WTF PELINO YOU COULD’VE DONE IT EASY😭

Broadly, you can rank college football teams in two ways: how good you think the team is going forward (Kenpom does this is basketball) or how good their record is based on who they beat. Record/resume based rankings seem a bit more fair in my opinion, and human rankings like the AP and CFP rankings tend to start with biased guesses of who will be good in the preseason and then move towards resume based results over time.

The tricky part is of course that not all teams play each other, so you need some sort of mathematical approach to figure out if it matters that A beat B who beat C. Here are some of the resume based rankings I know about:

ELO

Link

ELO ranking is based on the same system chess rankings use. If you beat a team with a high rating, you gain lots of points. If you lose to a high rating, you lose fewer points. If you lose to a low rated team, you lose lots of points.

Duke ranking: 29

ESPN Strength of Record

Link

Strength of record is a proprietary approach, so it's not exactly clear how it's created. It seems to be probability based on an estimate of how good a median ranked team would do with your team's schedule. How it measures expected outcomes is unclear. But it tends to agree with other resume based approaches. Of note, it puts Duke's strength of schedule pretty low at 106, but Duke has done well given our strength of schedule, so we are relatively highly ranked in strength of record.

Duke ranking: 28

Colley Matrix

Link

There's a paper explaining it, but basically it tries to solve a system of equations all at once to get a result of which teams are better given who beat who.

Duke ranking: 28

So overall, most resume based approaches are in agreement that have a fairly solid resume, beating the teams we are supposed to beat. This weekend we play a pretty good SMU team though. A win would be a real impressive bump to our resume. But I suspect it's unlikely to happen.

CBS - Gasparilla Bowl vs USA

ESPN Bonagura - Mayo Bowl vs Nebraska

ESPN Schlabach - Mayo Bowl vs Iowa

247 Sports - Holiday vs Colorado

The Athletic - Mayo Bowl vs Iowa

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

WE DONT HAVE TO KNOCK ON WOOD IN THE BOWL PREDICTION THREADS ANYMORE

LETS GOOOOOOOOOO DEVILS

Yeah FSU is in the midst of a very down year, but really happy coming out with a W. Our offense needs to get going, but our defense is solid. Already bowl eligible!!

UPDATE: Devil's Deck passes are sold. Selling the 3 GA tickets in Section 16 for $100 total.

UPDATE 2: All tickets have been sold. Thanks for the help!

Not sure if this is allowed, but I have 3 tickets to Duke–FSU on Friday in the Devil’s Deck (AYCE) that I need to sell bc I have COVID.

Selling the whole package for $200 or OBO. Transfer includes the game tickets (in Section 16, GA) plus separate access to the Devil’s Deck. DM me if interested (will need an email or phone # to transfer).

• Action Network: Independence Bowl vs Washington State
• ESPN Bonagura: Duke's Mayo Bowl vs Nebraska
• ESPN Schlabach: Duke's Mayo Bowl vs Iowa
• 247: Myrtle Beach Bowl vs Coastal Carolina
• CBS Jerry Palm: Boca Raton Bowl vs Miami OH

Drop your thoughts / wishes on these below. Hoping we get eligibility vs FSU!

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Not giving DUKE any respect with these odds. Let's show em Saturday Night in Atlanta!!!

Is there any interest in a Duke Football discord? I would be more than happy to create/moderate one.

This current team / recent history.

Which college football conferences are you confident Duke would win?

Got the 4-0 start I was hoping for! Granted the schedule has not been too difficult to start the season so why this good start was so important! Now the schedule gets a lot tougher! Let's get those Heels next week this is a winnable big game!!!

Today needs to be the day they learn to connect in the deep ball, or I feel like we’re wasting Maalik.