/r/boxoffice
A place to talk about the box office and the movie business, both domestically and internationally.
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Wiki pages
Common box office questions FAQ
Historical Box Office Data - 1950-1958
AMAs
Essentials
Box Office Pro - best known for their long-range forecasts of domestic openings.
Box Office Report - a source for box office updates, with great pages comparing a movie's opening weekend numbers to its trailer views and preview night results.
Box Office Theory - popular box office forum.
World of KJ - another popular box office forum.
The Trades
Deadline - has the most comprehensive box office analysis of all the trades.
International Box Office
entgroup.cn - reports on the Chinese box office regularly.
Korean Film Council - updates on Korean box office numbers.
InsideKino - mostly german box office though it has admissions and revenue data on a variety of other, mostly European, markets.
[Boxoffice Turkiye](boxofficeturkiye.com) - Turkish Box Office
/r/boxoffice
#Daily Box Office(December 20th 2024)
The market hits ¥71.5M/$10.3M which is up +178% from yesterday and up +56% versus last week.
Captain America: Brave New World confirmed for a release. But no date set yet.
Province map of the day:
Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour tops most of the country on its release date even with basicaly zero walkups. Which isn't unexpeted from a concert movie. It had $3M+ in pre-sales but failed to gross even $4M
In Metropolitan cities:
Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour wins Beijing, Chengdu, Chongqing, Wuhan, Suzhou , Nanjing and Hangzhou
Mufasa: The Lion King wins Shanghai
The Last Dance wins Guangzhou and Shenzhen
City tiers:
Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour is top everywhere as Mufasa has to settle for 3rd in T1 and T3-T4 and 2nd in T2.
Tier 1: Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour>The Last Dance>Mufasa: The Lion King
Tier 2: Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour>Mufasa: The Lion King>The Prosecutor
Tier 3: Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour>The Prosecutor>Mufasa: The Lion King
Tier 4: Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour>The Prosecutor>Mufasa: The Lion King
# | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jason Zhang Brilliance Tour | $3.86M | 60170 | 0.66M | $3.86M | $8M-$9M | ||
2 | The Proscecutor(Pre-Scr) | $1.45M | +94% | +44% | 41403 | 0.26M | $12.26M | |
3 | Mufasa: The Lion King | $1.43M | 64381 | 0.26M | $1.43M | $18M-$19M | ||
4 | The Last Dance | $1.04M | +24% | 39368 | 0.20M | $14.26M | $25M-$28M | |
5 | Her Story | $0.87M | +9% | -49% | 44096 | 0.15M | $91.51M | $97M-$99M |
6 | I Am What I Am 2 | $0.31M | +30% | 22285 | 0.06M | $5.91M | $12M-$15M | |
7 | Honey Money Phony(Pre-Scr) | $0.13M | 3055 | 0.02M | $0.13M | |||
8 | Burning Stars | $0.11M | -45% | -87% | 13407 | 0.02M | $13.74M | $14M-$15M |
9 | MAHARAJA | $0.07M | -30% | -77% | 5033 | 0.01M | $10.05M | $11M-$12M |
10 | Moana 2 | $0.06M | +45% | -72% | 5864 | 0.01M | $13.42M | $14M-$17M |
15 | Kraven the Hunter | $0.03M | -70% | 4658 | 0.005M | $1.66M | $1M-$2M | |
*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week, |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
Mufasa claws back ground on the pre-sales map.
https://i.imgur.com/R8lz3aF.png
###Mufasa: The Lion King
Mufasa opens even below the lowest projections but still remains projected a $8-9M weekend.
WoM figures:
No audience scores yet.
