/r/NFLstatheads
Do not submit blogspam here. If you post content from your own site that is not appropriate for this subreddit, I will remove it and head straight to r/reportthespammers.
Articles are welcome from sites like Advanced NFL Stats, Code and Football, and Football Outsiders. Please avoid statistical trivia (e.g. team X had the most punt return yards in history).
Independent research is greatly encouraged. If someone submits their own work, be constructive.
If you need some help with introductory statistics topics, try some of the resources linked here.
Data for your own research
Play-by-play data: source 1, source 2 (you only need the free data)
Boxscore data 1990 to 2011 (If you find this information useful, consider spending $10 to support the folks at pro-football-reference.com, where this data comes from.)
Salary cap data 2002 to 2009 (taken from USA Today, compiled by kloverr - use at your own risk)
Related subreddits
r/statistics (and r/homeworkhelp for more basic questions)
r/sportsbook - betting discussion
/r/NFLstatheads
Are there any sites that have receiving yards+ PI drawn yardage…. Seems relevant to a wide receivers actual production. Thanks.
Simple question that I can't find an answer for. Are NFL refs more likely to call to benefit the team that is behind?
I feel like everyone starts betting the under when there is weather, snow in particular. Does snow really affect the score that much? And does the O/U adjust enough predicting weather ?
Anyone have data with regards to snow games?
Has anyone been able to produce a before and after of Yahoo Fantasy football projections and actuals for each player per week?
If not, are there APIs that might have this information ?
Hey guys, does anyone know if there's any data on what teams are particularly good (or bad) at punt coverage. We obviously have data on gross and net distance, but I'm curious if any smart guys have tried to synthesize more of the player data into a metric that demonstrates what teams get down there and cover really well, as opposed to just the punter being especially good.
Or, conversely, we all know the phrase "he outkicked his coverage" and that does happen, but I imagine sometimes it's just that the coverage team isn't great.
Any thoughts?
This year, I was dragged into my extended family's NFL Pick-'em pool. I've been using https://www.bettingbenchmarks.com/season to inform my picks.
"Benchmark: Coach ATS" has the highest winning percentage out of all the models tracked by the Betting Benchmarks service. However... I don't understand what that is, and clicking into it yields no information (as opposed to the other third-party predictions, which seem to be published by enthusiasts).
My questions:
To the extent it helps contextualize my question:
I hope posting a hyperlink is OK. This is a genuine question and not blog spam.
PFR shows just three 19 yarders since 1994. That's as far as they go back. Any other sources to go back further to 1974? I'm curious if there are any 17 or 18 yarders in the records as the shortest field goals made.
Does anybody have any stats on interception and unrecovered fumble return yardage (ie any non-special team plays where the ball is turned over)? I am looking for data for example in a format similar to this, or just the raw data :
Interceptions, of which :
Unrecovered Fumbles , of which :
Many thanks in advance!
Passing/rushing/winning scaled
This is scaled green=good, red=bad based on team ranking for pass/rush play% rankings and opponent pass/rush play%. It clearly shows the top teams are controlling the run game for and against. The teams at the low end of standings are at the top in passing attempts. I'm not sure how to interpret it. Are winning teams passing less because of strategy or because they don't have to pass when the run game is working? Do losing teams end up passing more because their run game is getting nowhere or is it flawed game plan? curious if anyone can look at this and offer insight. Or it could be just showing something obvious that I don't see.
Trying to figure out if the Bucs defense is far better than the stats show. Just 3 games accounted for 1000 pass yds against and 13 pass tds. The rest of the schedule they contained some very good wideouts. I found an anomaly in their opp yds/gm vs.opp gross yds/gm. Could not find info on the difference.
I found this online and was wondering if this has any errors.
NFL Winning Players
The player for each NFL franchise who has won the most regular season games as a member of each team.
Franchise, Wins Player Years, Position(s)
Cardinals, 126 Larry Fitzgerald 2004-2020, Receiver
Falcons, 120 Matt Ryan 2008-2021, Quarterback
Ravens, 126 Ray Lewis 1996-2012, Linebacker
Bills, 127 Andre Reed 1985-1999, Receiver
Panthers, 103 John Kasay 1995-2010, Kicker
Bears, 124 Patrick Mannelly 1998-2013, Long-Snapper/Tackle
Bengals, 105 Ken Riley 1969-1983, Def Back
Browns, 114 Clay Matthews 1978-1993, Linebacker
Cowboys, 134 Randy White 1975-1988, DT-LB-DE
Broncos, 149 John Elway 1983-1998, Quarterback
Lions, 119 Jason Hanson 1992-2012, Kicker
Packers, 161 Brett Favre 1992-2007, Quarterback
Texans, 74 Andre Johnson 2003-2014, Receiver
Colts, 143 Reggie Wayne 2001-2014, Receiver
Jaguars, 93 Jimmy Smith 1995-2005, Receiver
Chiefs, 131 Will Shields 1993-2006, Guard
Chargers, 128 David Binn 1994-2009, Center
Rams, 137 Jackie Slater 1976-1995, Guard/Tackle
Dolphins, 147 Dan Marino 1983-1999, Quarterback
Vikings, 131 Fred Cox 1963-1977, Kicker
Patriots, 219 Tom Brady 2001-2019, Quarterback
Saints, 112 Drew Brees 2006-2017, Quarterback
Giants, 116 Michael Strahan 1993-2007, Def End
Jets, 110 Pat Leahy 1974-1991, Kicker
Raiders, 145 Dave Dalby 1972-1985, Center
Eagles, 116 David Akers 1999-2010, Kicker
Steelers, 165 Ben Roethlisberger 2004-2021, Quarterback
49ers, 161 Jerry Rice 1985-2000, Receiver
Seahawks, 108 Joe Nash 1982-1996, NT/DT
Buccaneers, 120 Ronde Barber 1997-2012, Def Back
Titans/Oilers, 142 Bruce Matthews 1983-2001, G-C-T
Redskins, 162 Darrell Green 1983-2002, Def Back
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Can’t find this online anywhere
Frustrated Raiders fan here. I feel like 80% of our play calls are HB draws out of the gun. I was curious to know if there was any site to see how frequently we run them and where we rank compared to the rest of the league.
Does anybody have any stats on punt return and kick return fumble recovery percentages? From my years of watching games I think the team that fumbled is much less likely to recover on a punt or kick return than on a non-special teams play. On a non-special teams play I think the fumble recovery percentage is around 53%.