demography

I am not a demographer but I know a few of the basic principles. And I am seeing a huge amount of attention, news articles, conversations in pubs and Reddit etc, about the marked acceleration of the decline in total fertility rate post-Covid. There seems to be a lot of data on this now coming into the public domain and scaring the hell out of people.

As a lay person with an interest in demography, the thing I immediately wonder is whether this is a step change in people’s attitudes to having kids, or just an instance of people putting their family plans on hold for a few years because everyone’s plans for everything went on hold for a few years because of the whole global pandemic thing.

Is this a thing where demographers are looking at these numbers and going: “Pfft, just a tempo effect.”? Or are they saying “This is real and terrifying” or something in between? Is there any way of knowing right now, or do we just have to wait till the current cohorts enter their 40s to know whether child-rearing has gone as drastically out of fashion as the TFR suggests?

Among the many reasons invoked to explain the drop in fertility, I never see mass media availability like TV or smartphone consumption mentioned.

I recently came across a chart of the UK fertility rate and it shows two massive drops, one around the 60s and one around 2010. I thought to myself this lines up with broad TV and smartphone availability.

Could it be that people before having access to easy, passive entertainment were a bit more bored. They would invest more in human relationships and also see having children as less of a disruption. If there's nothing to do but read a book after dark, maybe it's not so bad to read a kid a story before bed.

Speculation here but watching TV may make you feel like you're in an overcrowded area, where you see people all the time (on screen) and distressing situation. This would be similar to Calhoun's behavioural sink except it's not real since on screen people are not actually in your neighborhood or competing with the you.

I'm keen to hear some views in this.

Some past research on media and fertility https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK223858/

Hello y'all I have bachelor degree in human geography then I want to study demography in UK but I don't universities where I Can find demography studies in UK.

Hey guys, I need your help to start understanding demography a little bit better. The story is a little bit complex but I hope you'll follow me and understand where I'm at.

My mom is from an Armenian family in Argentina and our family is kinda active in the community for some good decades now. But here is the thing: my mom always wondered how many descendants of Armenians live here, and it has slowly become one of my objectives to make a serious demographic research about it. I know the Armenian government estimated around 120.000 people but that seems to be without any hard demographic/census method about it (quite frankly, it just seems someone guessed a number and that's it).

Realistically, in the Buenos Aires community I could reach maybe about 4.000 max people to ask them (if I went to the churches and community events). I was wondering if anyone of you knew any paper, or method that I could use to try to estimate a better population than this random government guess. Like, is there any material I could read on how to start preparing for a study like this? Is it even possible? Is there any method I could use to make better diaspora population estimations?

I thought about making a forms and asking those 4.000 people to "register" as Armenians for the demographic study, then also ask in the forms about how many family members they have and calculate the percentage of overlap (if two relatives registered), then use the number of non-registered family members and multiply to get some starting estimate. Does that make sense?

Anyway, I'm sorry if this is the wrong sub. I just really have no idea where to start studying this.

Countries like UAE and Qatar has extremely low fertility rate Are the statistics skewed towards low levels by immigrant workers?

Are there any statistics that gives separate fertility rates for immigrant and native women.

I want a map which allows you to select variables like:

• age
• gender/sex
• location
• household / individual
• race
• education

and see variables like

• religiosity
• crime rate
• income but only of the input ranges and variables you input.

It seems like there a maps like https://www.justicemap.org, which have income or race, but everything is lumped together. (e.g It has the average income for everybody in a certain location, but I'm interested in the average income of males age 20-50.)

Do databases like this even exist? If it existed it would be easy to do sql queries. Ideally I'd want the entire USA but I imagine there are many smaller databases or those with less info.

Caucasian Protestants became a minority in the mid 2010s in the United States, it does not ahow signs of recovering.

Christianity world wide is majority nonwhite and will remain so for the rest of its history. White religious identity is going to be a bumpy ride.

Hi everyone.

I'm trying to make a study plan to know formally and ordenally and neatly about demography and (if i get on it) preparing for a Msc entrance exam. It's really hard to find someone in my country that studied demography/pop studies because we just have 1 university that teach it and it's private. So I come to you.

Do you have any recommendations for me?

• I'm trying to find a good book to see statistics as a t
• Generally I'm looking for "must-read" books the level myself up on theory.

I did a bachelor's degree in sociology, so i saw some subjects that touched superficially topics of demography. To be exact, I think everything i saw about it it's summarized in PRB's Population Handbook and some lectures about theory, nothing deeply

Say an alien race conquered Earth and confined the human race to a reservation in Australia. How many people could the area support?

Australia has very low rainfall so water scarcity is a serious problem. Humanity would have to run desalination plants to truly support the population. We would need massive solar farms as well.

It would seem like agriculture would fall short of demand and people would starve. But eventually a large fishing industry could thrive and diets would be more seafood-based. We could even irrigate tracts of land with the desalinated water.

Australia seems to have large and diverse mineral supplies, but are we missing any key ingredients of modern industry in Australia? What other measures would we take to adapt? And ultimately, what would be the future of humanity, confined to Australia ?