Maoyan:, Taopiaopiao:, Douban:
|#|FRI|SAT|SUN|MON|TUE|WED|THU|Total| |:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:| |First Week|$1.43M|/|/|/|/|/|/|$1.43M
Scheduled showings update for Mufasa: The Lion King for the next few days:
Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
---|---|---|---|
Today | 64381 | $400k | $1.60M-$2.12M |
Saturday | 85111 | $763k | $3.54M-$4.16M |
Sunday | 56750 | $185k | $3.14M-$3.54M |
###Moana 2
Moana 2 sees a sharp drop on Friday versus last week. However weekend projections have gone back up to potentialy even $0.90M(-55%)
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.2, Taopiaopiao: 9.3, Douban: 6.8
Gender Split(M-W): 39-61
Age Split: Under 20: 7.4%, 20-24: 20.4%, 25-29: 20.9%, 30-34: 18.9%, 35-39: 14.9%, Over 40: 17.5%
City Tiers: T1: 33.2%, T2: 49.3%, T3: 9.4%, T4: 8.1%
Most Popular Province: Guangdong: 16.8%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 10.1%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: 88.2%, IMAX: 5.5%, Rest: 6.3%
Language split: English Version: 47.0%, Mandarin: 53.0%
|#|FRI|SAT|SUN|MON|TUE|WED|THU|Total| |:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:| |Third Week|$0.21M|$0.94M|$0.88M|$0.05M|$0.05M|$0.05M|$0.04M|$13.36M |Fourth Week|$0.06M|/|/|/|/|/|/|$13.42M |%± LW|-72%|/|/|/|/|/|/|/|
Scheduled showings update for Moana 2 for the next few days:
Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
---|---|---|---|
Today | 5840 | $9k | $0.05M-$0.06M |
Saturday | 12632 | $63k | $0.41M-$0.45M |
Sunday | 9477 | $11k | $0.38M-$0.39M |
#Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Sonic 3 which will release early next year on January 10th.
New Years Eve
While were still ways off New Years Eve is always a big day for movie going and plenty of movies have started pre-sales for the day.
Big World opening day pre-sales near $4M. Total pre-sales nearing exceed $5.5M
Honey Money Phony pushes past $286k while Octopus with Broken Arms hits $135k
Out of Order also started pre-sales today.
|Days till release | Big World | Honey Money Phony |Octopus with Broken Arms |The Prosecutor |Out of Order|Detective Conan: Crossroad in the Ancient Capital
:----------- |:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|
15|$1.72M/24138|$78k/14996 |/ |/|/ |$60/2491
14|$2.56M/30991|$105k/16968|/ |/|/ |$4k/4744
13|$2.98M/33499|$135k/18890|$5k/1018 |/|/ |$12k/6579
12|$3.30M/35109|$164k/20045|$17k/3844 |/|/ |$19k/7966
11|$3.54M/37453|$218k/21560|$78k/20431 |/|/ |$32k/8469
10|$3.78M/40311|$286k/22756|$135k/23852|/|$14k/6473|$45k/8706
9| |||||
8| |||||
7| |||||
6| |||||
5| |||||
4| |||||
3| |||||
2| |||||
1| |||||
0| |||||
*Gross/Screenings
#Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
December:
Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prosecutor | 86k | +2k | 29k | +1k | 47/53 | Action/Drama | 27.12 | $54-62M |
Detective Conan: Crossroad in the Ancient Capital | 96k | +3k | 76k | +1k | 39/61 | Anime | 27.12 | $4-7M |
Octopus with Broken Arms | 253k | +7k | 232k | +3k | 39/61 | Drama/Crime | 28.12 | $75-128M |
Big World | 526k | +6k | 584k | +2k | 18/82 | Drama/Family | 31.12 | $70-97M |
Honey Money Phony | 187k | +4k | 28k | +1k | 26/74 | Comedy/Romance | 31.12 | $41-76M |
January:
January for now remains baren. It will be an incredibly backloaded month with Spring Festival starting on the 29th. So far 5 movies have been officialy confirmed for it. Creation Of The Gods P2. A sequel to a very well received movie from last year that made $360M. With the prime date and coming off good reception i have little doubt P2 will increase from the 1st movie.
The Next Boonie Bears movie. China's prime animation franchise which has been a Spring Festival mainstay for a decade now with next year being the 11th consecutive year a Boonie Bears movie releases for Spring Festival. The franchise has seen a steady increase in box office with last years movie hitting a franchise peak $280M+
The Legend of the Condor Heroes. A longtime anticipated Marshal arts movie has also been confirmed for a release.
In a surprising twist Ne Zha 2 the follow up to Nezha from 2019 which to this day remains the biggest animation of all time in a single market with $730M+ has been announced to also be releasing during the Spring Festival.
