/r/microstrategy
A subreddit for anything related to the marvelous BI tool
/r/microstrategy
This is not financial advice. This is simply a compilation of the data and my interpretation of the company and the stock. My opinions are directed towards MSTR specifically, and not BTC, as I do believe in BTC as a store of value and a long term investment. This is a mini due diligence and only includes the information necessary for the analysis and thesis that: True bitcoin ETF’s or BTC proper is by far a better investment than MSTR, and that MSTR is a self contained bubble.
**$MSTR - MicroStrategy Incorporated provides artificial intelligence-powered enterprise analytics software and services in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers MicroStrategy ONE, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making….In addition, it engages in the development of bitcoin. I only put the two most important lines up in that description
Market Capitalization - $45.21B
The numbers/financials:
1. The (somewhat obsolete) core software business - A disclaimer – these numbers currently aren’t factoring into the price of MSTR. If they were, this company would no longer exist. The price is explored more in point #2. Numbers are for Q3 2024
a. Total Revenue – 116 mil, 10% decrease YOY
b. Gross profit – 81.7 mil (70.4%) compared to 102.8 mil (79.4%) in Q3 2023
c. Operating expenses – 514.3 mil, 301.6% YOY
d. EPS – LOSS of $1.72 compared to analyst estimates of -0.12. A ~1500% miss
e. Cash & cash equivalents of 46.3 mil, decrease of 0.5 mil from end of fiscal 2023
**Note I am not insinuating that negative profits determine that a company is worthless. Many excellent companies experience negative profits for years. The problem here is contraction in profits and revenues consistently.**
Saylor has recently described the software side of the business as a “cash cow” on an interview. I am unsure of what metric he is using to make that claim. Unless the cow is consuming cash rather than producing it. Regardless, I believe everyone is well aware now that the software side of the business gets almost zero attention from the company. While it is currently widely utilized among 5000+ companies, I believe there will come a time in the coming years that that part of the business just fades away into nothing, likely starting with dwindling product support.
2. Bitcoin holdings – The business model of Microstrategy has basically changed to Bitcoin acquisition, and uses a metric MSTR has created called BTC yield, which it touts as the key performance indicator. More about BTC yield is explained in their financials, but essentially it is a measure of the efficiency/cost effectiveness of the way in which they acquire BTC. IT has nothing to do with the returns that BTC can generate the company or a shareholder, as one would think given the term “yield”
a. Total BTC holdings – 252, 200, representing approximately 1% of the bitcoin that will ever be in circulation.
i. Cost - ~40, 000 USD per BTC on average, or a total of approximately 10.09B
ii. Current value - ~70, 000 per BTC or 17.65B, a total of a 75% value add to the total BTC holdings since acquisition started in 2020
3. Shares and valuations – 182.99M shares outstanding (Free float shares 162.91M)
a. Book value per share – $18.62, representing a price to book value of ~13.5
i. These numbers do not include any of the BTC on the books, per their financial statements.
b. BTC value per share - $96.45 BTC exposure per share.
c. Current share price – %250 +/- 20
d. Book value + BTC value per share – 115.07 – representing an ***OVERVALUATION*** of the company by $135 per share.
***The BTC value per share represents a premium of $153.55 paid per share for the BTC exposure as compared to buying BTC directly** The tradeoff/advantage advertised by Mr. Saylor is that MSTR has the ability to use leverage to acquire more BTC, thus amplifying stock price. The company is, in essence, becoming somewhat of a leveraged ETF for BTC with an extremely high entrance premium. So let’s talk about the effect of that and the stock price vs other strategies an investor could employ.
