/rush play%. It clearly shows the top teams are controlling the run game for and against. The teams at the low end of standings are at the top in passing attempts. I'm not sure how to interpret it. Are winning teams passing less because of strategy or because they don't have to pass when the run game is working? Do losing teams end up passing more because their run game is getting nowhere or is it flawed game plan? curious if anyone can look at this and offer insight. Or it could be just showing something obvious that I don't see.

    21 Comments
    2024/11/10
    13:05 UTC

    3

    Passing yds/gm vs. Gross passing yds/gm. Which stats are not subtracted for gross?

    Trying to figure out if the Bucs defense is far better than the stats show. Just 3 games accounted for 1000 pass yds against and 13 pass tds. The rest of the schedule they contained some very good wideouts. I found an anomaly in their opp yds/gm vs.opp gross yds/gm. Could not find info on the difference.

    6 Comments
    2024/11/09
    19:44 UTC

    2

    NFL Winning Players

    I found this online and was wondering if this has any errors.

    NFL Winning Players

    The player for each NFL franchise who has won the most regular season games as a member of each team.

    Franchise, Wins Player Years, Position(s)

    Cardinals, 126 Larry Fitzgerald 2004-2020, Receiver

    Falcons, 120 Matt Ryan 2008-2021, Quarterback

    Ravens, 126 Ray Lewis 1996-2012, Linebacker

    Bills, 127 Andre Reed 1985-1999, Receiver

    Panthers, 103 John Kasay 1995-2010, Kicker

    Bears, 124 Patrick Mannelly 1998-2013, Long-Snapper/Tackle

    Bengals, 105 Ken Riley 1969-1983, Def Back

    Browns, 114 Clay Matthews 1978-1993, Linebacker

    Cowboys, 134 Randy White 1975-1988, DT-LB-DE

    Broncos, 149 John Elway 1983-1998, Quarterback

    Lions, 119 Jason Hanson 1992-2012, Kicker

    Packers, 161 Brett Favre 1992-2007, Quarterback

    Texans, 74 Andre Johnson 2003-2014, Receiver

    Colts, 143 Reggie Wayne 2001-2014, Receiver

    Jaguars, 93 Jimmy Smith 1995-2005, Receiver

    Chiefs, 131 Will Shields 1993-2006, Guard

    Chargers, 128 David Binn 1994-2009, Center

    Rams, 137 Jackie Slater 1976-1995, Guard/Tackle

    Dolphins, 147 Dan Marino 1983-1999, Quarterback

    Vikings, 131 Fred Cox 1963-1977, Kicker

    Patriots, 219 Tom Brady 2001-2019, Quarterback

    Saints, 112 Drew Brees 2006-2017, Quarterback

    Giants, 116 Michael Strahan 1993-2007, Def End

    Jets, 110 Pat Leahy 1974-1991, Kicker

    Raiders, 145 Dave Dalby 1972-1985, Center

    Eagles, 116 David Akers 1999-2010, Kicker

    Steelers, 165 Ben Roethlisberger 2004-2021, Quarterback

    49ers, 161 Jerry Rice 1985-2000, Receiver

    Seahawks, 108 Joe Nash 1982-1996, NT/DT

    Buccaneers, 120 Ronde Barber 1997-2012, Def Back

    Titans/Oilers, 142 Bruce Matthews 1983-2001, G-C-T

    Redskins, 162 Darrell Green 1983-2002, Def Back

    2 Comments
    2024/11/08
    23:32 UTC

    2

    NFL Week 9 Recap and Monday Night Football Info

    0 Comments
    2024/11/04
    22:28 UTC

    1

    Sunday Early Afternoon NFL Picks (2 Games)

    0 Comments
    2024/11/03
    17:05 UTC

    22

    Announcing new NFL API

    I'm the creator of balldontlie.io. The site has historically been one of the leading APIs of NBA data, and we're happy to announce support for NFL data. There are multiple tiers (including a free one). Please take a look and let us know if you have any questions.

    Find the documentation here: https://nfl.balldontlie.io/#nfl-api

    Join us on discord: https://discord.gg/cQJhfTPn8j

    7 Comments
    2024/10/30
    14:12 UTC

    3

    Any idea where I can see a QB faces man vs zone coverage?

    Can’t find this online anywhere

    1 Comment
    2024/10/29
    22:00 UTC

    3

    Which Team Runs the Most HB Draws out of Shotgun?

    Frustrated Raiders fan here. I feel like 80% of our play calls are HB draws out of the gun. I was curious to know if there was any site to see how frequently we run them and where we rank compared to the rest of the league.

    0 Comments
    2024/10/28
    23:09 UTC

    2

    Punt return and kick return fumble recoveries

    Does anybody have any stats on punt return and kick return fumble recovery percentages? From my years of watching games I think the team that fumbled is much less likely to recover on a punt or kick return than on a non-special teams play. On a non-special teams play I think the fumble recovery percentage is around 53%.

    7 Comments
    2024/10/25
    21:20 UTC

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