And Detective Chinatown 1900 which has wraped filming this year. The Sequel or better said Prequel will try to wash away the incredibly bad reception of DC3. A movie which opened to a record breaking $399M across 3 days beating out End Game's US opening. But only grossed $680M+.
That leaves us with 1 movie left to announced. Operation Leviathan. A followup to 2018's massive success Operation Red Sea which grossed $579M.
Its shaping up to be the strongest Spring Festival lineup of all time.
Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paddington in Peru | 25k | +1k | 28k | +1k | 29/71 | Family/Comedy | 01.01 | $9-12M |
Sonic 3 | 13k | +1k | 5k | +1k | 41/59 | Family/Comedy | 10.01 | $3-5M |
The Legend of the Condor Heroes | 333k | +6k | 759k | +11k | 22/78 | Martial Arts | 29.01 | $83-123M |
Ne Zha 2 | 250k | +10k | 118k | +7k | 38/62 | Animation/Fantasy | 29.01 | $494-575M |
Creation Of The Gods Part 2 | 242k | +12k | 798k | +15k | 43/57 | War/Fantasy | 29.01 | $343-422M |
Boonie Bears:Future Reborn | 123k | +4k | 59k | +2k | 35/65 | Animation/Comedy | 29.01 | $205-233M |
Detective Chinatown 1900 | 119k | +29k | 17k | +9k | 36/64 | Drama/Comedy | 29.01 | |
Operation Leviathan | 48k | +307 | 48k | +885 | 41/59 | Drama/Action | 29.01 - Rumored |
Universal Worldwide boxoffice predictions
The Wolf man: $85M
Dog Man: $145M
Love Hurts: $62M
Bridget Jones Mad about the boy: $130M
The Woman In The Yard: $65M
Drop: $45M
Golden: $22M
How to Train Your Dragon: $685M
M3GAN 2.0: $165M
Jurassic World Rebirth: $950M
The Bad Guys 2: $310M
Nobody 2: $82M
Him: $60M
The Blackphone 2: $105M
Wicked For Good: $820M
Five Nights at Freddy’s 2: $245M
What are your predictions?
Mufasa: The Lion King opened yesterday in German Movie Theaters, almost 5 and a half years after 2019´s The Lion King Remake and 30 years after the original The Lion King Film.
After the Opening Day, Mufasa: The Lion King is tracking to open with Ca. 525K tickets, which would be -29% lower than Inside Out 2 & -45.3% lower than Moana 2. This would also result in the 7th Biggest Opening Weekend of 2024, the 5th Biggest Opening Weekend of a Family Film since the Pandemic started and the 16th Biggest Opening Weekend since the Pandemic started.
Top 10 Biggest 2024 Opening Weekends:
Nr. | Film | Opening Weekend (Ticket Sales) | Theaters | Average | Release Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Moana 2 | 959,697 | 694 | 1,383 | November 28th, 2024 |
2 | Inside Out 2 | 739,457 | 678 | 1,091 | June 12th, 2024 |
3 | Despicable Me 4 | 642,913 | 727 | 884 | July 11th, 2024 |
4 | Dune - Part Two | 608,371 | 806 | 755 | February 29th, 2024 |
5 | Chantal in Fairyland | 576,148 | 666 | 865 | March 28th, 2024 |
6 | Deadpool & Wolverine | 575,712 | 616 | 935 | July 24th, 2024 |
7 | Mufasa - The Lion King | Ca. 525,000 | 690 | Ca. 761 | December 19th, 2024 |
8 | School of Magical Animals 3 | 468,658 | 765 | 613 | September 26th, 2024 |
9 | Joker - Folie à deux | 351,487 | 727 | 483 | October 3rd, 2024 |
10 | Venom - The Last Dance | 328,344 | 550 | 597 | October 24th, 2024 |
Dropped Out | It Ends with Us | 321,033 | 581 | 553 | August 15th, 2024 |
Top 10 Biggest Family Film Opening Weekends since the Pandemic started:
Nr. | Film | Opening Weekend (Ticket Sales) | Theaters | Average | Release Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Moana 2 | 959,697 | 694 | 1,383 | November 28th, 2024 |
2 | The Super Mario Bros. Movie | 953,696 | 671 | 1,421 | April 5th, 2023 |
3 | Inside Out 2 | 739,457 | 678 | 1,091 | June 12th, 2024 |