A. Volatility drag – Any leveraged product experiences volatility drag (also called volatility decay or beta slippage). Essentially, a 10% increase followed by a 10% decrease in the product price (and the underlying price) will result in a lower net price than one started at. Therefore, the losses are amplified by the volatility drag.
a. For example – one dollar increases in value by 10% to 1.10. Then due to the volatility of the dollar, it goes back down 10%. What you are left with is $0.99 rather than $1. This works in reverse as well (1 down to 0.9 then up to 0.9)
b. What this means is that, the higher the volatility, the greater that volatility will decay your initial capital over time
c. In the case of BTC, one of the most volatile holdings someone can include in their portfolio, a 2.5-3x leveraged product will experience 2.5-3x the losses from the swings that BTC will experience.
i. THIS IS WHY MSTR price is down 6.5% today while BTC is only down 1.7%
ii. All leveraged products experience this, which is why leveraged ETF’s are generally not meant to be held long term. The daily rebalancing of the ETF amplifies this decay.
iii. MSTR is obviously not rebalanced daily, but the swings will drive up that decay in a big way
B. The usual price pressures vs those on MSTR
a. MSTR is being labeled as a leveraged ETF. However, leveraged ETF’s and ETF’s in general are subject to the price being heavily influenced by the iNAV rather than buying and selling pressures per se. (intraday net asset value)
i. MSTR, however, is fully subject to the buying and selling pressures as it is a company, not an ETF.
ii. This means that news that triggers a huge selloff can crush the stock price while the BTC it is supposedly tracking (and owning) remains high.
iii. OF course those selling and buying pressures are also heavily influenced by the price of BTC.
So why is everyone enamoured with MSTR, driving the price up? My opinion is that Michael J. Saylor is an incredibly good salesman. He has been selling this so hard since starting bitcoin acquisition and has convinced you to give him money to buy BTC for the company instead of owning any yourself. He has also convinced you his company is better to hold than real BTC ETF’s such as IBIT or the 2x leveraged BITX. This simply doesn’t make sense given the numbers above. Bitcoin is the future, no doubt, but you own zero bitcoin by buying into MSTR, but are rather paying for a small amount of exposure. If the company went under tomorrow, despite the shares you own, you would see none of that BTC.
Beyond that, Michael J. Saylor is an actual crook. He was found to have been filing fraudulent financial statements for MSTR in 2000, pumping the MSTR price. He was fined and disgorged. In June of this year, he reached a settlement with the AG for back-taxes. He had not paid taxes from 2005-2020. This alone is a reason I will never go long in this stock. He is selling you half empty glasses of future promises.
As for me, I will be shorting this stock daily only, but likely through options rather than short sales due to the risk that short term volatility brings. But it is, no doubt, a one stock bubble. My apologies for the formatting errors in transferring this from a document to here.
Today Bitcoin reached 73k. The impact of this on microstrategy is very clear. And tomorrow 30th October Microstrategy will report it's earnings. Hold and watch it touching new high of 285-300.
Go Bitcoin.
With the additions of Migrations and the pretty continuous updates to mstrio in general has anyone attempted to do a project duplication using mstrio / is this even possible yet?
I haven't fully wrapped my head around migrations yet and how they are constructed with the Migration object and the package etc.
I can see methods to export the project settings and also creating a new project looks simple enough, however the tricky bit I think is the copying of the objects from one project to another
Would a package of type Project be able to hold such a large around of objects? I suspect not but would be curious to hear of people's experiences
Context:
I have a customer who has a lot of Service Hierarchy layers. We have built a scoring model based on their lower level of thier service which is Business Service and the currrent dashboard looks something like below.
I'm using the "Enable Outline" feaure to show the Hierarchy.
Service A
Service 1
Service i
Service
Score
Now, the score is calculated at the lowest layer. And then I use the "Show Totals" option to show totals at each of these layers.
Problem:
Some of the services after layer 2 are misssing. In that case, our model shows UNSPECIFIED - Now clicking on the UNSPECIFIED bring me the scores of all the all the UNSPECIFIED ones(in a diff grid) which is not something that I want.
How should I approach this?
Considering micro‘s greatest asset is it‘s btc holding, what „should“ the stock be sitting at if you‘d count it‘s btc holdings against it‘s stock value?
With btc going up 2.3% and micro 9% is that the correct „relationship“ or is one higher/lower than it should be?
Thanks!
Could imagine this has been debated a couple of times, couldn’t find anything
I’m one of the many who have sizeable chunk invested in micro strategy. I’m just wondering if it is already in “Escape velocity” or it is on the brink of it ?or this is a peak before it will fall and then rise again.
It is so incredibly unique from all the other stocks, considering the amount of bitcoins the company holds and continues to have plans to buy.
