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This is a place for believers or people with an interest in Mormonism to discuss politics.

This is a place for believers or people with an interest in Mormonism to discuss politics.

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/r/mopolitics

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7

Small donor data: 2008–2024

One difference in this election cycle that I haven't seen covered much is the small donor data for each candidate.

There is a significant disparity between the two candidates this election, which is a dramatic change from the most recent elections.

https://preview.redd.it/ipkbna2xkqxd1.png?width=2245&format=png&auto=webp&s=4f62df802c888862b977c6fb38b16d6802a8bed2

While the Harris campaign is bringing in marginally more money from small donors than the 2020 Biden campaign, the Trump campaign has seen a dramatic plunge. And the disparity is approaching the level of the Obama/McCain election in 2008.

The small donor metric is often used to gauge voter enthusiasm/commitment and I think this chart bears that out. Seems like a small^(†) but potentially meaningful indication of what will happen next week.

Sources:

https://www.opensecrets.org/2024-presidential-race/small-donors

https://www.opensecrets.org/2020-presidential-race/small-donors

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/candidate?id=N00000019

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/candidate?id=N00023864

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres12/candidate?id=N00009638

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres12/candidate?id=N00000286

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/candidate?id=N00009638

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/candidate?id=N00006424


^(† Pun slightly intended)

11 Comments
2024/10/29
18:13 UTC

10

Why is it close? Anyone have any substantive thoughts?

This year the October surprise seems to be an abundance of Trump catastrophes. He has been his own "October Surprise".

Here's a list (not just limited to October, but we're still talking about them)

I know I'm forgetting some, but for any other candidate at any other time, any one of these could be enough to end your political career.

If Harris "is blowing it" and it's as simple as that, show me the scandals and missteps that compare in quantity and in quality to that list there. Don't show me poll numbers, show me the cause for the movement.

If she's such a "horrible candidate" then it should be easy. I simply see no REASON that I can attribute to the Harris campaign that could explain the disparity here.

28 Comments
2024/10/29
15:27 UTC

1

Election Predictions

What do you think will be the result of the Presidential election? (As opposed to what you WANT to happen)

View Poll

50 Comments
2024/10/25
19:29 UTC

11

The stakes have never been higher.

85 Comments
2024/10/22
00:11 UTC

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