Also, was it actually even worse then Hurricane Micheal, because of it's shear size and slow movement, even though the Catagory was weaker. Am watching You Tube coverage of Florance, and forgot just how bad that storm was, probally since it occured just before Micheal, and is kind of in it's shadow.

NASA Tracks Freddy, Longest-lived Tropical Cyclon…: https://youtu.be/jKcz5tb_-DU

For example, hurricane Delta did about $3 billion in damages in 2020. But what if a Greek named hurricane like Alpha reached category 5 status and did a significant amount of damage that it is retireable, what would happen to the name?

For a bit of context, I was having a discussion with some buddies yesterday about what names we thought from last year are going to get retired at the future WMO hurricane meeting. We unanimously agreed that Fiona (due to the damages in Puerto Rico, DR, and Canada) and Ian (due to the damages in Cuba and Florida) are going to get scrapped. But we were divided over Julia. The storm killed 89 people and left more than 406 dollars in damage after badly affecting Central America and Venezuela. But unlike Fiona and Ian, Julia was only a Cat 1 and, as a whole, not as memorable as the other 2 storms. On the flip side, it seems as if Central America has a history of retiring non-major hurricane names that affect them (such as Nate in 2017 and Caesar in 1996).

What do ya'll think? Do you personally think Julia has enough backing for it to be retired, or do you think it was simply not significant and memorable enough for the wx community to get retired?

I know in our timeline, the Hurricane hugged the East Coast, but never actually made landfall on it, but it still did alot of damage, and even knocked out power to over a million people, and even damaged Cape Canaveral. But what if the storm had actually made landfall? What path could it have taken, and what sort of damage could it have done to the state in the process? What cities would have been effect the most?

Sources:

• https://typhooncommittee.org/55th/13-TC55%20Beyond.html
• https://typhooncommittee.org/55th/docs/item%2013/13.1%20Replacement%20of%20Typhoon%20Names%20-%20Feb17.pdf

Requests for retirement:

• The Philippines requested to retire Conson(2113), Kompasu(2118), Rai(2122), Megi(2202), Ma-on(2209), Noru(2216), and Nalgae(2222).
• Republic of Korea requested to retire Hinnamnor(2211).
• United Kingdom has been requesting to retire Malakas(1616, 2201), due to its derogatory meaning in Greek.

Notes:

• Hinnamnor was used for the first time in 2022, and it might be the last time as well.
• Replacement names would be announced in 2024.

Latest observation

Monday, 6 March — 10:56 AM Cook Island Time (CKT; 20:56 UTC)

Official forecasts

Neither the Fiji Meteorological Service (RSMC Nadi) nor the Joint Typhoon Warning Center are issuing advisories for this system.

Official advisories

Fiji Meteorological Service

• Homepage

• Tropical disturbance summary

• Forecast graphic

• Threat graphic

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

• Warning text

• Warning graphic

• Prognostic reasoning

• Satellite fix bulletin

Radar imagery

Fiji Meteorological Service

There is currently no radar imagery available for Cyclone Kevin.

Satellite imagery

Floater imagery

Conventional Imagery

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Multiple bands

CSU Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch (RAAMB)

• Multiple bands

Naval Research Laboratory

• Multiple bands

Regional imagery

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Enhanced Infrared

• Water vapor

• Visible (True Color)

Analysis graphics and data

Wind analyses

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

• Satellite Fix Bulletin

NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Services (NESDIS)

• Multiplatform Surface Wind Analyses

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)

• Tropical Cyclone Intensity Consensus

• SATCON Intensity History

EUMETSAT Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Applications Facility (OSI SAF)

• Advanced Scatterometer Data

Sea-surface Temperatures

NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO)

• Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts

Tropical Tidbits

• Ocean Analysis

Model guidance

Storm-Specific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

• University of Albany

• National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

• Weather Nerds

Southwestern Pacific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

Latest observation

Saturday, 4 March — 4:46 AM Fiji Standard Time (FJT; 16:46 UTC)

Official forecasts

Fiji Meteorological Service

The Fiji Meteorological Service discontinued issuing advisories for Cyclone Judy at 11:00 PM (12:00 UTC) on Thursday, 2 March.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Friday, 3 March — 9:00 PM FJT (09:00 UTC) | JTWC Warning #18 (Final Warning)

Official advisories

Fiji Meteorological Service

• Homepage

• Tropical disturbance summary

• Forecast graphic

• Threat graphic

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

• Warning text

• Warning graphic

• Prognostic reasoning

• Satellite fix bulletin

Radar imagery

Fiji Meteorological Service

There is currently no radar imagery available for Cyclone Judy.