Btc is stable Micro is parabolic rising. Shortsqueze?
Hopefully this sub isn't all about crypto. I have a dossier that has 3 datasets in it. Some scheduling data. Some productivity data and some quality scores. The only common element is a user. However the users are all in different formats - firstname last name lastname, first... There is no userid or common way to join the 3 tables natively. I have created a crosswalk table with 3 different ways of making names and 1 "gold standard" . I'd like to use that gold standard as a filter item that filters all visualizations in a chapter. However when I "link to other dataset" the 3 fields to the tables, things start going away. I know the joins work, the data are correct. Is what I am trying to do feasible? I tried linking 1 field to each of the tables and that does work. I don't lose data. But if I link the second and or third, things change.
I have created two versions of my metric, lets call them Sales 1 and Sales 2, I have two attributes product group and Brand. I would like to have product group and brand as separate bars which are also filterable independently of one another. So I could compare brand A's performance vs brand B's performance (by filtering between them) as a portion of the total of a selected product group. Ie what is the contribution canned beans brand A is of the total product category of canned beans. I have created a graph with two instances of the metric sales. I have added in my dashboard two filters, one for brand and one for product group but when I apply the target of those filters to the graph, they apply to both metric/ the whole report rather than the metric independently. I found a how to which suggested targeting the filters scope by selecting 'Filter settings or properties' but neither of those are an option when I open the three dot menu. Is there any way to do this, or am I missing something? Thanks.
Hello,
I'm working as an analyst and my role requires me to visualize and present data. From what I understand, PowerBI and Tableau are the gold standard tools for this.
With that in mind, I set my eyes on learning Tableau as the demand for data visualization skills is on the rise and Tableau seems to be one of the most commonly used tools for the job.
I requested Tableau from my company's IT but was told that the company has moved to using MicroStrategy for their BI and enterprise strategy solutions.
I did some research on MicroStrategy and noted a few things that were concerning to me:
Further context:
Thanks everyone. Would love to hear everyone's takes and experiences on either side of the fence.
Hello,
I have two rows/attributes that are replicated in multiple tables within the same page. However, once they are used in one table, they won't repeat in the other. Is there a quick fix for this?
Thank you!
TL;DR: MicroStrategy went from software to Bitcoin-hoarding champ, betting big on digital gold to avoid inflation and score massive gains. Founder Michael Saylor basically said, "Why save cash when you can stack Bitcoin?" Now, they own 1.2% of all Bitcoin, flexing on corporate treasury strategies like it's a new sport.
The MicroStrategy Bitcoin Strategy: A Masterclass in Modern Corporate Finance
In an era where traditional corporate finance strategies are being redefined, few companies have made waves like MicroStrategy. Under the leadership of its founder and chairman, Michael Saylor, the enterprise software firm embarked on a pioneering journey in 2020 by adopting Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset. This bold decision not only shifted how the company manages its cash but also placed a unique bet on the future of digital assets. Through a combination of Bitcoin accumulation, savvy financial engineering, and strategic foresight, MicroStrategy has transformed its corporate identity and reshaped the conversation around treasury management.
MicroStrategy’s initial foray into Bitcoin was driven by defensive concerns. Amid inflationary fears and aggressive central bank policies during the COVID-19 pandemic, Saylor sought a way to protect the company’s $500 million cash reserves from devaluation. Initially, Bitcoin was seen as a diversification strategy—a hedge against inflation, given its finite supply and deflationary nature.
However, after the company’s first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020, Saylor’s thinking evolved rapidly. What began as a cautious move to preserve capital quickly became a realization that Bitcoin was more than just a store of value—it was a transformative asset with the potential for significant long-term returns. Bitcoin’s scarcity, with a fixed supply of 21 million coins, combined with its growing adoption, convinced Saylor that it could outperform traditional assets over time.
With this realization, MicroStrategy shifted from defense to offense. The company aggressively added Bitcoin to its balance sheet, using not only its cash reserves but also issuing convertible debt to finance further acquisitions. This marked a pivotal moment for MicroStrategy—no longer just protecting against inflation, but positioning itself to benefit from the potential appreciation of a nascent digital asset.
