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/r/Economics

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288

Republican plan: Work to 70 and beyond

Despite all the hype and promise of AI leading to shorter work weeks, more productivity, and more prosperity, Republicans are busy building plans for everyone to work into their 70s. Up next: the 50 hour work week.

264 Comments
2024/06/20
21:43 UTC

1

Link between globalisation and cost of debt capital…?

Not an econ expert here, but have a question which arose from an article I read.

Somebody in the comments suggested globalising trade post-2000 in goods and services permitted China to invest considerable income from its trade surplus into US assets (I assume treasuries and, to a lesser extent, the real estate-referencing structured products which were popular then).

The arguments was that this massively contributed to the resulting bubble by driving borrowing costs down hard.

This makes sense intuitively but, on second thought, global capital markets were (and are) so saturated with demand for US debt that it’s difficult for me to imagine how Chinese investment in treasuries — even in the billions/trillions — would lower the cost of debt across the economy. My opinion is that monetary policy of the Fed and domestic economic circumstances play a much bigger role than extrinsic decisions on directing capital.

Who is right? Are we both wrong? Thanks!

1 Comment
2024/06/20
12:29 UTC

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