4 | Despicable Me 4 | 642,913 | 727 | 884 | July 11th, 2024 |
5 | Mufasa - The Lion King | Ca. 525,000 | 690 | Ca. 761 | December 19th, 2024 |
6 | School of Magical Animals 3 | 468,658 | 765 | 613 | September 26th, 2024 |
7 | Minions - The Rise of Gru | 452,131 | 698 | 648 | June 30th, 2022 |
8 | School of Magical Animals 2 | 444,745 | 741 | 600 | September 29th, 2022 |
9 | Kung Fu Panda 4 | 297,620 | 632 | 471 | March 14th, 2024 |
10 | Wonka | 292,363 | 668 | 438 | December 7th, 2023 |
Dropped Out | Paw Patrol - The Movie | 283,307 | 578 | 490 | August 19th, 2021 |
This is better than Alice Through the Looking Glass, which had a Opening Weekend of 199376, a -63.3% drop from 2010´s Alice in Wonderland. However, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil only dropped -18.4% from Maleficent.
Mufasa is also tracking to open -46.6% lower than 1994´s The Lion King, which went on to sell a gigantic 11,899,914 tickets & €55,683,121, making it the 2nd Biggest Film of the 90s, Disney Animation´s 2nd Biggest Film of All Time and excluding Re-Releases it is not only the Biggest Disney Animation Film of All Time, but also the Biggest Animated Film of All Time.
Otherwise, the Biggest Film of All Time (out of all Films since 1956) is The Jungle Book (1967) with Ca. 27,293,363 tickets & Ca. €91,809,676. However it "only" sold a Total of Ca. 7,600,000 tickets & Ca. €16,000,000 during it´s Original Release. Which does make The Jungle Book (1967) the Biggest Film since 1956 in Germany (#1 is Titanic with almost 19 million tickets), but again it only managed to do so thanks to Re-Releases.
This Prequel Film is set to have the Lowest Opening Weekend of a Lion King Film and the 4th Biggest Opening Weekend of a Disney Live Action Remake/ Reboot.
Top 3 Biggest Lion King Opening Weekends:
Nr. | Film | Opening Weekend (Ticket Sales) | Theaters | Average | Release Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Lion King (1994) | 983,777 | 258 | 3,813 | November 17th, 1994 |
2 | The Lion King (2019) | 921,781 | 746 | 1,236 | July 17th, 2019 |
3 | Mufasa - The Lion King | Ca. 525,000 | 690 | Ca. 761 | December 19th, 2024 |
Top 10 Biggest Disney Live Action Remake/ Reboot Opening Weekends:
Nr. | Film | Opening Weekend (Ticket Sales) | Theaters | Average | Release Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Lion King (2019) | 921,781 | 746 | 1,236 | July 17th, 2019 |
2 | Beauty and the Beast (2017) | 864,315 | 698 | 1,238 | March 16th, 2017 |
3 | Alice in Wonderland (2010) | 543,814 | 452 | 1,203 | March 4th, 2010 |
4 | Mufasa - The Lion King | Ca. 525,000 | 690 | Ca. 761 | December 19th, 2024 |
5 | 102 Dalmatians | 523,605 | 670 | 782 | February 8th, 2001 |
6 | The Jungle Book (2016) | 460,078 | 659 | 698 | April 14th, 2016 |
7 | Maleficent | 359,239 | 525 | 684 | May 29th, 2014 |
8 | 101 Dalmatians (1996) | 305,536 | 598 | 511 | March 6th, 1997 |
9 | Maleficent - Mistress of Evil | 293,053 | 572 | 512 | October 17th, 2019 |
10 | Aladdin (2019) | 288,588 | 667 | 433 | May 23rd, 2019 |
Dropped Out | Cinderella (2015) | 274,484 | 514 | 534 | March 12th, 2015 |
Nr. | Film | Opening Weekend (Ticket Sales) | Theaters | Average | Release Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Der Spitzname | Ca. 175,000 (including Previews) | 630 | Ca. 278 | December 19th, 2024 |
2 | Family Affairs (2022) | 134,624 | 515 | 261 | October 20th, 2022 |
3 | How About Adolf? (2018) | 113,238 | 246 | 460 | October 18th, 2018 |
Gladiator II surpassed 1 million tickets sold on wednesday, making it Ridley Scott´s 13th 1 million+ tickets Film.