MicroStrategy’s success in building its Bitcoin holdings wasn’t only about bold decision-making—it was also a showcase of savvy financial engineering. The company didn’t rely solely on existing cash reserves to acquire Bitcoin. In one key instance, MicroStrategy raised $4 billion through the issuance of convertible notes at an exceptionally low interest rate of 0.82%. This access to cheap capital allowed the company to invest heavily in an asset with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 50%, while maintaining a favorable balance sheet.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy also introduced volatility to its stock, which, while seen as risky, has made it more attractive for options trading. The price swings linked to Bitcoin’s value created frequent opportunities for traders, enhancing liquidity and drawing greater interest from investors. This volatility has ultimately worked to MicroStrategy’s benefit, driving more market engagement and reinforcing its financial profile.
By leveraging financial markets, MicroStrategy demonstrated how capital efficiency could fuel growth without sacrificing liquidity. The issuance of low-interest debt not only reflected the company’s confidence in Bitcoin but also proved how financial engineering itself can be a competitive advantage. Saylor and his team effectively used traditional financial tools to build a dominant position in the burgeoning digital asset space, while keeping their cost of capital low.
MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin has positioned the company with a durable competitive advantage. With over 252,220 Bitcoin in its treasury—representing approximately 81.1% of all Bitcoin held by public companies—MicroStrategy has carved out a formidable presence in the Bitcoin market. This first-mover advantage is significant. Bitcoin’s fixed supply and the high barriers to entry for other corporations trying to replicate this strategy create a competitive moat that is hard to breach.
As Bitcoin becomes further integrated into the global financial system, MicroStrategy’s early and aggressive adoption of the asset positions it as a leader in a rapidly evolving space. Many corporations are hesitant to follow suit due to the volatility of Bitcoin or the sheer scale of capital required to replicate MicroStrategy’s strategy. This reluctance reinforces MicroStrategy’s lead and ensures that its position as a pioneer in corporate Bitcoin holdings remains intact.
Moreover, Saylor’s long-term vision—believing that corporations will increasingly adopt Bitcoin as a treasury reserve to protect against cash depreciation—further cements MicroStrategy’s edge. The company’s stock has become an attractive option for those seeking exposure to cryptocurrency without the complexities of directly owning Bitcoin. As more companies begin to explore digital assets, MicroStrategy’s substantial holdings set it apart as a market leader.
A critical but often understated element of MicroStrategy’s success has been its commitment to kaizen—the Japanese philosophy of continuous improvement. What began as a cautious investment in Bitcoin has evolved into the cornerstone of MicroStrategy’s long-term strategy. Saylor’s initial move was defensive, but as his understanding of Bitcoin deepened, so did his conviction. Each subsequent purchase demonstrated not only a growing confidence in the asset but also a more refined approach.
This process of constant learning and adaptation has allowed MicroStrategy to stay ahead in the corporate Bitcoin race. Saylor’s willingness to adjust the company’s strategy as new information emerged—whether in Bitcoin’s market dynamics, regulatory environment, or technological advancements—mirrors the principles of kaizen. By continuously refining its approach, MicroStrategy has maintained its leadership in Bitcoin adoption, ensuring that it remains at the forefront of both corporate finance and digital innovation.
This commitment to continuous improvement exemplifies MicroStrategy’s broader corporate philosophy: one where strategic agility and an openness to innovation drive long-term success.
MicroStrategy’s strategy has not only reshaped its balance sheet but has also made it one of the top-performing stocks. Since August 10, 2020, when the company began its Bitcoin accumulation, MicroStrategy's stock surged by 1,071%, far outpacing the S&P 500 and outperforming tech giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom.
This dramatic increase in value showcases the outsized returns that a well-executed digital asset strategy can yield. MicroStrategy’s massive Bitcoin reserves and exceptional stock performance reinforce the company’s position as a corporate leader in Bitcoin adoption. Its early bet on Bitcoin has built a competitive moat that few can rival.
Michael Saylor’s pivot to Bitcoin has been much more than a bold financial bet—it’s a blueprint for building a sustainable competitive advantage in the modern digital age. By transitioning from a defensive strategy focused on inflation protection to an aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has reshaped its corporate identity and positioned itself as a leader in an emerging financial landscape.