Satellite imagery

Floater imagery

Conventional Imagery

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Multiple bands

CSU Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch (RAAMB)

• Multiple bands

Naval Research Laboratory

• Multiple bands

Regional imagery

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Enhanced Infrared

• Water vapor

• Visible (True Color)

Analysis graphics and data

Wind analyses

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

• Satellite Fix Bulletin

NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Services (NESDIS)

• Multiplatform Surface Wind Analyses

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)

• Tropical Cyclone Intensity Consensus

• SATCON Intensity History

EUMETSAT Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Applications Facility (OSI SAF)

• Advanced Scatterometer Data

Sea-surface Temperatures

NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO)

• Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts

Tropical Tidbits

• Ocean Analysis

Model guidance

Storm-Specific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

• University of Albany

• National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

• Weather Nerds

Southwestern Pacific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

Overview

Over the past week, the National Weather Service (NWS) issued several Service Change Notices (SCNs) which affect products and services provided by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC). These changes include transitioning certain experimental products to operational products and incorporating changes of existing operational products. These changes are scheduled to go into effect in time for the beginning of the 2023 Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons.

New products

The Peak Storm Surge Forecast Graphic goes operational

The experimental Peak Storm Surge Forecast Graphic will become a fully operational product. (SCN 23-16)

Forecast graphics will now be available for South Pacific and Western Pacific cyclones

The CPHC will begin issuing graphical forecast and advisory products for tropical cyclones within the southern Pacific and northwestern Pacific Ocean basins. The appearance of these graphics will be consistent with existing NHC forecast graphics for the northern Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins and will be derived from forecast information provided by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). (SCN 23-26) (SCN 23-29) (SCN 23-30)

Changes to existing products

Removal of watches and warnings from the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM)

The NHC will no longer include land-based watches or warnings in the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM). This change is intended to reduce redundancy and confusion, as land-based watches and warnings are already listed in the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory (TCP). (SCN 23-23)

Addition of invest numbers to the Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO)

The NHC will begin referring to disturbances using their respective invest identification number (e.g., AL98, CP90, EP94, etc.). (SCM 23-24)

Changes to Weather Prediction Center products for post-tropical cyclones

The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) will begin issuing the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM) and Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) products for post-tropical cyclones which are likely to pose a threat of heavy rainfall and flooding to inland areas across the conterminous United States. Presently, the WPC assumes responsibility for issuing forecast products for inland depressions and post-tropical cyclones once advisories are discontinued by the NHC, but only a single Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory (TCP) is issued. This change expands the number of products produced by the WPC in these situations. (SCN 23-18)

The 5-day Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) will be replaced with a 7-day outlook

The NHC and CPHC will expand the 5-day Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) and its graphical counterpart (GTWO) to 7 days. While the 2-day formation probabilities will remain unchanged, the 5-day formation probabilities will be extended to cover 7 days. This change will also affect the URLs for these products on the NHC website. (SCN 23-28)

Extreme Wind Warnings will be added to products issued by WFO Guam

The Weather Forecast Office (WFO) in Tiyan, Guam will now be able to issue Extreme Wind Warnings (EWW) for land areas in Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan. EWWs will be issued when the JTWC designates the current intensity of a tropical cyclone to be the equivalent of a Category 3 major hurricane or greater and when sustained tropical cyclone winds of 100 knots or greater are occurring or expected to occur within WFO Guam's area of responsibility within an hour. (SCN 23-21)

Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands will be added to the Potential Storm Surge Map

The Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map which is currently produced by the NHC for the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts will be expanded to include Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. (SCM 23-25)

Latest observation

Monday, 27 February — 10:29 PM Mauritius Time (MUT; 18:29 UTC)

Official forecasts

Meteo France

Monday, 27 February — 4:00 PM MUT (12:00 UTC)

(Note: Wind speeds have been converted from ten-minute values to one-minute values.)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Monday, 27 February — 1:00 PM MUT (09:00 UTC) | JTWC Warning #11

Official advisories

Meteo France (RSMC Reunion)

• Homepage

• Forecast warning

• Forecast graphic

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

• Homepage

• Forecast warning

• Forecast discussion

• Forecast graphic

Other official information

Meteo Madagascar

• Tropical cyclone information (French)

Radar imagery

Not available

Cyclone Freddy is too far away from any publicly available radar sources.

Satellite imagery

Floater imagery

Conventional Imagery

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Multiple bands

CSU Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch (RAAMB)

• Multiple bands

Naval Research Laboratory

• Multiple bands

Regional imagery

Bureau of Meteorology (Australia)

• Satview

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Enhanced Infrared

• Water vapor

• Visible

Analysis graphics and data

Wind analyses

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

• Satellite Fix Bulletin

NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Services (NESDIS)

• Multiplatform Surface Wind Analyses

UW-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

• Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)

• Tropical Cyclone Intensity Consensus

• SATCON Intensity History

EUMETSAT Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Applications Facility (OSI SAF)

• Advanced Scatterometer Data

Sea-surface Temperatures

NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO)

• Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts

Tropical Tidbits

• Ocean Analysis

Model guidance

Storm-Specific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

• University of Albany

• National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

• Weather Nerds

Southwestern Pacific Guidance

• Tropical Tidbits

For me, it’s been Hurricane Joaquin (2015), just because of how unusual it was.

The incipient low had unusual origins (North Africa, far above the equator), unusual cyclogenesis and it just kept defying all of the projected forecasts at the time.

Are there any that still stand out to anyone else?