The Film is now tracking below both Napoleon (2023) (73,664 tickets +79%/ 977,682 tickets) & House of Gucci (73,242 +8%/ 828,921), although those already had the holiday season boost during their 6th Weekends, so it´s not a direct comparison. With a projected Final Total of Ca. 1.15 million tickets, that would be suspiciously close to the Final Totals from Napoleon (2023) (1,190,167 tickets & €13,488,287) & House of Gucci (1,185,440 tickets & €11,819,377). It seems like Ridley Scott has a very consistent number of fans in Germany, at this point in his career.
As a comparison, the first Gladiator had a 6th Weekend of 132,402 tickets -44.3%/ 2,841,856 tickets and had a Final Total of 3,596,207 tickets, so about 3x what this Sequel is expected to have.
The 2nd Weekends for Kraven the Hunter and The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim are tracking low enough that no projection was made today. More concrete projection for those two will be released tomorrow. But it won´t look pretty.
The current projection for the Weekend:
?. Gladiator II - 35,000 tickets -28.6%/ 1,035,000 tickets (6th Weekend)
I will continue to update this post as the score changes.
Rotten Tomatoes Popcornmeter: Hot
Audience Says: N/A
Audience | Score | Number of Reviews | Average Rating |
---|---|---|---|
Verified Audience | 98% | 500+ | 4.8/5 |
All Audience | 97% | 1,000+ | 4.8/5 |
Verified Audience Score History:
Rotten Tomatoes: Fresh
Critics Consensus: With a double helping of Jim Carrey's antics and a quicksilver pace befitting its hero, Sonic the Hedgehog 3 is the best entry in this amiable series yet.
Critics | Score | Number of Reviews | Average Rating |
---|---|---|---|
All Critics | 87% | 70 | 6.80/10 |
Top Critics | 67% | 15 | /10 |
Metacritic: 60 (23 Reviews)
SYNOPSIS:
Sonic the Hedgehog returns to the big screen this holiday season in his most thrilling adventure yet. Sonic, Knuckles, and Tails reunite against a powerful new adversary, Shadow, a mysterious villain with powers unlike anything they have faced before. With their abilities outmatched in every way, Team Sonic must seek out an unlikely alliance in hopes of stopping Shadow and protecting the planet.
CAST:
DIRECTED BY: Jeff Fowler
SCREENPLAY BY: Pat Casey, Josh Miller, John Whittington
STORY BY: Pat Casey, Josh Miller
BASED ON SONIC THE HEDGEHOG BY: Sega
PRODUCED BY: Neal H. Moritz, Toby Ascher, Toru Nakahara, Hitoshi Okuno
EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS: Jeff Fowler, Tommy Gormley, Tim Miller, Haruki Satomi, Shuji Utsumi
DIRECTOR OF PHOTOGRAPHY: Brandon Trost
PRODUCTION DESIGNER: Luke Freeborn
EDITED BY: Al LeVine
COSTUME DESIGNER: Eleanor Baker
MUSIC BY: Tom Holkenborg
CASTING BY: Sophie Holland
RUNTIME: 109 Minutes
RELEASE DATE: December 20, 2024
As of now the budget for Superman hasn’t been publicly disclosed but James Gunn has debunked the rumor that it went north of 360M a while back. Regardless of the budget though, a lot is riding on this film. It’s supposed to start off the DCU and Gunn has said that the entire thing will probably depend on this film doing well. I don’t expect this movie to make a billion, and I don’t think WB does either. But I think they would consider this successful if 2 things happen: 1. It grosses at least 550M worldwide and 2. It has great reception across the board. I think great reception is probably the more important thing to happen. That’s what helps build momentum for franchises to grow. For context Iron Man 1 made 585M in 2008. What do you guys think?