Through innovative financial engineering, continuous strategic refinement, and a deep conviction in Bitcoin’s potential, MicroStrategy has built a competitive moat that few companies can replicate. As more corporations begin to explore digital assets, MicroStrategy’s journey offers valuable insights into how companies can leverage bold moves, smart financing, and adaptability to build lasting advantages.
Saylor’s commitment to a long-term vision, coupled with his embrace of kaizen, positions MicroStrategy as a pioneer in both corporate Bitcoin adoption and modern treasury management. With its substantial investment in Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has not only redefined itself but also provided a roadmap for the future of corporate finance.
At the time of writing this MSTR
Owns 252,220 BTC
Bought for average $39,266
For a total of 9.9 Billion invested
Now worth ~ 16 Billion ($63,800BTC)
Market cap ~ 31 Billion
Why is microstrategy going down when bitcoin is going up?
Hello everyone,
I am working with Microstrategy Workstation where I have added a simple data model with calender table, products table and a facts table.
I want to see the End Onhand Inventory (inventory as on the last day) for a particular category from products table.
I found that we need to specify it as a non-aggregate dimension in Microstrategy to do that.
I have added in Calculation of Metric level : DATE - Metric Aggregation - Ending fact
But it is not working. Can anyone please help me with this as I am stuck. 😅
Thanks in advance.
Hi I’m new to micro strategy and trying to embed visualizations through rest api calls
I have been able to show a pie chart but need help to load data in a line chart and a heatmap
I’m using chart.js can anyone give me any leads Thank you
Hello everyone. I work for a small rural hospital that uses a reporting software built on MicroStrategy. It's called BCA. I will start out that I do not have a degree in data analytics, I am merely proficient with Excel, and have taken all of the Kahn and Code Academy courses on SQL. They are wanting me to get MicroStrategy certification to work with this platform. They will reimburse me after certification. My question is, how difficult is it going to be for me to learn? Are there any free resources that I can review before starting this journey?
Liebe Community,
wird bei euch auf TR, nach dem Aktiensplit, auch eine falsche Performance und Rendite angezeigt?
If tomorrow is ex-divident date for MSTR, can I sell my shares today?
Mstr was solely BI leader before Power BI came into the market, now client base is on declining path so does their revenue. Microsoft has very aggressively marketed power bi as a self serve BI tool and able to sell to clients across the globe as it can integrate to other Microsoft products easily and executives were sold this story.
MSTR has got all the capabilities and still better enterprise wide tool but I do not see MSTR is trying to do anything atleast to keep their existing clients happy.
I believe MSTR must have to bring some strategies to keep their current clients happy else there have been many silent projects migration internally going on, which mstr isn't even aware of and it will be decommissioned soon from everywhere.
Product support staff quality has gone so bad lately. Mostly they have no clue about the issues.
They have to heavily invest in keeping the quality of support to top notch, give unlimited incentives to existing clients (better than no clients in coming years), invest more on innovation and features which allows seemless and easy integration with other products.
Investing in Bitcoin is great future proof strategy but shouldn't ignore their BI product what they have been doing for 30+ years. Bring your focus back!
Please feel free to provide your inputs.
Hi guys, I have been working mostly with visualization tools such as Power bi and Tableau. Yesterday my manager asked me to explore Microstrategy and try to learn it as we might be soon getting some BI client works with the preferred BI tool being Microstrategy.
Please help me how can I learn properly and quickly the tool and if anyone can point out some good resources it would be very helpful for me 🙂.
Thanks in advance.
I'm a QA person in a software development shop. We've recently started using MicroStrategy for our BI solution and hired an experienced BI developer for it. This new BI developer has informed us that it is not standard practice to do QA cycles on BI solutions and that promoting changes from a dev environment to a QA environment for testing prior to promoting to production is unheard of. Is this truly common practice?
Does Microstrategy have a charitable giving contact? I did not see anything on their site.
So the yt channel of this coin stock company(or whatever it is idk) has hacked a youtubers channel(Nexus gd) and put their videos on his channel, and it seems like theyve been doing the same thing for a while now to other youtubers. But it does seem like a legit business judging by the fact that it has stocks in the market and stuff, so why are they doing this? And for how long have they been doing this?